The suck continues...
18-19 (-2.5)
Minni v. Balt under 44 [45.5 and rising, are you kidding me!
]
League: 1-13 under (Av. total 46.4...av. score 37.5. And the 1 'OVER' was a 22-22 OT game), any dog off any SU loss as a 7+ fav, if total is 42.5+ and they gave up 250 or more yards passing. [Balt]
KC, SD, Cleveland all in the bottom 10 for scores allowed (@ 24+), Minni 9th best @ 18...Ravens still only 310ish yards for 31 @ SD...7 of 21 came from a fumble return @ NE, just 25 TOP...7 of 14 from a pick 7 last week, just 250 yards and 25 TOP...
Teams are double teaming Mason and taking away the deep pass, and there's no reason the Vikes won't do the same.
4 of Minni's games have been against bottom 20 D's allowing 23+...despite some problems Ravens allowing 19 ppg and are 10th overall for yards allowed.
The one half decent D Min have faced (SF) there were 14 D/ST points and a buzzer beating Favre TD.
History indicating that after getting torched, pass D becomes a heavy focus...and in each of the last 3 Minni have gotten a 'freebie'.
44 looks a lot.
Pittsburgh -14 (1.94)
League: 1-10 (av. loss 17.5) away 10+ dog, off a 7+ ats win as any dog, if they allowed <160 yards passing. [Cavs]
League: 8-1 (Av. win 24.7!) Div 10+ fav off a 7+ SU win as a non-Div 7+ fav. [Pits]
There are some pretty bad QB's in the NFL right now, and as much as I like Anderson, he's about the worst! ...in fact, rating-wise, he is the worst @ 39.0. 4.6 ypp also a league low...1 TD, 5 picks...
...won last week (why the line isn't 17) despite going 2/17 for 23 yards and a pick!
Not all his fault of course, the receiving corps is pretty bad too.
Steelers allowing just 79 ypg on the ground, and have av'd over 31ppg at home v. the Brownies in their last 5.
Cleveland in the bottom 4 for yards allowed, and were giving up nearly 30ppg before last week.
Washington v. KC under 37 (1.95)
League: 1-13 under (Av. total 36.1...av. score 27.4!) any 3+ fav, total 38 or less off a 1-3 ats win as a Div 3+ dog with <100 rushing. [Wash]
The total is aimed at the Chiefs but is more about Washington IMO. They've played the 3 worst D's for scoring allowed and the games have come to 16, 33 and 29!
KC allowing a half decent 4.4 ypr which should be enough to hold the 'Skins in check, given only 4 teams throw less than they do...on the flip side, KC will be more than happy to keep it on the ground againt the 3rd best pass D in the NFL.
Lots of clock ticking, and not many TD's here.
TB +3 (2.10)
League: 13-4-1 (Av. loss 1.9) home 3+ dog off any ats loss as a road 10+ dog with 30+ mins TOP. [TB]
League: 0-7-1 (1-7 SU!...av. LOSS 10.5!!) away 3+ fav off a 1-3 SU win with 30+ TOP but <100 rushing, if opp [TB] had 30+ mins TOP. [Caro]
Wow. A team with one win, av'ing 14 ppg and allowing 5.0 ypr is a road fav!...inside the Div!!!
Love how this sets up. TB off a game they were never going to keep close...despite, as it turns out, getting more FD's, more rushing yards and over 9+ mins TOP. [and throwing 2 picks in the red zone.]
Of course, that suggests terrible pass D, which is true...but can Delhomme (3rd worst rating @ 56.2) do anything about it?
Just 2 offensive scores last week...both started within 40 yards of their endzone...
TB run game still going ok @ 4.2, Johnson showed a lot last week, they'll be happy to play a home game against a team NOT in the top 5-6 for just about every offensive stat. [NYG and Dallas]
Bucs win this.
Denver +4 (1.95)
League: 13-1 (Av. WIN 0.2) road Conf dog, off an OT game as home dog, with total 42.5+ [Denver]
League: 6-20 (Av. win 3.2) home Div, 3+ fav off a BYE when total 42.5+ [SD]
2-14 (Av. win 2.1) if they won last meeting ats.
...the warning here is that I haven't got a MNF game right in about 3 years!!... :nono:
...but when will a 5-0 team get any respect?? It's the perfect play-off mix, isn't it? Super D, allowing just 3.3 ypr, 170 passing pg @ 5.9!! A QB playing mistake free, top 10 rating and a top 5 rushing attack.
Compare that to the over-rated Chargers, who have THE WORST run game in the NFL, av. just 2.7 ypc, allowing 4.6 ypr, over 25 ppg and 33 mins TOP...
...they got 7 of 23 from a pick 7 v. Miami and only beat a god-awful Oakland by 4!!
Lost to two 3-2 teams, one at home...this will be close...FG either way.
18-19 (-2.5)
Minni v. Balt under 44 [45.5 and rising, are you kidding me!
]League: 1-13 under (Av. total 46.4...av. score 37.5. And the 1 'OVER' was a 22-22 OT game), any dog off any SU loss as a 7+ fav, if total is 42.5+ and they gave up 250 or more yards passing. [Balt]
KC, SD, Cleveland all in the bottom 10 for scores allowed (@ 24+), Minni 9th best @ 18...Ravens still only 310ish yards for 31 @ SD...7 of 21 came from a fumble return @ NE, just 25 TOP...7 of 14 from a pick 7 last week, just 250 yards and 25 TOP...
Teams are double teaming Mason and taking away the deep pass, and there's no reason the Vikes won't do the same.
4 of Minni's games have been against bottom 20 D's allowing 23+...despite some problems Ravens allowing 19 ppg and are 10th overall for yards allowed.
The one half decent D Min have faced (SF) there were 14 D/ST points and a buzzer beating Favre TD.
History indicating that after getting torched, pass D becomes a heavy focus...and in each of the last 3 Minni have gotten a 'freebie'.
44 looks a lot.
Pittsburgh -14 (1.94)
League: 1-10 (av. loss 17.5) away 10+ dog, off a 7+ ats win as any dog, if they allowed <160 yards passing. [Cavs]
League: 8-1 (Av. win 24.7!) Div 10+ fav off a 7+ SU win as a non-Div 7+ fav. [Pits]
There are some pretty bad QB's in the NFL right now, and as much as I like Anderson, he's about the worst! ...in fact, rating-wise, he is the worst @ 39.0. 4.6 ypp also a league low...1 TD, 5 picks...
...won last week (why the line isn't 17) despite going 2/17 for 23 yards and a pick!
Not all his fault of course, the receiving corps is pretty bad too.
Steelers allowing just 79 ypg on the ground, and have av'd over 31ppg at home v. the Brownies in their last 5.
Cleveland in the bottom 4 for yards allowed, and were giving up nearly 30ppg before last week.
Washington v. KC under 37 (1.95)
League: 1-13 under (Av. total 36.1...av. score 27.4!) any 3+ fav, total 38 or less off a 1-3 ats win as a Div 3+ dog with <100 rushing. [Wash]
The total is aimed at the Chiefs but is more about Washington IMO. They've played the 3 worst D's for scoring allowed and the games have come to 16, 33 and 29!
KC allowing a half decent 4.4 ypr which should be enough to hold the 'Skins in check, given only 4 teams throw less than they do...on the flip side, KC will be more than happy to keep it on the ground againt the 3rd best pass D in the NFL.
Lots of clock ticking, and not many TD's here.
TB +3 (2.10)
League: 13-4-1 (Av. loss 1.9) home 3+ dog off any ats loss as a road 10+ dog with 30+ mins TOP. [TB]
League: 0-7-1 (1-7 SU!...av. LOSS 10.5!!) away 3+ fav off a 1-3 SU win with 30+ TOP but <100 rushing, if opp [TB] had 30+ mins TOP. [Caro]
Wow. A team with one win, av'ing 14 ppg and allowing 5.0 ypr is a road fav!...inside the Div!!!
Love how this sets up. TB off a game they were never going to keep close...despite, as it turns out, getting more FD's, more rushing yards and over 9+ mins TOP. [and throwing 2 picks in the red zone.]
Of course, that suggests terrible pass D, which is true...but can Delhomme (3rd worst rating @ 56.2) do anything about it?
Just 2 offensive scores last week...both started within 40 yards of their endzone...
TB run game still going ok @ 4.2, Johnson showed a lot last week, they'll be happy to play a home game against a team NOT in the top 5-6 for just about every offensive stat. [NYG and Dallas]
Bucs win this.
Denver +4 (1.95)
League: 13-1 (Av. WIN 0.2) road Conf dog, off an OT game as home dog, with total 42.5+ [Denver]
League: 6-20 (Av. win 3.2) home Div, 3+ fav off a BYE when total 42.5+ [SD]
2-14 (Av. win 2.1) if they won last meeting ats.
...the warning here is that I haven't got a MNF game right in about 3 years!!... :nono:
...but when will a 5-0 team get any respect?? It's the perfect play-off mix, isn't it? Super D, allowing just 3.3 ypr, 170 passing pg @ 5.9!! A QB playing mistake free, top 10 rating and a top 5 rushing attack.
Compare that to the over-rated Chargers, who have THE WORST run game in the NFL, av. just 2.7 ypc, allowing 4.6 ypr, over 25 ppg and 33 mins TOP...
...they got 7 of 23 from a pick 7 v. Miami and only beat a god-awful Oakland by 4!!
Lost to two 3-2 teams, one at home...this will be close...FG either way.
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