Because I want to put some serious $$$ on my unstoppable Nationals.....yeah baby!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
kneifl
kneifl
Who's next????
- Thread starter kneifl
- Start date
they are absoultey stroking , but have not seen deltas' like this before with their #'s with out some sort of correction....to the .500
gotta love the way they are playing like you say
Teams are sorted by division and third-order wins and losses.
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 EQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3
Red_Sox 46. 33. 442 392 43.9 35.0 458 391 45.5 33.5 466 387 46.5 32.4 2.1 0.5 -0.5
Orioles 44. 36. 398 365 43.1 36.9 427 357 46.6 33.3 428 366 45.9 34.1 0.9 -2.6 -1.9
Yankees 40. 39. 424 402 41.4 37.6 431 395 42.8 36.2 427 384 43.5 35.5 -1.4 -2.8 -3.5
Blue_Jays 41. 40. 380 339 44.6 36.4 366 351 41.9 39.0 365 335 43.7 37.3 -3.6 -0.9 -2.7
Devil_Rays 27. 54. 367 501 28.4 52.8 370 465 31.6 49.5 382 460 33.2 47.9 -1.4 -4.6 -6.2
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 EQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3
Indians 43. 36. 359 319 43.6 35.4 371 320 44.8 34.2 382 323 45.5 33.5 -0.6 -1.8 -2.5
White_Sox 54. 25. 377 295 48.0 30.9 356 313 44.1 34.9 362 317 44.2 34.7 6.0 9.9 9.8
Twins 44. 34. 358 318 43.1 34.9 366 326 43.1 34.9 372 332 43.0 34.9 0.9 0.9 1.0
Tigers 37. 40. 348 338 39.4 37.6 349 332 40.1 36.9 349 322 41.2 35.8 -2.4 -3.1 -4.2
Royals 26. 53. 336 446 28.9 50.2 321 421 29.6 49.5 337 421 31.1 47.9 -2.9 -3.6 -5.1
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 EQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3
Angels 49. 31. 388 308 48.2 31.7 376 334 44.2 35.7 388 336 45.3 34.7 0.8 4.8 3.7
Rangers 42. 37. 433 385 43.8 35.2 436 387 43.9 35.1 457 401 44.5 34.5 -1.8 -1.9 -2.5
Athletics 39. 41. 358 354 40.2 39.8 349 326 42.4 37.6 345 322 42.4 37.5 -1.2 -3.4 -3.4
Mariners 33. 46. 329 361 35.9 43.1 324 370 34.5 44.6 330 360 36.3 42.7 -2.9 -1.5 -3.3
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 EQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3
Braves 44. 37. 388 322 47.2 33.7 374 364 41.5 39.5 372 356 42.1 38.9 -3.2 2.5 1.9
Mets 40. 40. 357 350 40.6 39.4 353 337 41.7 38.3 353 338 41.6 38.4 -0.6 -1.7 -1.6
Marlins 41. 37. 348 326 41.2 36.8 355 331 41.5 36.5 345 333 40.1 37.9 -0.2 -0.5 0.9
Phillies 41. 40. 376 395 38.4 42.6 381 388 39.7 41.3 381 379 40.5 40.5 2.6 1.3 0.5
Nationals 49. 31. 330 329 39.9 40.1 334 339 39.3 40.7 336 343 39.2 40.8 9.1 9.7 9.8
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 EQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3
Cardinals 50. 30. 415 323 49.0 30.9 389 312 47.9 32.0 368 320 45.1 34.9 1.0 2.1 4.9
Cubs 40. 39. 359 355 39.7 39.3 375 349 42.1 36.9 376 353 41.7 37.3 0.3 -2.1 -1.7
Brewers 38. 42. 348 329 41.9 38.1 356 350 40.5 39.5 354 354 39.9 40.1 -3.9 -2.5 -1.9
Astros 37. 42. 323 339 37.6 41.4 316 330 37.8 41.2 297 324 36.4 42.6 -0.6 -0.8 0.6
Pirates 34. 45. 330 360 36.2 42.9 331 375 34.8 44.2 323 366 34.9 44.2 -2.2 -0.8 -0.9
Reds 31. 49. 403 476 33.3 46.7 402 496 31.7 48.4 406 488 32.7 47.4 -2.3 -0.7 -1.7
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 EQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3
Padres 43. 37. 363 351 41.1 38.9 374 349 42.4 37.5 361 354 40.6 39.4 1.9 0.6 2.4
Dodgers 38. 42. 353 377 37.4 42.7 347 365 38.0 42.0 341 367 37.2 42.8 0.6 0.0 0.8
Diamondbacks 40. 42. 370 446 33.6 48.5 386 441 35.7 46.3 378 453 33.8 48.3 6.4 4.3 6.2
Giants 34. 45. 355 420 33.0 46.0 346 405 33.6 45.4 341 422 31.6 47.5 1.0 0.4 2.4
Rockies 28. 51. 355 449 30.5 48.6 351 454 29.8 49.3 348 456 29.3 49.8 -2.5 -1.8 -1.3
Terms:
W, L : Actual team wins and losses.
RS, RA: Actual team runs scored and runs allowed.
W1, L1 ("First-order wins"): Pythagenport expected wins and losses, based on
RS and RA.
EQR, EQRA: Equivalent runs scored and equivalent runs allowed (equivalent
runs, generated from the opponent's batting line)
W2, L2 ("Second-order wins"): Pythagenport wins and losses, based on EQR and
EQRA.
AEQR, AEQRA: EQR and EQRA, adjusted for strength of schedule: the
quality of their opponent's pitching and hitting. If AEQR is higher than EQR,
the team has faced better than average pitching; if AEQRA is higher than EQRA, the team has faced worse than average hitting.
W3, L3 ("Third-order wins"): Pythagenport wins and losses, based on AEQR and
AEQRA.
D1, D2, D3: Deltas between actual wins and W1, W2, and W3. Positive numbers
mean the team has won more games than expected from their statistics.
gotta love the way they are playing like you say
Teams are sorted by division and third-order wins and losses.
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 EQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3
Red_Sox 46. 33. 442 392 43.9 35.0 458 391 45.5 33.5 466 387 46.5 32.4 2.1 0.5 -0.5
Orioles 44. 36. 398 365 43.1 36.9 427 357 46.6 33.3 428 366 45.9 34.1 0.9 -2.6 -1.9
Yankees 40. 39. 424 402 41.4 37.6 431 395 42.8 36.2 427 384 43.5 35.5 -1.4 -2.8 -3.5
Blue_Jays 41. 40. 380 339 44.6 36.4 366 351 41.9 39.0 365 335 43.7 37.3 -3.6 -0.9 -2.7
Devil_Rays 27. 54. 367 501 28.4 52.8 370 465 31.6 49.5 382 460 33.2 47.9 -1.4 -4.6 -6.2
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 EQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3
Indians 43. 36. 359 319 43.6 35.4 371 320 44.8 34.2 382 323 45.5 33.5 -0.6 -1.8 -2.5
White_Sox 54. 25. 377 295 48.0 30.9 356 313 44.1 34.9 362 317 44.2 34.7 6.0 9.9 9.8
Twins 44. 34. 358 318 43.1 34.9 366 326 43.1 34.9 372 332 43.0 34.9 0.9 0.9 1.0
Tigers 37. 40. 348 338 39.4 37.6 349 332 40.1 36.9 349 322 41.2 35.8 -2.4 -3.1 -4.2
Royals 26. 53. 336 446 28.9 50.2 321 421 29.6 49.5 337 421 31.1 47.9 -2.9 -3.6 -5.1
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 EQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3
Angels 49. 31. 388 308 48.2 31.7 376 334 44.2 35.7 388 336 45.3 34.7 0.8 4.8 3.7
Rangers 42. 37. 433 385 43.8 35.2 436 387 43.9 35.1 457 401 44.5 34.5 -1.8 -1.9 -2.5
Athletics 39. 41. 358 354 40.2 39.8 349 326 42.4 37.6 345 322 42.4 37.5 -1.2 -3.4 -3.4
Mariners 33. 46. 329 361 35.9 43.1 324 370 34.5 44.6 330 360 36.3 42.7 -2.9 -1.5 -3.3
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 EQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3
Braves 44. 37. 388 322 47.2 33.7 374 364 41.5 39.5 372 356 42.1 38.9 -3.2 2.5 1.9
Mets 40. 40. 357 350 40.6 39.4 353 337 41.7 38.3 353 338 41.6 38.4 -0.6 -1.7 -1.6
Marlins 41. 37. 348 326 41.2 36.8 355 331 41.5 36.5 345 333 40.1 37.9 -0.2 -0.5 0.9
Phillies 41. 40. 376 395 38.4 42.6 381 388 39.7 41.3 381 379 40.5 40.5 2.6 1.3 0.5
Nationals 49. 31. 330 329 39.9 40.1 334 339 39.3 40.7 336 343 39.2 40.8 9.1 9.7 9.8
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 EQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3
Cardinals 50. 30. 415 323 49.0 30.9 389 312 47.9 32.0 368 320 45.1 34.9 1.0 2.1 4.9
Cubs 40. 39. 359 355 39.7 39.3 375 349 42.1 36.9 376 353 41.7 37.3 0.3 -2.1 -1.7
Brewers 38. 42. 348 329 41.9 38.1 356 350 40.5 39.5 354 354 39.9 40.1 -3.9 -2.5 -1.9
Astros 37. 42. 323 339 37.6 41.4 316 330 37.8 41.2 297 324 36.4 42.6 -0.6 -0.8 0.6
Pirates 34. 45. 330 360 36.2 42.9 331 375 34.8 44.2 323 366 34.9 44.2 -2.2 -0.8 -0.9
Reds 31. 49. 403 476 33.3 46.7 402 496 31.7 48.4 406 488 32.7 47.4 -2.3 -0.7 -1.7
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 EQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3
Padres 43. 37. 363 351 41.1 38.9 374 349 42.4 37.5 361 354 40.6 39.4 1.9 0.6 2.4
Dodgers 38. 42. 353 377 37.4 42.7 347 365 38.0 42.0 341 367 37.2 42.8 0.6 0.0 0.8
Diamondbacks 40. 42. 370 446 33.6 48.5 386 441 35.7 46.3 378 453 33.8 48.3 6.4 4.3 6.2
Giants 34. 45. 355 420 33.0 46.0 346 405 33.6 45.4 341 422 31.6 47.5 1.0 0.4 2.4
Rockies 28. 51. 355 449 30.5 48.6 351 454 29.8 49.3 348 456 29.3 49.8 -2.5 -1.8 -1.3
Terms:
W, L : Actual team wins and losses.
RS, RA: Actual team runs scored and runs allowed.
W1, L1 ("First-order wins"): Pythagenport expected wins and losses, based on
RS and RA.
EQR, EQRA: Equivalent runs scored and equivalent runs allowed (equivalent
runs, generated from the opponent's batting line)
W2, L2 ("Second-order wins"): Pythagenport wins and losses, based on EQR and
EQRA.
AEQR, AEQRA: EQR and EQRA, adjusted for strength of schedule: the
quality of their opponent's pitching and hitting. If AEQR is higher than EQR,
the team has faced better than average pitching; if AEQRA is higher than EQRA, the team has faced worse than average hitting.
W3, L3 ("Third-order wins"): Pythagenport wins and losses, based on AEQR and
AEQRA.
D1, D2, D3: Deltas between actual wins and W1, W2, and W3. Positive numbers
mean the team has won more games than expected from their statistics.
Yep, I know what you mean Greg. I think they'll handle the Mets - They just aren't as good. They'll be very lucky to win one of the 4 at RFK with all that Nats fan support against a superior team. If they do win one it will be when Pedro is pitching and he'll have to pitch good too.
kneifl
kneifl
