What are people thinking?

[Coach Woody]

Curious on thoughts on tonights game.

I have thought Eagles since the game came out. See lots of G-Men love. Curious on why? Eagles have been playing good teams close.

Giants last two weeks lost to a BAD cowboys team and beat a BAD Washington team.

Eagles lost to a GOOD Ravens team by 2 and a GOOD Steelers team by 9.


yes they have a few injuries but can't see them losing tonight.

So with that said....

I could be way wrong so would love to hear the reasoning behind the Backing of the Giants before I lay my money down on the Eagles.


Thanks all and good luck

 

[yanno]

Ok, here is some reasoning that I just cut and pasted from a post on another site. I have no play on this game, just trying to help answer your question. Can't really cite the site.

Good luck whatever you do! :0008

The road team is 4-0 against the spread in the last four meetings between these two teams while the Giants have covered in 19 of their last 26 road games. The G-Men are also 17-5 against the number in their last 22 games as a road underdog, are 5-1 against the spread in their last six games when playing an opponent with a losing record and are 4-0 ATS in their last four games coming off an ATS loss. ;On the other side, the Eagles are just 2-6 against the spread in their last eight home games, are 0-4 against the number in their last four games as a favorite and are winless at the betting window in their last four games as a home favorite.


Trend this season, Road dogs vs opp off SU loss are 19-4 ATS

NYG are active for this trend

Also NYG will be a half game behind Dallas.

 

[Coach Woody]

Thanks yanno

That's interesting info.

 

[yanno]

Just to follow up on this, here is a morning after "lessons learned" report by a contrarian bettor from the Vegas Sports and Information Network. FYI only. :0008

By Josh Appelbaum (VSiN.com)
October 22, 2020 11:41 PM

The Giants (+ 5) came up huge for sharp contrarian bettors last night, losing to the Eagles 22-21 but covering the spread. New York was a blueprint example of data-driven sharp play. The G-MEN were contrarian in a heavily bet primetime game and received sharp reverse line movement (+ 6 to + 5). The line even reached 3.5 throughout the week. Essentially all liability and line movement was toward New York even though the vast majority of bets were on Philadelphia. The Giants also cashed as a road divisional dog. The built in familiarity between divisional opponents has historically benefited the team getting points. Road teams with line movement in their favor are now 29-16 ATS (64%) this season. Short road dogs + 6 or less are now 24-12 ATS (67%).