Just flying at the moment!! 
4-4 (-0.19) was an improvement! :142smilie
6-8 (-2.37) overall. :sadwave:
Jets v. Tenn under 37.5 (1.95)
League: 4-13 under (Av. total 39.6...av. score 34.2) home non-Div fav, off a 10+ ats win as home 3+ dog. [Jets]
0-5 under (Av. score 25.2!!) if opp is off a 7+ ats loss.
Jets under train looks like rollin' along for a while yet! Playing super strong D, and running the ball about 70% of all plays!
Titans are easily the best run D they've faced so far tho, so another 10-13 Pittsburgh-type game won't surprise here at all.
Denver @ Oaktown under 37 (1.91)
League: 1-9-1 under (Av. total 36.0...av. score 31.6) home (-3 to +3), total 38 or less, off a 1-3 SU win as away (-3 to +3) if the game went 10+ under. [Oak]
Is the Denver D that good, or have they just got lucky so far? Doesn't matter either way, with Russell coming off a 7/24 109 game, only scored a TD with the help of a late penalty.
Denver allowing just 2.9 ypc should be able to limit the Raiders on the ground, and the offense doesn't look like exploding (in a good way ) any time soon.
SL v. GB OVER 41 (1.91)
League: 9-1 over (Av. total 39.0...av. score 15.5) home 3+ dog off a 7+ ats win as road dog, with <28 mins TOP and <150 passing. [SL]
4-0 over if opp last went over.
I know SL have scored exactly one time in 2 games so far...but they are moving the ball well enough on the ground (5.2 ypc)...and GB's D just isn't that good, having given up 31 at home last week, and were lucky Cutler had a first game melt down.
Of course, GB could easily score 41 on their own here anyway! Rams giving up over 400 ypg and have been lucky so far to have as many points left on the field as they have.
It was 17-33 here last time (07) with GB as -7 favs...what's changed? Bulger still sucks, but Jackson goes ok...Rogers better than Favre... :shrug:
Atl +4 (2.00)
League: 13-4-3 (Av. WIN 0.9) away 3+ dog, off a 1-3 ats win as a 3+ fav with 150+ yards rushing. [Atl]
7-0-2 (Av. WIN 1.2) if total 42.5+
OK, I'll bite. NE are shot. Rediculously lucky week 1, hammered last week, defense struggling to get a stop up against one of the better offenses in the league.
I just think that whatever NE score, the Falxons will be right there with them.
Anything more than a FG is too much.
Houston v. Jax under 47 (1.91)
League: 1-10 under (Av. total 47.1...av. score 38.1) home Div 3+ fav, total 44.5+, off any ats win as a 3+ dog with 34+ mins TOP. [Tex]
Could be some points here, but 47 looks a bit too many, esp. since the Jags haven't looked like scoring so far!
Just 6 plays of 20+ yards, none 40+, so a repeat of the Tenn/Tex game last week with 4 TD's of 57 yards or more is unlikely.
Jags will be happy to keep it on the ground against an ordinary Houston run D, and while the Jags D isn't great either, I'm prety sure last week's 34 for Houston was one out of the box.
No running game at all (a league low 2.4 ypc) and more injuries to the O-line makes a repeat of Slaton's 130 yards last year look unlikely as well, in what was a 30-17 game.
This one looks more 24-17. :0corn (27-17 maybe... kurby)
TB +6.5 (1.92)
OK...biting on this one too. Bucs 4.6 rpc! NYG just 3.5 and their road favs? Giants giving up 6.7 ypc!! (With over 75% of the action and the line drops to 6.5??? )
Bucs dominated the ground game v. Dallas, but gave up 3 big pass plays. Had to give up on the run 0-17 down last week, but 7 went the other way, could have easily been 3/7-10.
Giants got 7 from a fumble v. Wash, a pick 7 and the help of -4 TO ratio last week...could well be in for a let-down off a couple of tough Div games.
Bucs big chance here SU. :SIB
Good Luck all
4-4 (-0.19) was an improvement! :142smilie
6-8 (-2.37) overall. :sadwave:
Jets v. Tenn under 37.5 (1.95)
League: 4-13 under (Av. total 39.6...av. score 34.2) home non-Div fav, off a 10+ ats win as home 3+ dog. [Jets]
0-5 under (Av. score 25.2!!) if opp is off a 7+ ats loss.
Jets under train looks like rollin' along for a while yet! Playing super strong D, and running the ball about 70% of all plays!
Titans are easily the best run D they've faced so far tho, so another 10-13 Pittsburgh-type game won't surprise here at all.
Denver @ Oaktown under 37 (1.91)
League: 1-9-1 under (Av. total 36.0...av. score 31.6) home (-3 to +3), total 38 or less, off a 1-3 SU win as away (-3 to +3) if the game went 10+ under. [Oak]
Is the Denver D that good, or have they just got lucky so far? Doesn't matter either way, with Russell coming off a 7/24 109 game, only scored a TD with the help of a late penalty.
Denver allowing just 2.9 ypc should be able to limit the Raiders on the ground, and the offense doesn't look like exploding (in a good way
) any time soon.SL v. GB OVER 41 (1.91)
League: 9-1 over (Av. total 39.0...av. score 15.5) home 3+ dog off a 7+ ats win as road dog, with <28 mins TOP and <150 passing. [SL]
4-0 over if opp last went over.
I know SL have scored exactly one time in 2 games so far...but they are moving the ball well enough on the ground (5.2 ypc)...and GB's D just isn't that good, having given up 31 at home last week, and were lucky Cutler had a first game melt down.
Of course, GB could easily score 41 on their own here anyway! Rams giving up over 400 ypg and have been lucky so far to have as many points left on the field as they have.
It was 17-33 here last time (07) with GB as -7 favs...what's changed? Bulger still sucks, but Jackson goes ok...Rogers better than Favre... :shrug:
Atl +4 (2.00)
League: 13-4-3 (Av. WIN 0.9) away 3+ dog, off a 1-3 ats win as a 3+ fav with 150+ yards rushing. [Atl]
7-0-2 (Av. WIN 1.2) if total 42.5+
OK, I'll bite. NE are shot. Rediculously lucky week 1, hammered last week, defense struggling to get a stop up against one of the better offenses in the league.
I just think that whatever NE score, the Falxons will be right there with them.
Anything more than a FG is too much.
Houston v. Jax under 47 (1.91)
League: 1-10 under (Av. total 47.1...av. score 38.1) home Div 3+ fav, total 44.5+, off any ats win as a 3+ dog with 34+ mins TOP. [Tex]
Could be some points here, but 47 looks a bit too many, esp. since the Jags haven't looked like scoring so far!
Just 6 plays of 20+ yards, none 40+, so a repeat of the Tenn/Tex game last week with 4 TD's of 57 yards or more is unlikely.
Jags will be happy to keep it on the ground against an ordinary Houston run D, and while the Jags D isn't great either, I'm prety sure last week's 34 for Houston was one out of the box.
No running game at all (a league low 2.4 ypc) and more injuries to the O-line makes a repeat of Slaton's 130 yards last year look unlikely as well, in what was a 30-17 game.
This one looks more 24-17. :0corn (27-17 maybe... kurby)
TB +6.5 (1.92)
OK...biting on this one too. Bucs 4.6 rpc! NYG just 3.5 and their road favs? Giants giving up 6.7 ypc!!
(With over 75% of the action and the line drops to 6.5??? )Bucs dominated the ground game v. Dallas, but gave up 3 big pass plays. Had to give up on the run 0-17 down last week, but 7 went the other way, could have easily been 3/7-10.
Giants got 7 from a fumble v. Wash, a pick 7 and the help of -4 TO ratio last week...could well be in for a let-down off a couple of tough Div games.
Bucs big chance here SU. :SIB
Good Luck all
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