- Aug 27, 2019
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Let me start by saying that I would never be so pompous as to tell people what team to wager on. How they spend their money is their business, not mine. I see so many wanna-be touts telling people who to wager on with no write-ups at all, I just laugh. I also see lots of guys post with no records, lines that have been "Fudged" and other things that indicate that the poster is probably a loser. Since 1999 I have won 57 1/2% of my wagers. Perhaps not the best around, but when you wager large amounts of money (always the same amount on each game), stay away from the sucker plays (props, parlays and teasers) and limit the amount of wagers you make per week, you can make a lot of money in this game. So please do not follow me. Fade me if you must. These are games that I find of wagering interest.
UNC @ Wake Forest Total 65 (Westgate). Be very careful here. Wake has scored a lot of points against FBS Group of 5 opponents Utah State and Rice. UNC has not had a combined score of over 53 points in their two games against FBS Power 5 Conference opponents. UNC is 1-0 in conference play. A win here gives them a big leg up in looking for a bowl game. Wake ends it's season with games vs N.C. State, at Va. Tech, at Clemson, Duke, and at Syracuse. This game becomes almost a must for them. Normally that means ball control and defense.
USC -4 (Westgagte) @ BYU. Everyone in the Pac 12, including this alum, was shocked at the way USC came back from a 14-3 deficit and destroyed Stanford 45-20 at home. Just as shocking was BYU's 29-26 victory at Tennessee. There are lots of ways to look at this game. This is USC's first away game of the season, and their first game minus an A.D. Lynn Swan resigned earlier this week. On the other hand, BYU was destroyed by Pac 12 South Champ Utah at home during week 1 in their major rivalry game. BYU has scored a total of 41 points in their first two games. They have allowed 56. USC has scored 76 points in their first 2 games while allowing 43. It seems as if USC -4 is too good to be true. Just remember the old saying. "If things look too good to be true..."
Iowa -1 (Westgate) @ Iowa State. These games always seem to be close. Iowa started strong this season with two home victories against FBS Group of 5 Miami (Ohio) and Rutgers, who should be in the FBS Group of 5. This is their first away game. Iowa State barely got past FCS Northern Iowa 29-26 in their only game so far. If you are stuck and really want to wager on this game, here is a hint. Iowa HC Ferentz is 8-3 in his past 11 games against State. State HC Campbell is 0-3 in his three tries. How bad is this week overall? ESPN Gameday will be in Ames.
TCU -2 (Westgate) @ Purdue. An interesting game between two 8-4 type teams. TCU has a home win against FCS Arkansas Pine Bluff and then took the next week off. Purdue was stunned at Nevada by MWC Nevada 34-31, but rallied last week to defeat SEC East Cellar Dweller Vanderbilt. Many see this as a game between the Purdue offense against the TCU defense, but in reality, TCU returns more offensive starters and Purdue returns more defensive starters. Of course, returning starters mean nothing if they are not good. TCU needs to find a QB to run the offense. Purdue's defense has given up 58 points in their first two games against weak opposition.
Texas Tech -2 (Westgate) at Arizona. Not much to say here except that if you like scoring, this is your game. Tech has scored 83 points in two weeks against very weak opposition at home. This is their first away game. Arizona has scored 108 points in those same two weeks, but has a loss at Hawaii. The difference could be this. Tech has give up only 13 points while Arizona has given up 86.
Enjoy the games.
UNC @ Wake Forest Total 65 (Westgate). Be very careful here. Wake has scored a lot of points against FBS Group of 5 opponents Utah State and Rice. UNC has not had a combined score of over 53 points in their two games against FBS Power 5 Conference opponents. UNC is 1-0 in conference play. A win here gives them a big leg up in looking for a bowl game. Wake ends it's season with games vs N.C. State, at Va. Tech, at Clemson, Duke, and at Syracuse. This game becomes almost a must for them. Normally that means ball control and defense.
USC -4 (Westgagte) @ BYU. Everyone in the Pac 12, including this alum, was shocked at the way USC came back from a 14-3 deficit and destroyed Stanford 45-20 at home. Just as shocking was BYU's 29-26 victory at Tennessee. There are lots of ways to look at this game. This is USC's first away game of the season, and their first game minus an A.D. Lynn Swan resigned earlier this week. On the other hand, BYU was destroyed by Pac 12 South Champ Utah at home during week 1 in their major rivalry game. BYU has scored a total of 41 points in their first two games. They have allowed 56. USC has scored 76 points in their first 2 games while allowing 43. It seems as if USC -4 is too good to be true. Just remember the old saying. "If things look too good to be true..."
Iowa -1 (Westgate) @ Iowa State. These games always seem to be close. Iowa started strong this season with two home victories against FBS Group of 5 Miami (Ohio) and Rutgers, who should be in the FBS Group of 5. This is their first away game. Iowa State barely got past FCS Northern Iowa 29-26 in their only game so far. If you are stuck and really want to wager on this game, here is a hint. Iowa HC Ferentz is 8-3 in his past 11 games against State. State HC Campbell is 0-3 in his three tries. How bad is this week overall? ESPN Gameday will be in Ames.
TCU -2 (Westgate) @ Purdue. An interesting game between two 8-4 type teams. TCU has a home win against FCS Arkansas Pine Bluff and then took the next week off. Purdue was stunned at Nevada by MWC Nevada 34-31, but rallied last week to defeat SEC East Cellar Dweller Vanderbilt. Many see this as a game between the Purdue offense against the TCU defense, but in reality, TCU returns more offensive starters and Purdue returns more defensive starters. Of course, returning starters mean nothing if they are not good. TCU needs to find a QB to run the offense. Purdue's defense has given up 58 points in their first two games against weak opposition.
Texas Tech -2 (Westgate) at Arizona. Not much to say here except that if you like scoring, this is your game. Tech has scored 83 points in two weeks against very weak opposition at home. This is their first away game. Arizona has scored 108 points in those same two weeks, but has a loss at Hawaii. The difference could be this. Tech has give up only 13 points while Arizona has given up 86.
Enjoy the games.
