Western Michigan 5 elements of impact

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-- Analysis by Graham Couch
Kalamazoo Gazette

1. WMU's running game. It's all but impossible to evaluate the Broncos' rushing attack one game into the season. West Virginia consistently brought an extra defender into the box and the score forced WMU to abandon the run in the second half. Still, the lackluster numbers -- 46 yards on 22 carries by Broncos running backs -- are noticeable, if not a bit alarming. Indiana is not West Virginia, but it's not Buffalo, either. WMU will have to establish a run game to win. It'll be a point of emphasis, and a big run -- or series of chain-movers -- early from Brandon West, Glenis Thompson or Mark Bonds (two carries last week) would go a long way toward putting the Indiana defense on its heels.

2. Keeping Kellen Lewis in check. For the second straight week, WMU faces a dual-threat quarterback. The Hoosiers' sophomore may not have the reputation of West Virginia's Pat White -- who carved up the Broncos for 192 yards passing, 97 yards rushing and three touchdowns (two passing) -- but he appears to have the skill set (And, remember, before last season White wasn't even the starter, so stardom can happen fast). In the 2006 opener, WMU primarily faced Hoosiers quarterback Blake Powers (now a tight end) in its 39-20 loss and didn't get a glimpse of Lewis, who's been compared to former IU great Antwaan Randle El. Randle El could single-handedly beat much better teams. WMU isn't a much better team than Indiana, so if the comparisons are accurate, Lewis could be trouble.

3. Battle of the receivers. Talk about a couple of college football giants -- at least for their position. Indiana junior James Hardy stands 6-foot-7, 220 pounds. The Broncos' Jamarko Simmons, also a junior, is 6-2, 234. These aren't a pair of stiffs here, either (think Wilt Chamberlain vs. Bill Russell, not Eric Montross vs. Chuck Nevitt). Simmons has 27 catches for 316 yards and three touchdowns in his last two games. Hardy caught 112 passes for more than 1,600 yards in his freshman and sophomore seasons, and made three grabs for 153 yards and two scores in Indiana's opener against Indiana State. At this point, it's almost a certainty Hardy will be a force in every game. Simmons appears to be on a similar -- perhaps even more spectacular -- path. We'll see if he can keep it up.

4. WMU's kicking game. Field goals, kickoffs -- the Broncos' Mike Jones makes both a little too exciting. Jones two missed extra points (on one touchdown) against West Virginia. He later made a 34-yard field goal, but nothing is certain when Jones lines up for an attempt. If his first couple of kickoffs don't reach the 10-yard line, look for walk-on Chris Kelly to take over the duties there. Broncos coach Bill Cubit is already sick of his defense defending a short field.

5. The atmosphere. It's unlikely to be a record-breaking crowd tonight at Waldo Stadium (36,362 would be needed for that), but the count could top 30,000, which, at night, would make for a raucous setting. There have been a few good crowds over the last couple years, but nothing approaching what the athletic department says could be on hand this evening.

Prediction

It's difficult to tell how dangerous Indiana is, if at all, after its win last week against an awful Indiana State program, but here's one man's educated guess the Hoosiers are much improved. So, too, are the Broncos, who were every bit the Hoosiers' equal last year physically. This time, WMU has the home edge. On a wild night, that's the difference.

Make it: WMU 34, Indiana 31.
 

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IU goes on the road to face Western Michigan

Turnover battle key to Saturday night matchup


At his weekly press conference Tuesday, IU coach Bill Lynch could think of no better phrase to describe Kalamazoo, Mich., than as a ?hornet?s nest.?

Or at least that?s how he envisions the environment his football team will find itself in at 8 p.m. Saturday, when the Hoosiers take their 1-0 record to Western Michigan.

?We have a real challenge on our hands this week, and I think our players understand that, and I know our coaching staff does,? Lynch said. ?I spent a lot of years coaching in the Mid-American Conference, as did a lot of our staff, and we know that to go to Western Michigan, they?ve had this thing circled for a long time. It?s a very good football team.?

The Hoosiers opened the 2007 season with a 55-7 blowout win over Indiana State, scoring the most points by an IU team in an opener since a 1969 victory over Kentucky. Saturday night, the Hoosiers will play a team with a slightly higher talent level ? and a little more speed ? than the Sycamores.

?They have a very good secondary with a lot of guys coming back this year,? said junior wide receiver James Hardy. ?They have a lot of confidence in their corners and they think that we won?t be able to get off the press. It?s going to be a challenge for us, but I think we?re ready for it.?

Last season, the Broncos finished the regular season with an 8-4 record, good enough to secure a spot in the International Bowl in Toronto against Cincinnati. Western Michigan went on to lose the game 27-24. After their home opener, the Broncos continued the losing trend by suffering a blowout of their own ? a 62-24 loss at No. 3 West Virginia.

Lynch said Western Michigan?s competitiveness is not reflected by the box score from their game last week. But the Broncos are a team IU knows well.

?Bill Cubit has been a really good head coach for a long time,? Lynch said. ?I?ve known him a long time; his football teams are always well schooled and very tough to defend, because they?ll give you about as many formations as you?ll see all season in one game.?

In addition to the fact that much of the IU coaching staff spent at least a portion of their careers in the MAC conference, playing the Broncos will be a rematch of last year?s 39-20 IU victory at Memorial Stadium.

However, this Hoosier team bares distinct differences to the one that played the Broncos a year ago. Leading the offense was now-senior quarterback Blake Powers, who has since been replaced by sophomore quarterback Kellen Lewis. Back then, Lewis was nothing more than an unknown commodity, sitting behind Graeme McFarland in the depth chart.

Though IU faces a fast defense this weekend that returns most of its starters from last season, Lewis said the talent within the Hoosier receiving corps will be good enough to counter the Broncos? defense.

?It?s nothing to really worry about; we?ve got a lot of speed on our side of the ball too,? Lewis said. ?Obviously, we?re pretty deep at wide receiver, and we?ve got a lot of guys who can run around and catch the ball. I guess it will be a finesse vs. finesse match up.?

But this is also a defense that was seventh in the NCAA in turnover margin last year, forcing 12 fumbles and picking off 24 passes. Against the Football Championship Subdivision Sycamores, the Hoosiers fumbled the ball six times.

Forcing turnovers ? while making sure the Hoosiers avoid them ? is on Lynch?s priority list as well.

?The ball can?t be on the ground when we?re playing,? Lynch said. ?It?s a point of emphasis and on the other side, see if our defense can strip it and get it out. Anytime you go on the road to a tough situation, you have to take care of the football. If you can get some turnovers that can certainly be a big help.?
 
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