Wk. 10.

M

MrChristo

The Zapper
Forum Member
Nov 11, 2001
4,414
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Sexlexia...
31-40-1 (-12.23)

Detroit @ Jax UNDER 34.5

My favourite trend in the whole world!! :142lmao:

League: 6-35 under (av. 33.4) home 3- fav off a BYE.
1-21 under (av. 31.6) since '97!!
0-7 under (av. 26.0) if total <37

Was hoping for a total closer to 37 but will still ride it here.
Also have to love Gerard saying he 'hates to throw the ball'!!...He'd rather run it and loves to get hit! (Strange man! :142lmao: )
Anyway, this will play into the hands of the Lions surprisingly good Run D. (3.5 ypc).
Jax defense should be able to hold Det in check.
Bit of wind forecast can't hurt!

Green Bay/Minni over 49.5

Both gain over 50% 3rd dwons.
Both allow over 4.5 ypr (both bottom 6 in NFL), both poor pass D, both top 4 in total offense, 2nd and 3rd in passing yards, and Min no. 1 in the NFL @ 5.1 ypr!

Last 3 years:
Min 9-1 over as road dog +3 to +9.
5-1 over when total 49.5 or more.

GB 11-3 over inside div.

Last 4 meetings all over @ 53 ppg.

Call me crazy, but I think we might see some points in this one. :scared

Looking pretty closely at SL/Seattle over, NO/KC over and SF/Caro over also.

Good luck this week everyone! :clap:
 
M

MrChristo

The Zapper
Forum Member
Nov 11, 2001
4,414
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Sexlexia...
GL to us both, ahjoah :toast:

San Fran v. Carolina over 41

San Fran defense have not allowed less than 21 points all season!!..Giving up over 28 ppg at home.

Carolina have had problems scoring all season, but they have played somne good defensive teams so far.
In fact, the Panthers have only play 3 teams that aren't in the top 10 for at least one defensive category! (Overall, rush or pass).
In these 3 games they have scored:
14. (wk 1. v. Green Bay)
28. (wk. 2. @ KC)
24 last week v. Oakland.

If Arizona and Chicago can put up 20+ v. SF there's no reason why Carolina won't!

Rattay will put points up for SF...Carolina themselves have allowed at leasr 17 points in each game, @ 23 ppg.
 
M

MrChristo

The Zapper
Forum Member
Nov 11, 2001
4,414
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0
Sexlexia...
NO v. KC over 56.5

Not really much to say in this one, is there?

2 of the worst defenses you'll ever see. (In fact NO IS the worst defense in the NFL). Both giving up over 4.6 ypc on the ground.
Both allow 6.2 yp/play.

Both RB's ?? ...should see a fair bit of passing.


Also like the over in St. Lou, but over 70% on the over and the line hasn't budged one bit. Scaring me off.
 
K

KsYaS

Soy Puro Cabron
Forum Member
Jan 8, 2002
7,870
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M?xico
MrChristo said:
Detroit @ Jax UNDER 34.5

League: 6-35 under (av. 33.4) home 3- fav off a BYE.
1-21 under (av. 31.6) since '97!!
0-7 under (av. 26.0) if total <37
Click to expand...

First of all I am just telling you my thoughts, nothing personal just facts from me and my experience, ok? :D

This is a system play or a big trend play, so you have to respect the tendency, you are not respecting it because the line is -3.5 and if the line is not 3 or less you do not have a play in there.

This season this system has been active 2 times, in W6 with Chicago and W8 with Houston, so till the line doesnt goes certainly down to 3 or less that should be a no play, maybe hits but is not the way the trend is established.


gl!


Javier :D
 
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