#2 Field Commission
being the 3rd choice at 5/2 is tough and I imagine might be able to get a little better odds than that, but I like this horse in this spot.
The 9/5 favorite Fatal Bullet, is coming off a 6 month layoff, but certainly has shown he can get it done off the break, winning last summer after almost a 9 month layoff.
I think the #4 Fatal Bullet, and the #3 Hollywood Hit who is the 2nd choice at 2/1, will want similar position and a lead early.
These 2 will both want the lead and I don't think either will be content on letting the other have it.
A speed duel between these two would set up perfectly for my pick the #2 who closed from the back of the pack last race to lose by only a half length to the #3 Hollywood Fit. This was also the 1st race back from a 5 month layoff for the #2.
On top of that, last race was 6 furlongs. The extra furlong in todays 7 furlong race will benefit the late runner.
I also see a very nice pattern with my selection.
Last year it had a layoff and the first race back was the same stakes race he raced in this year. Last year he finished 3rd, losing by a half length and then went on to win the same Grade 3 race that is today by making a great closing run and won by a length and a half while also matching a career best speed figure.
I am hoping history repeats itself this year and we get the exact same results as last years scenario.
Having Woodbines best jock, Patrick Husbands on board, whos winning at a 21% clip, is just an added bonus.
Certainly can not see this horse finishing out of the money, and with two short prices ahead of him, think he is in a perfect position to win at a decent price.
Of course all the handicapping in the world goes right out the window when the gates open. :mj07:
Good luck everyone.
being the 3rd choice at 5/2 is tough and I imagine might be able to get a little better odds than that, but I like this horse in this spot.
The 9/5 favorite Fatal Bullet, is coming off a 6 month layoff, but certainly has shown he can get it done off the break, winning last summer after almost a 9 month layoff.
I think the #4 Fatal Bullet, and the #3 Hollywood Hit who is the 2nd choice at 2/1, will want similar position and a lead early.
These 2 will both want the lead and I don't think either will be content on letting the other have it.
A speed duel between these two would set up perfectly for my pick the #2 who closed from the back of the pack last race to lose by only a half length to the #3 Hollywood Fit. This was also the 1st race back from a 5 month layoff for the #2.
On top of that, last race was 6 furlongs. The extra furlong in todays 7 furlong race will benefit the late runner.
I also see a very nice pattern with my selection.
Last year it had a layoff and the first race back was the same stakes race he raced in this year. Last year he finished 3rd, losing by a half length and then went on to win the same Grade 3 race that is today by making a great closing run and won by a length and a half while also matching a career best speed figure.
I am hoping history repeats itself this year and we get the exact same results as last years scenario.
Having Woodbines best jock, Patrick Husbands on board, whos winning at a 21% clip, is just an added bonus.
Certainly can not see this horse finishing out of the money, and with two short prices ahead of him, think he is in a perfect position to win at a decent price.
Of course all the handicapping in the world goes right out the window when the gates open. :mj07:
Good luck everyone.
