D:
just how my numbers came out i do my own odds , have for over 10 years i call it a true odd not a books odd. sometimes i am wrong sometimes i am not but i put lot of time in to making what i feel is the true line, so i could be wrong, I don't know how will win till game is over i just go on the work i do, this inside info bs and 500 dime plays are bs, i go to spring training, college spring and fall work outs, you get what you see, not what some insider is telling you they know, hell if i could do that on inside info so called lock of the year,week conf, any of that bs which i don't even believe in i would take everything i could get my hands on , and be set for life at least 4-5 times over.
It does not happen that way, it happens with work, you get some wins you should not and lose some you should not but people seem to only reamember and bitch about the bad beat and not the gift they won.
And you can't know how many turn overs there will be, a break down on a kick or punt return, a injury, if there are stupid mistakes like a hold in the red zone , a face mask that keeps a drive alive , yhose just happen you can look for teams who have trends not to do those things in your work up but still that is just a trend for games played before their next game each game is new. read all you can in local papers , school web sites, listen to net coaching brodcast shows or watch them as much as you can on tv, i know dtv carriers a ton.
good luck don't worry. it is only fri and only a day not the whole year.
Eric