Will the trend continue?

Theboundbook

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Its 11-0 ATS with 5 or 6 SU. Dogs on weeknights. Including last night's ML blown win but still cover for FAU against MTST.

I hope Boise goes way up and then I take the dog. Thats been the pattern and its been working. Problem is for me is when BYU and U of U comes up this Thurs and Fri.
 

Corley1011

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I think its Boise too... Ive seen La tech play and they really arent that good... Boise on the smurph turf is tough to hang with
 

Theboundbook

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Alot of these look awful tempting. S. Fla and BYU especially to me. Line is down to 24 from 24.5 for Boise St today. Not enough movement for me to jump yet. Still leaning towards the dog until this trend ends...
 

Theboundbook

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10/1/2008 6:29 PM Parlay 100.00 456.29 Football - 313 BYU (Football)/Utah State (Football) over 59? -110 for Game
Baseball - 962 Tampa Bay Rays -190 for Game
Baseball - 953 Los Angeles Dodgers +? -110 for 1st 5 Innings
 

Theboundbook

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So Boise St covered on Wed. (1st one of the last 12) and then sure enough EVERY DOG covered today ......

The trend is an astounding 14-1 ATS and at least 50% (I think higher) S.U. on games on weeknights in college foots. This makes me very uncomfortable with BYU tomorrow.


Seriously folks, this is an amazing trend. I thought SF and Utah would have no trouble covering. If you played 1st H and game you would have gone 1-5 with the faves on the 3 games tonight. I may buy back my BYU -27.5 I got and hopefully get a 30 tomorrow and hope for the middle. This trend is too hot to fook with. Boise ST is THE ONLY one in the last 3 weeks of weeknight faves that has covered.... Check if you want. Its true and hard to deny. I feel stupid for going on anything but the dogs... especially with me being the one pointing this out and there I am on SF and Utah 1st H today in paralys of mine. Both lost of course....

Alot of people said NO WAY will Pitt cover tonight. Shit, they won! The HOUSE is CRUSHING most people during the week forcing the 'CHASE' scenario for the weekend. And think of the dog wins and covers on Sun Night Football and MNF (look at how many dogs there in the last month... (at least 80% on those two games each week))
 

Theboundbook

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Well, today its dog day again! (Course, it was the favorite to start.)

Clemson went from +2.5 to -1.5 and still moving!

Plus:

CLEM
WFRST WFRST are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.


How can you go against that and the public move over a kicker? Come on.

Im ALL OVER WF!!!!!! I hope everyone got that under on Tues when it went from 51.5 to 54.... Hit 47 I believe, another easy pick thanks to line movement....




The TREND now in the last 3 weeks and 1 day (Tues night of this week) is:

14-3 DOGS ATS..... Boise St, Cicni, and Troy are the 3 faves that have covered so far.....
 

HUDSON

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Home dogs are the way to go most of the time, but I see this trend evening out a bit as the year goes on. Fav's will make their comeback sooner or later.
 

Theboundbook

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59780057-1 10/9/2008 7:41 PM Total 165.00 150.00 Football - 105 UAB (Football)/Houston U (Football) under 68? -110 for Game


59780057-2 10/9/2008 7:41 PM Spread 157.50 150.00 Football - 104 Wake Forest (Football) pk -105 for 1st Half


59780057-3 10/9/2008 7:41 PM Spread 110.00 100.00 Football - 104 Wake Forest (Football) pk -110 for 1st Quart

10/9/2008 7:12 PM Parlay 50.00 477.73 Football - 104 Wake Forest (Football) +1? -110 for Game
Baseball - 901 Los Angeles Dodgers +130 for Game
Baseball - 904 Tampa Bay Rays -115 for Game
Soccer - 3317 SAO PAULO SP -350 for Game



59779929-1 10/9/2008 7:40 PM Spread 220.00 200.00 Football - 104 Wake Forest (Football) +1 -110 for Gam
 

Theboundbook

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59780057-1 10/9/2008 7:41 PM Total 165.00 150.00 Football - 105 UAB (Football)/Houston U (Football) under 68? -110 for Game


59780057-2 10/9/2008 7:41 PM Spread 157.50 150.00 Football - 104 Wake Forest (Football) pk -105 for 1st Half


59780057-3 10/9/2008 7:41 PM Spread 110.00 100.00 Football - 104 Wake Forest (Football) pk -110 for 1st Quart

10/9/2008 7:12 PM Parlay 50.00 477.73 Football - 104 Wake Forest (Football) +1? -110 for Game
Baseball - 901 Los Angeles Dodgers +130 for Game
Baseball - 904 Tampa Bay Rays -115 for Game
Soccer - 3317 SAO PAULO SP -350 for Game



59779929-1 10/9/2008 7:40 PM Spread 220.00 200.00 Football - 104 Wake Forest (Football) +1 -110 for Gam

Looks like the public is wrong again!!!!

1-0 +100.00 so far...
 

bleedingpurple

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Glad you took wake forrest. My service gave Clemson but I put in when I was getting 2.5 then the spread went the other way and I had a gut feeling that I was doomed. I stuck with it but I knew you would go the other way and I was talking to my buds saying we should go with wakevbut we stuck with it. Thankfully Houston cut our losses tonight
 

Theboundbook

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59780057-1 10/9/2008 7:41 PM Total 165.00 150.00 Football - 105 UAB (Football)/Houston U (Football) under 68? -110 for Game


59780057-2 10/9/2008 7:41 PM Spread 157.50 150.00 Football - 104 Wake Forest (Football) pk -105 for 1st Half


59780057-3 10/9/2008 7:41 PM Spread 110.00 100.00 Football - 104 Wake Forest (Football) pk -110 for 1st Quart

10/9/2008 7:12 PM Parlay 50.00 477.73 Football - 104 Wake Forest (Football) +1? -110 for Game
Baseball - 901 Los Angeles Dodgers +130 for Game
Baseball - 904 Tampa Bay Rays -115 for Game
Soccer - 3317 SAO PAULO SP -350 for Game



59779929-1 10/9/2008 7:40 PM Spread 220.00 200.00 Football - 104 Wake Forest (Football) +1 -110 for Gam

Sweeper with ease on all football. Too bad about LAD killing the parlay...

4-1 +550.00



At the bar tonight I also took 560/400 WF pk em -140 2nd half which won by 2 pts....



So, after tonight, Dogs won this one, and the other game, Hou (the favorite) came back and CRUSHED 2nd half to cover the 18....


System since my tracking:

15-4 Dogs ATS, with another dog winning S.U. tonight.... (All these lines are based on the line 10-30 minutes before kickoff)......

Congrats to all those on the unders on both games, WF without a kicker, and HOU for a great comeback... (What an easy middle on the total 2nd half for those on under in the game....)


C ya all tomorrow!
 

Theboundbook

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BYU soooooo fits this trend thread its sickening!!!!! % of money is dumping on TCU!!!! BYU is the way here! And its a weekday game which is all about DOGS winning S.U. and covering...


15-5-1 (had Louisville pushing at +7 at gametime) Dogs ATS (And I think 8 S.U.)

Time for BYU dog to win SU and cover tonight. I am on FS also, and this one makes me worry because of this awesome trend the last month or so. Remember these are weeknight CFB plays only....
 

Theboundbook

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BYU has taken five of the teams' seven all-time meetings, including three of four at TCU's Amon G. Carter Stadium. The Cougars won their last trip to Fort Worth 31-17 on Sept. 28, 2006, one of the Frogs' four losses in their last 32 home games.

TCU will have its work cut out for it against BYU's Max Hall, who ranks among FBS leaders with 1,852 passing yards and 20 touchdowns. Hall, 17-2 as a starter, completed 22 of 34 passes for 265 yards and three touchdowns against New Mexico, and has thrown at least two TDs in each of his last eight games.

Hall is converting an astounding 70.7 percent of his pass attempts for more than 307 ypg and has 20 touchdowns against just four picks.





With Dalton still listed as questionable with a right knee injury, Jackson has to carry the offense again for the Horned Frogs. Filling in for an injured Andy Dalton at quarterback, Marcus Jackson had a bit of an off-day versus Colorado State last week, hitting 16-of-26 passes for 166 yards and an interception, yet still played well enough to secure the Frogs a narrow six-point win on the road.


The Horned Frogs turned the ball over twice, but it could have been much worse with TCU putting the ball on the turf a total of five times and losing possession just once in those instances.


Predicted final:

20 -10 BYU :SIB :SIB :SIB :SIB :shrug: :SIB :SIB :SIB :SIB
 

Theboundbook

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Well, I went against the trend and guess what I lost!!!!


THE TREND IS NOW:

17-5-1 with another S.U. win for a 4.5 pt line move for 2.5+ line moves/or dogs (generally just dogs) on weeknight plays. And I believe 11 of the 17 have won S.U!

This trend doesnt lie!!!!! Good luck tomorrow. Looks like some early money on chitty Haw on the road. Line down to -24 from 24.5.....
 

Theboundbook

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Well, chances are Hawaii is gonna cover here. Or will they? The line has dropped 1 pt so far to 23.5. Not enough to hit the line move part of the trend, so stick with the dog then. If the line drops to 22, take Boise St, otherwise Haw.

My play:

None tonight. Sticking with plays on the ice!
 

SIMON

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Atten: TheBoundbook

I would like to keep track of these lines as well.

Do you have a site or soemthing accessable that specializes in multiple opening lines vs current lines throughout the week ?

Your trend may be valid on the Virginia/UNC game.
My notes have an opening line of 49 on the o/u and now it's at 44.5 - but I want to confirm it.

I can't read my own handwriting 47 or 49 ?

Can you advise ?
 
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