winsday
- Thread starter RAYMOND
- Start date
| Wednesday, August 6, 2025 MIAMI (Junk) -115 over HOUSTON (Arrighetti) The Marlins look to avert a sweep today, and their chances look good. Miami has posted a hefty profit in day games (+$1795) and their starting pitcher Janson Junk has led the club to victories in 6 of his first 8 starts (+$710). The Astros will go with Spencer Arrighetti, who starts for only the 3rd time in 2025 (5.59 ERA in his first two). Good spot for the home team to get themselves back in track. |
MILWAUKEE BREWERS +116 (Quintana) At Atlanta (Strider) This is way too obvious but what the heck, why not? If it misses the mark, we should fine ourselves $50 and be subjected to a 50-minute lecture for being against a home team playing to avoid being swept in a series. A mythical $100 flat-bet on the Braves this season has re sulted in a mythical net loss of about a mythical -$4,000, biggest mythical net loss in MLB. A mythical flat-bet on the Brewers – the only MLB team with a factual, non-mythical win percentage of .600 or better, which includes the non-fictional best road record of 33-24 – has resulted in a mythical net profit of about a mythical +$2,200, second-best in MLB next to the Miami Marlins (who, you’ll note, have lost two in a row since sweeping three games from the Yankees). There is nothing wrong with Spencer Strider’s recent form, and Jose Quintana, while fine lately, is facing a collection of Atlanta batters that have a combined .327 Batting Average against him. But the Braves, hopelessly out of post-season conten tion, are 4-12 since the All-Star break, the Brewers 13 4. Like we said, way too obvious, and the SOBs dangle
THE ATHLETICS -130 (Springs) At Washington (Cavalli) Nationals pitchers have allowed 7, 9, 16, 8, 14 and 16 runs in the team’s six consecutive losses heading into tonight. Tonight, they send out Italian cowboy Cade Ca valli for his first MLB appearance since his only MLB appearance in 2022. That appearance was 4 innings of 7-run ball, followed by surgery, etc. With that history be hind him, a lockdown performance seems unlikely. If he defies the odds – and there’s a 6.00+ minor league ERA for him this season to consider -- there is still the prob ability that he throws no more than 4 or 5 innings, which would put the Washington bullpen and its tendency to give up runs – see the string of opposing runs scored lately in sentence #1, as well as their combined relievers’ ERA/WHIP of 5.98/1.57 – in charge for a big chunk of the remainder. In summation, we say to Springs, a lefty with four quality starts in his last five, all four of them Athletics wins, throwing against a lineup 10-19 when the other side starts a southpaw: ‘Don’t screw it up! Tell your bullpen buddies to be sharp, too
