I was looking at sportsbook, and it seems there are several 89%+ with the public.
Has anyone figured out what the top 5 public fades are today?
Has anyone figured out what the top 5 public fades are today?
Who's got the public fade system
- Thread starter Jtrain
- Start date
From the DR. who know's little about medicine
From the DR. who know's little about medicine
BOWLING GREEN (-28.5) 43 Temple 20
01:00 PM Pacific Time Saturday, Oct-01 -
The math in this game surprised me a bit, but Bowling Green probably won?t have as easy of a game as the oddsmakers think they will. Temple has losses of 16-63, 0-65 and 17-42 on their resume, but Bowling Green is far from the class of Arizona State, Wisconsin, and even Toledo. The Falcons have a good offense (6.5 yards per play against teams that would combine to allow 5.8 yppl to an average team), but their defense is among the worst in the nation so far this season ? allowing 6.7 yppl to teams that would combine to average only 5.1 yppl against an average defensive team. The Falcons allowed lowly Ball State to average 7.1 yppl and score 31 points, so there is no reason why Temple can?t score enough points to stay within the huge number. Temple?s pathetic offense (3.8 yppl against teams that would allow 5.8 yppl to an average team) is just 0.4 yppl worse than Bowling Green?s defense. The Owls? defense, meanwhile, isn?t actually all that bad, as they?ve allowed 6.1 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.7 yppl against an average defensive team. Overall, the math favors Bowling Green by just 15 ? points, but the Falcons apply to a 65-27-2 ATS big home favorite blowout bounce-back situation that?s worth 7 points. That angle obviously isn?t strong enough to make up for the line value favoring Temple, so I?ll lean with the Owls.
From the DR. who know's little about medicine
BOWLING GREEN (-28.5) 43 Temple 20
01:00 PM Pacific Time Saturday, Oct-01 -
The math in this game surprised me a bit, but Bowling Green probably won?t have as easy of a game as the oddsmakers think they will. Temple has losses of 16-63, 0-65 and 17-42 on their resume, but Bowling Green is far from the class of Arizona State, Wisconsin, and even Toledo. The Falcons have a good offense (6.5 yards per play against teams that would combine to allow 5.8 yppl to an average team), but their defense is among the worst in the nation so far this season ? allowing 6.7 yppl to teams that would combine to average only 5.1 yppl against an average defensive team. The Falcons allowed lowly Ball State to average 7.1 yppl and score 31 points, so there is no reason why Temple can?t score enough points to stay within the huge number. Temple?s pathetic offense (3.8 yppl against teams that would allow 5.8 yppl to an average team) is just 0.4 yppl worse than Bowling Green?s defense. The Owls? defense, meanwhile, isn?t actually all that bad, as they?ve allowed 6.1 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.7 yppl against an average defensive team. Overall, the math favors Bowling Green by just 15 ? points, but the Falcons apply to a 65-27-2 ATS big home favorite blowout bounce-back situation that?s worth 7 points. That angle obviously isn?t strong enough to make up for the line value favoring Temple, so I?ll lean with the Owls.
