Last week was big w/a 6-0 slate on posted games. This week looks tougher; esp. the sides.
BUFF -3 The Bears 2nd game now w/out their 3 injured defensive starters. One DT, a DE and their best cover CB. Buffalo should be able to exploit this. The questions is, can Buff stop the Bears? OC Shoop may have to deviate from the conservatism.
Chi/Buff OVER 44--Expecting the Bears to throw more vs Buff, and Bledsoe and Buff WRs should be effective.
KC +3 the line does seem a little low and I expect it to be 3.5 by gametime. I'm waiting as long as possible to try to get 3.5. The Chiefs qualify under Steele's Defensive Bounceback angle. Any team that allows 40 or more pts that is a home dog the following week is 43-18 ATS since 1987 in that situation. The reasoning is that the coaches and players know that severe breakdowns occured the previous week, and will put forth extra effort to correct them.
J-VILLE -3. I don't know how people were high on the Jets this year. They are a bad football team, an old football team, and a team in need of a major overhaul. As long as Fred Taylor is healthy, the Jags can move the ball, esp against a weak run defense like NYs.
CLEVE +6 Cleve has done very well throwing the ball this year and Pitt will have to prove they can stop it. Until then, if they are playing a team that is passing oriented, they must be faded. Pitt should be able to move the ball against a subpar run defense so both offenses are going against the others weaknesses so the over is looking tempting also.
Mia/KC Under 44 Both teams like to run the ball and are good at doing it, so the clock should keep moving. KC's defense is shaky enough to dampen my enthusiasm, but I'm expecting some sort of bounceback from them.
BUFF -3 The Bears 2nd game now w/out their 3 injured defensive starters. One DT, a DE and their best cover CB. Buffalo should be able to exploit this. The questions is, can Buff stop the Bears? OC Shoop may have to deviate from the conservatism.
Chi/Buff OVER 44--Expecting the Bears to throw more vs Buff, and Bledsoe and Buff WRs should be effective.
KC +3 the line does seem a little low and I expect it to be 3.5 by gametime. I'm waiting as long as possible to try to get 3.5. The Chiefs qualify under Steele's Defensive Bounceback angle. Any team that allows 40 or more pts that is a home dog the following week is 43-18 ATS since 1987 in that situation. The reasoning is that the coaches and players know that severe breakdowns occured the previous week, and will put forth extra effort to correct them.
J-VILLE -3. I don't know how people were high on the Jets this year. They are a bad football team, an old football team, and a team in need of a major overhaul. As long as Fred Taylor is healthy, the Jags can move the ball, esp against a weak run defense like NYs.
CLEVE +6 Cleve has done very well throwing the ball this year and Pitt will have to prove they can stop it. Until then, if they are playing a team that is passing oriented, they must be faded. Pitt should be able to move the ball against a subpar run defense so both offenses are going against the others weaknesses so the over is looking tempting also.
Mia/KC Under 44 Both teams like to run the ball and are good at doing it, so the clock should keep moving. KC's defense is shaky enough to dampen my enthusiasm, but I'm expecting some sort of bounceback from them.
