Wk. 11

MrChristo

The Zapper
Forum Member
Nov 11, 2001
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Sexlexia...
28-30 (-1.67)

Denver -12.5

League: 7-2-1 (av. win 13.5) home 10+ fav, off a 10+ ats win as away 3- fav. [Denv]
7-0-1 (av. win 19.3) if opp is off any ats loss.

Jets are now 0-5 on the road with an av. loss of 17.4 points.
Denver are pretty much a carbon copy of Carolina, but with a bigger home field advantage!
Bollinger will start again for the Jets, and I fully expect him to struggle in another hostile environment.
Denver are av. 29.6 ppg at home, and I don?t expect the Jets to get any more than 10.

KC -6.5

League: 16-37-1 (Av. loss 9.6) home 3+ dog, off an ats win as away 10+ dog. [Houst]
6-21-1 (Av. loss 11.8) if opp is off any ats loss.
4-15 (av. loss 12.2) if opp is off a 7+ ats loss.

Basically, Houston have nothing! They?ve had just 2 games all year that they haven?t lost by 7 or more. They have no passing game (4.43 ypp), and rely on their running to keep them in games, but the KC run D is actually quite good, allowing just 3.8 ypc.
On the other side Houston allow 4.8 ypc and nearly 8 ypp, so the Chiefs should have no problems moving the ball and scoring.
KC need this one to stay in the play-off race, and I can?t see them dropping it.
 

MrChristo

The Zapper
Forum Member
Nov 11, 2001
4,414
5
0
Sexlexia...
Cinci +5.5

League: 12-4 (Av. WIN 1.1) home 3+ dog off a BYE, if opp is off an ats loss. [Cinci]

League: 2-9 SU! (Av. LOSS 1.7) away 3+ fav, off a 10+ SU win, but no cover as a home 10+ fav. [Indi]
0-5 (Av. LOSS 6.6!) if total is 42+?allowing 28.8 points.

No real need for trends here. Cinci are the first complete offense Indi have faced all year. I expect Rudi Johnson to have a BIG day, and the Cinci pass D is solid enough to get a couple of stops.
I really think Cinci win this one SU.

SL -9 (2.03)

Arizona have lost all 4 road games this season by 23, 25, 21 and 8 @ Detroit last week.
They simply can?t run the ball, and that puts way too much pressure on any QB on the road.
It also hurts in the red-zone, and they have scored just 12 TD?s to 28 FG?s!!
Now SL?s offense is back together and healthy, and they are home facing a D that allows a point every 12.3 yards, which is the worst in the NFL.
SL average 28.5 ppg at home as it is, and without an Arizona running game to keep them off the field, I think this one will get very nasty indeed.
They need a W bad enough to stay focussed.

Miami @ Cleveland under 36 (2.02)

Two pretty average teams. Nothing special on either side of the ball?the one thing that does stand out is that they both score and allow almost as many FG?s as TD?s?a combined 30 TD ? 29 FG?s?allow a combined 35 TD?s ? 33 FG?s.
Four home games in Cleveland have totalled 34, 23, 30 and 40 (v. a potent Cinci)?Miami av. just 13.8 points on the road?and have gone over 36 only once (40 @ TB which included a fumble return TD)
Last year?s meeting (@ Miami) was 10-7.
Can?t really see any fireworks in this one either.


Good Luck all :cool:
 
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