You don't have to be there and Gartman gold

selkirk

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Jul 16, 1999
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There are some sectors that get battered and you really do not have to be there until the carnage is over. Here are some of them.

1. Gold I only one gold stock YRI, a small amount but sold half of the position earlier this week. Should have sold all, since earnings were not great. However most golds stocks sold off, since gold dropped sharply this week and now is below 1200.

maybe gold bottoms soon but will wait, and only have a small amount of a gold stock yri :( strong US dollar and the bull, and gold is just showing more weakness, apparently there is no problems, at least in the next few weeks.

2. Base metal stocks, met coal is very weak, and other base metals, can go down the list, copper is showing some strength, well not dropping. still economies growing slowly and strong US dollar, would avoid the group. note : own small positon TCK TCK.b which had good earnings, have calls against the position. but should have got rid of this one to, would avoid the sector, when this sector rallies these stock will double so you do not have to pick a bottom.

3. Energy stock / oil and natural gas I do not own any oil stocks and this has been the case for the year. believe oil would trade around $80 (predictions thread). Still own a small amount of Suncor in a DRIP/SPP account dividend reinvestment and share purchase plan. the energy stocks have taken a hit, and would like to see some strength in oil before I buy back in,.... would like at CNQ (cdn. natural resources, Suncor, Seven Generations (a new IPO that looks good), ECA ecana, and Legacy (on Toronto but for this one needs a higher price.) will wait for stronger oil and gas prices, and yes miss trying to pick the bottom, once this rebounds there will be plenty of gains to be had.

Gartman Gold

was flipping through the channels and caught the very end of an interview with Dennis Gartman in which he was very bearish and wanted to go 95% cash. Well believe there was one more bad day but the bear market dennis feared did not happen. as the 10% correction has been quickly erased. I have found when Gartman says one thing the opposite happens. so he is worth listening to....

note : the longs have been workings, have 3 short positions, had four but closed one out at a small loss. one stock went up 15% stock on no news, but other companies in their industry reported weak earnings and revenue and missed estimates, however none of the stocks have been hit....., welcome to a bull market.

thanks
selkirk
 

selkirk

Registered User
Forum Member
Jul 16, 1999
2,147
13
0
Canada
well a few things have changed and glad have not been in most of these secotors.

oil has got beaten down and oil and gas stocks are off sharply in January, however they have held up much better than oil. many oil stocks though down sharply this month have held up better than the sharp drop in oil. still waiting, do not believe most oil stocks are pricing in $50 oil. the street believes oil goes back above $50 and in the $60-$80 range. will wait.

gold have increased my position. Bought into YRI just below $5 cdn. it has traded in the $4.80-$5.20 cdn. range. bought Goldcorp. Have covered calls on 75% of my positons. believe gold is fine here and holds up, not sure about any sharp upside. but have increase my position.

base metals, are probably bottoming but will wait, as it iron ore, copper, can get really bad, and often overshoot on the downside (and upside in better times)

thanks
selkirk
 
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