Well, Im confused...

[Theboundbook]

I am now doubting my own 3 k bet on Fla -10!!!!! The reason: Ball State tonight. I never saw a Buff win possible (until halftime, but didnt bet on Buff even though my gut said to buy my bet back, but I was afraid of the 4 pt middle double fuck special....)


Is ALA really #1? Florida CRUSHES teams. And ALA seems like a team that is perfect for Urban and Crew to shove those points waaaay up there! I see 47 -14 or 42 -21.... Either way over and FLORIDA covering....


I have thought Im missing something since I missed so badly tonight. Obviously all the money was on Ball ST tonight which is a HUGE DINGDINGDING to go the other way; a system you all know I use frequently. Today, obviously I didnt. Money seems to be on ALA (based on line movement only; dont know %s as of yet)....

I put 3k on Fla at -10. I am thinking of putting 1k on ALA ML, figuring I am dead on with a FLA cover or way off and FLA is gonna lose outright and I break even. I dont see Florida BARELY winning... Blowout or I missed out!

Hudson, Betj, TJBell, and the rest of you College Foot studs, give me your guys' best thoughts on this.... either way. And with explanation if possible. I know and see that THUNDER (another capper I highly respect over many years here) has ALA as his FIRST pick of the week (usually his strongest and best pick is his first one) and he is talking ML stuff too! Am I gonna be sad tomorrow..... I mean, at least Utah will get to play FLA if they lose tomorrow I think which would be a great game/matchup.

In all this blah blah blah here; what Im trying to say is, Help me think this through guys! Im doubting myself after tonight. Without a HUGE NBA night Id have lost tons thanks to ballsack state.

 

[Chaser1965]

All I can say is thanks for making me think about it even more. I am all over Fla but nobody else is, which is a good thing. My two for sure bets of the week were Testicle St and Fla. I still have it my heart the refs changed the outcome of the game so i am gonna stay with Fla. I just hope my early bets will let me bet as big as I want. Mine are posted.

 

[OAKAS]

UNDER:toast:

 

[77sticks]

Well I normally like to break it down like a retard. The #1 team is a 10 point dog? I will assume that everybody that has no idea will jump on them as a dog. Just like when ranked teams are underdogs.

Neutral site and UF favored by 10? I dont get it. I see UF dominating the whole game. Are they telling us that UF is 7 points better if they were playing at Alabama?

UF was only a -7.5 fav at Georgia and they werent #1. I never really understand the ranking in CFB. I guess that is why I will never be a linesmaker.

 

[Chaser1965]

What a game though, who knows. If Ala wins outright, they should have. If Fla wins outright, they should have. Those points though. It's kinda like Dallas and Pittsburgh on Sunday. What a great weekend of football. later all I like Fla but I like the other games better I posted. Shoot me a comment or two.

 

[Wolver98]

Alabama has played 5 offenses ranked in the bottom 15. Georgia was the highest ranked O they played and they are 29. The average ranking for the offenses Alabama faced is 78. Now they play the #3 O.

 

[Chaser1965]

On that note Wolver, no stats thrown out. When Ala went to Ga and kicked their ass, I bet big on Ala. Only because it was defense to defense to me, Al showed some awesome offense. That offense left and hasn't returned. I don't see it returning tonight.

 

[Theboundbook]

Well I normally like to break it down like a retard. The #1 team is a 10 point dog? I will assume that everybody that has no idea will jump on them as a dog. Just like when ranked teams are underdogs.

Neutral site and UF favored by 10? I dont get it. I see UF dominating the whole game. Are they telling us that UF is 7 points better if they were playing at Alabama?

UF was only a -7.5 fav at Georgia and they werent #1. I never really understand the ranking in CFB. I guess that is why I will never be a linesmaker.

This is EXACTLY the way I am thinking!!!!!! And shockingly, I thought the public and EVERYONE here especially would be all over FLA!!!! This is a HUGE LINE for a team that is playing a NUMBER 1 team supposedly in the country!!!!!! A lessor ranked team is giving a TD and a half!!!! This has SUCKER written all over it if you take ALA!!!! IF ALA is/was/whatever #1, why arent they ranked. And you are right, FLA would be favored by 6.5-7 if it was AT ALA!!!!

Please someone, or a bunch, post the %s of where money is going every hour or so from the morning (if you guys can) in accordance to the line. I promise you, WITH THAT INFO, say 5 or 6 where the money %s are and what the line has done since the last post of %s of money, I WILL have the winner ATS pegged by game time. I promise. With that said, I am already locked in 3k with FLA -10. But I am not going to make the same mistake like I did with Uof SF DOns the other day, when someone pointed out that my POD was USF and 72% of the money was on them and the line was dropping and MY DUMB ASS DID NOT buy my bet back immediately plus put another nickel on there. Why did I lose? I didnt ask for the simple answer to where the public was. I knew what the line was doing and was laughing that everyone was on Cal Poly... Well obviously they werent. FALSE LINE MOVE. GUAR WIN ATS (prob 80% +) by going against the FLM (false line move)....

We can work together on this one as a team all day tomorrow and I know we will come out with the winner ATS by gametime. (I still think it will be FLA by gametime for me, but I will use my antipublic/line movement/anti false line movement system of mine IF NEEDED.....

Good luck and THANK YOU guys for responding to my plea and keep those thoughts coming. I appreaciate all of you guys.

 

[ROQQIN RIQ]

WHY DONT YOU JUST WATCH AND ENJOY THE GAME WITHOUT BETTING ON IT AND LIVE TO SEE ANOTHER DAY.....:mj07: GL WITH WHATEVER U DECIDE.....:toast:

 

[Wolver98]

The rankings are pts per game. I love defense and it wins championships but how good is this D when they really haven't played any good Os? I like Florida. They have the #5 D, ppg, and their O is on fire just like Okla. Right now I think Fla and Okla are the two best teams and playing the best. Where would Al's D be ranked if they played in the Big 12? I like it and think Fl. will cover. And with BSU/Buff, that game was a fluke. BSU doesn't turn the ball over but they did against the #93 D? 2 fumbles returned for TDs? I capped it going under and it should have so that game is just "one of those games you can't forsee".

 

[Theboundbook]

WHY DONT YOU JUST WATCH AND ENJOY THE GAME WITHOUT BETTING ON IT AND LIVE TO SEE ANOTHER DAY.....:mj07: GL WITH WHATEVER U DECIDE.....:toast:

Then that would mean I miss a day of work.... If Im not working, I better be in bed. Sleeping or fucking and with all these great games tomorrow, I look forward to my job..... (and of course, my addiction of action must be satisfied.....)....

You already knew how I would respond, didny ya Riq... :mj07: :mj07: :mj07:

 

[pghpounder]

At one site I see...

Alabama 39%
Florida 61%

Alabama Money Line 94%
Florida Money Line 3%

Over 97%
Under 3%

Thats just one site and you don't know how many wagers that consists of...

 

[Theboundbook]

At one site I see...

Alabama 39%
Florida 61%

Alabama Money Line 94%
Florida Money Line 3%

Over 97%
Under 3%

Thats just one site and you don't know how many wagers that consists of...

Thank you.... I understand, but by game time lots of info will be posted here hopefully and we will know what is up and how to use the info once we have it... Could u post it from this site again when u wake up in morning.. Thanks in advance for your help.

 

[pghpounder]

I will do my best to do it in the am...another site I see...

Alabama 46%
Florida 54%

Alabama Money Line 92%
Florida Money Line 8%

Over 93%
Under 7%

 

[rubiconed]

I'm staying away from the game, and just going to watch it, and enjoy it !!! You could just buy it back, and it will only cost you $300 !!!
I think Fl Covers ( they're begging for Al money ), and GL on whatever you do !!!:toast:

 

[Leykis101]

Got this from another site...

Alabama 35.47%
Florida 64.53%
15564 Bets


You guys still like FL with Harvin most likely out?

 

[Theboundbook]

Got this from another site...

Alabama 35.47%
Florida 64.53%
15564 Bets


You guys still like FL with Harvin most likely out?

Im glad I stuck with my guy on this one and I think that the bookmakers knew the whole time that Harvin was out for sure early in the week with no chance to play and still made it at 10.... I made money every which way on FLA today. Had idiots giving 14 on FLA and I was happy to accomodate them. And teasers hit either way on the side and the total..... Congrats to all of ya with FLA and Im glad UTAH doesnt have to play FLA. We would have no chance. We do have a chance against ALA. ALA's ego may hurt them in the upcoming bowl thinking they are playing a joke team in a joke bowl.... Just my 2 cents.