week 9 plays plus h&a power trends

[vanbasten]

last week 6-3 (+7.40 units)
overall 36-30-2 (+10.40 units)

early leans...

tb-
buff-
atl-
clev+
dall+
jets+
oak-
az+
wash+
jax+

i will be posting home and away power trend ratings as soon as i get them. i get this info sent to me weekly. i have paid for it the last few seasons and is very helpful with handicapping sides. haven't posted it previously, because i felt kinda guilty, but wtf...no reason not to share it with all you good people. should have it tomorrow or friday and will explain how it works. gets to be very sharp midseason, and exposes some glaring line mistakes.

the ratings are computer generated and are based on statistical analysis of recent performance trends for each team; home and away. the ratings DO NOT REFLECT INJURIES THAT HAPPENED DURING THE LAST GAME OR WEATHER FORECASTS FOR UPCOMING GAMES, so that info has to be considered as well.

should have it tomorrow or early friday. hope it is useful.

good luck.

 

[vanbasten]

below are this weeks updated power ratings...

HOME POWER RATINGS

Team Power

Packers 33
Eagles 30
49ers 30
Steelers 28
Falcons 28
Vikings 26
Broncos 25
Rams 24
Bills 23
Saints 23
Seahawks 22
Buccaneers 22
Browns 22
Jets 21
Chiefs 20
Cardinals 20
Titans 20
Jaguars 20
Cowboys 19
Redskins 19
Chargers 18
Panthers 18
Raiders 17
Lions 17
Texans 17
Colts 17
Dolphins 16
Patriots 14
Giants 13
Ravens 12
Bears 11
Bengals 11


AWAY POWER RATINGS

Team Power

Packers 28
Steelers 27
49ers 26
Jets 25
Vikings 24
Bills 24
Redskins 23
Falcons 22
Bengals 22
Rams 21
Titans 21
Broncos 21
Seahawks 20
Eagles 20
Saints 20
Texans 20
Buccaneers 19
Browns 19
Cowboys 19
Cardinals 19
Chiefs 18
Lions 17
Colts 17
Jaguars 17
Patriots 15
Giants 15
Panthers 15
Ravens 15
Bears 14
Chargers 13
Raiders 11
Dolphins 9

find the home team, find the visiting team, subract the numbers and see how it compares to the vegas line.

in order, these teams cover:

gb
nyj
sf
jax
minny
cinn
tenn
buff
atl
dall
wash

all other games than the above, the variance is not great enough. a no play.

good luck.

one so far...

eagles/bears under 39 3*

 

[JOE IN NY]

I'd check my computer.

I'd check my computer.

I'm not trying to fat mouth to you. I'm sure you?re a pretty good capper but how in the name of god does the computer pick the Jets ahead of S.D. The Jets are pathetic and have one of the worst coaching teams in football. Hacket is a has been who never was. The head coach has lost control of the team. He's too nice a guy so they pay him no mind. GL Joe

 

[vanbasten]

joe,

i know where you are coming from. i scratch my head, each and every week. look at the dolphins away rating?? on the bottom??

first, it's not my computer info, i purchase it, and with no track record of it here ( @ madjack's), it's value doesn't mean sh*t. all i can do is to continue posting it for the rest of the season, which i will do.

i can only vouch that i have benefitted from it for 3 years.

the 3 strongest plays this week are gb-, jets+, and sf+. frankly, i like them and will probably play them, but there are many times, i don't touch the top 3 for other reasons.

unfortunately, more times than not, i should trust these ratings.

adding...


texans/bengals over 37.5 2*

good luck.

 

[vanbasten]

adding...

green bay - 4 5*

good luck.

 

[vanbasten]

won't be on until sunday afternoon, posting the rest, but figure a couple better lines by gametime.

adding...


chargers/jets over 41 2*
bills/patties under 48 3*
rams/cards under 43.5 3*

jets +8 2*

good luck.

 

[vanbasten]

adding...minny +8 2*

a little messy, so to recap...

minny +8 2*
jets +8 2*

texans/bengals over 37.5 2*
chargers/jets over 41 2*
bills/patties under 48 3*
rams/cards under 43.5 3*
eagles/bears under 39 3*

MNF pack -4 5*

that's it. if a positive day, will play jax +3 2* tonight

good luck.

 

[vanbasten]

sunday 6-2 (+10.60 units)

still left...

packers -4 5*

strongest play of the season for me. don't see the phins staying with 10.

good luck.

 

[vanbasten]

line goin up and now back down to 4...crazy.

adding...

pack -4 and under 42 1* par

27-13

good luck.

 

[SmashMouth]

Very solid. Keep posting this please.!!!

 

[vanbasten]

week 9 8-2 (+18.00 units)
overall 44-32-2 (+28.40 units)

already planning to tread lightly next week.

good luck.