Wk. 2.

[MrChristo]

3-2 (+0.66)

Tenn +2 (1.87)

League: 1-9-1 (Av. LOSS 4.6) home (-3 to +3) off a 7+ ats loss as away (-3 to +3) with <26 mins TOP, if opp is off a 7+ ats win. [Cinci]
0-7 (Av. LOSS 7.3) if their next game is away.

Bought the half here, just got a funny feeling...

...but really shouldn't need it.
Titans are better offensively with Collins @ QB anyway aren't they?!
Consistantly av's around 6.5 ypp...won his only start last year @ Houston 38-36, depsite the defense allowing 29 last quarter points!!
And, with a genuine down field threat, the Titans running game should be able to run wild against a Cinci run D that gave up 229 @ 5.0 last week. (Tenn gained 4.3 v. Jax)
They should also dominate the ground defensively. Completely shut Jax last week (1.9 ypr), and Cinci looked lost offensively.

Dallas v. Philli under 47 (1.93)

League: 0-5 under (Av. total 44.6...av. score 23.8!!) as ay Div fav off any ats win as road fav, if opp is off a 21+ ats win. [Dal]

Horribly low sample size I know, but I like the idea, and there is some very low scores there!
Both teams known more for offensive flair, but now they face each other in an important Div game, not two of the worst D's in the NFL.
Last year's meeting in Dallas was 10-6 with the total @ 48.5!...
...the last 3 @ Dallas have been unders, and I think another one is on the cards here.


Like a few others, but waiting for some line movement...

...oh, scary situation f the week?...

...League: 10-0 SU! (Av. WIN 6.7) any home dog off a 14+ ats loss as away fav, if the game went 'over'. [Detroit!]

Too scared to take them personally...but :shrug:

Good Luck all

 

[MrChristo]

Scary (?) situation 2.0...

League: 7-0 SU (Av. win 9.0) away, non-Div (-3 to +3) off a 21+ ats loss as a 7+ fav. [Indi]
(NYG 21-16 @ Chic. as -1.5 favs 2007.)

and... League: 0-7 SU (Av. loss 11.7) any home dog off an ats loss as away Div dog, with 32+ mins TOP, if opp is off any ats loss. [Min]

Solid bounce back spot for Indi, and Minni have trouble scoring basically...

...but my question is, why are Indi favs for this game?! :shrug:
(Or in a round about Vegas way, does that question answer the whole thing??)

My personal take on the game would be that Minnni will run the ball with relative ease all day long, and Manning still looks nervous as hell under a different Centre.

Either me or Mr. Linesman are way off...(and that question does answer itself! :142smilie )

Indi -1 anyone... :toast:

 

[MrChristo]

San Fran @ Seattle under 38 (1.94)

League: 1-10 under (Av. total 42.6...av. score 34.6) away Div 'dog, off any ats loss as a (-3 to +3) iif opp is off a 21+ ats loss. [SF]

Receiving last week for Seattle; Burleson 5-60-1 TD...the rest; 12-130 0.

Nate now out for the season...Their D is a lot better at home, should hold a SF team who struggled to 13 last week to not very much!
Gore went for 90+ last week @ over 6 ypc...at the same time 'Zona stayed on field with their running game with over 37 mins TOP, so Seattle will know they're a chance if they stay on the ground.
Last 4 in the series have been under and last year's Seattle meeting was 24-0.

 

[Agent 0659]

I have that Dallas/Philly game WAY under myself!



You just know we're fked

 

[MrChristo]

If we weren't before, I just made it a H/K pick! :sadwave:

Oakland under 16 (1.83)

League: 2-13-1 under (Av. total 39.1...av. score 30.4) away 3+ dog off a 21+ ats loss as home dog, if on the road again next week. [Oak]
(Team scores 9.9 ppg)

League: 6-0 (Av. win 21.5!!) 3+ fav off any ats win as a 10+ dog with a nn-Conf game ahead. [KC]
(Opp. scores 8.5 ppg)

Been tossing up all week between playing KC or the under, but just can't be sure how many points KC can put up...
...so going with the slightly easier option, imo.
Raiders have topped 16 in just 2 of their last 9 games!...(1 of last 5 in reg. season)...now going in with a rookie at LT on a day where it's going to be windy aswell.
KC should be able to dominate possession with the ground game, and I don't think they'll be as nice as Denver were in the 4th last week given the chance of a home shut-out!

 

[MrChristo]

Cinci v. Titans under 37 (1.95)

Bengals look like struggling again against a solid D...terrible weather conditions now too with rain and 25+ mph winds which should mean plenty of ground action for both teams.

TB -7 (2.01)

League: 2-18-1 (Av. loss 17.6!) away 3+ dog, off a 7+ ats win as a home dog, with a home non-Conf game ahead. [Atl]
(Min 0-34 @ GB +6, Det 14-51 @ SD +10.5 in 2007)
0-8-1 (Av. loss 15.2) if total is <38.

Was trying to decide whether to go with Griese under centre, but a couple of thing have convinced me...
...he was solid in pre-season...a combined 26/35 for 174, a TD and no INT's...
...and at this point, I don't think he could be any worse than Garcia last week anyway!
Terrible spot this week for the Falcons, on the road agaisnt one of the toughest D's, rather than at home v. a god-awful Detroit road D.
TB won 37-3 at home last year (v. Redman) and 31-7 @ Atl (Harrington/Leftwich)
I have to think they can win by at least a TD again this time.

Caro -3.5 (2.00)

League: 1-11 (Av. loss 12.7) any dog, total 38 or less, off a 21+ ats win as away 7+ dog. [Chic]
(KC 7-17 @ Jax +2, 2007)
0-8 (Av. loss 13.9) if next game is back home.

Looks like a massive let down spot for the Bears off a big win last week...or a return to expections more like.
Panthers a bit of a forgotten team this season, but Delholme looked strong last week after missing most of last season, and their D looks as strong as ever...
Just some plain old common sense really...if they can win @ SD by 4, you'd think they could handle Chicago at home by a similar number! :shrug:

 

[MrChristo]

Pitts @ Cleveland under 44.5 (1.91)

Taking this at a good number now while I still can.

League: 1-12-1 under (Av. total 47.2...av. score 42.7) away 3+ fav off a 7+ ats win as home fav, with 30+ mins TOP, if the game went over, and opp is off a non-Conf game. [Pits]

Obviously Brownies offese didn't do much last week, and Dallas were able to chew up the last 10 minutes of the game...so you'd think Pittsburgh will also be able to control the groud game and TOP.
Weather looks like it will be a factor too, with 35+ mph winds and thunderstorms on the cards.


Good Luck all

 

[60 SEC ASSASSIN]

GL this weekend MrC :SIB