Who else likes Louisville?

[justin22g]

I have been riding Cincy since the start of the season... the cards have play makers... but what in the hell has been wrong w/ them?

I just think 10.5 is too much chalk... I think the ole brohm has an awesome game.... i think they might win this game su...

and i did take Utah on the moneyline last week... so dont call me stupid :mj07:

 

[Destructor D]

Not calling you stupid, but Cincy's crowd should be a large difference maker in this game.

You have one team in L'ville that can't stop anyone and you have another team in Cincy who is thinking BCS... haven't made a play on this game, but tough to get excited about Loserville with their pathetic defense IMO.

Cincy should score 35 to 45 points, will L'ville score 24 to 35 and keep up?

 

[justin22g]

yeah... thats what im thinking... i just dont understand why their offense can't put points on the board... im used to the cards winning 67 to 55... now they struggle to make first downs

im a big believer that it takes just one game to turn a team around... kinda like my tigers beating florida... and im thinking this is louisville's turn

 

[Theboundbook]

I dont think anyone should bet on Louisville this year..... Look what my hometown Utes did to em after having problems with a chitty UNLV team.... They suck, period.

Either pass or Cincy.

 

[Destructor D]

Have to agree with Boundbook... Lousville's defense is beyond awful and you're talking about a team that had big time BCS plans and now has lost to Syracuse, gave up ungawdly points to Mid Tenneshe State, and just can't stop anyone (also lost to Utah @ home and Kentucky). Cincy is on a roll and playing at home... Bearcats could roll the Cards IMO, but who knows:shrug:

I believe when oddsmakers make a line big against a public team like the Cards, they know what they're doing and want a bunch of L'ville action which they'll get, however, Cincy has covered every game this year and could destroy the Cards.

The Cold (Gold Sheet) has Cincy as one of their better plays this week and I have to agree. Brian Kelly has also covered over 80% of his games going 22-5-2 his last 27 including 9-0-1 his last 10 as a host!!! CINCY 7-1 their last 8 home games ATS as well!!!

 

[justin22g]

damn i hope the cards dont cover...

cause you guys just talked me out of it =]

 

[thebsmanofkent]

I would most definitely pass on the cards.
Confidence is low and D is brutal....

 

[Statman02]

Cincy #3 in the country in points allowed......12.67...........at home only 6.67

 

[justin22g]

thanks for the insight...

and thanks for saving me money

 

[Destructor D]

Justin 22g,

Don't be mad if Lousville covers, I'm just stating my feelings and I think the Cards look like sucker city.

Cincy is coming off the shorter week of prep and could be overconfident after watching film of the Cards' defense!

 

[Dr. Fade]

yeah... thats what im thinking... i just dont understand why their offense can't put points on the board... im used to the cards winning 67 to 55... now they struggle to make first downs

im a big believer that it takes just one game to turn a team around... kinda like my tigers beating florida... and im thinking this is louisville's turn

New coach and graduated quite a bit of talent. I bought Cinci down to -10.

 

[Toledo Prophet]

I acutally like L'Ville in this game......i guess, though, it is sorta a system play, rather than a play coming from breaking down of X's and O's.


Here's the deal: Teams who lost outright as DD favs who are road underdogs the following week, cover about 65% of the time over the last 10 years.......thats the role the Cards are in Saturday night.

Cincy has been awesome at getting turnovers, but Brohm is not going to be throwing the ball to the other team a la Teel last week, nor will they turn it over like Oregon St did.....just a hunch.

Mentally, L'Ville can still turn its season around and getting to a BCS Bowl is not necessarily out of reach for them, especially if they can get a win in Cincy.

I too have been on Cincy a couple of times this year, so i hate fading them, especially against one of the more disappointing teams of the season.

But i love playing those road dogs who were upset the week before....always been a good money maker for me.

By the way, if an oddsmaker were to put out a line for this game back back in July, what do you suppose it would be......maybe -10 the other way......not really part of the handicapping equation, but interesting food for thought that helps illustrate just how goofy this season has been so far.

For the sake of clarity, i'll try to dig up exact numbers on that road dog trend i explained......i have them somewhere, just have to find the right notebook.....i'll post in this thread or start a new one.