CNOTES 2023- 2024 HNL NEWS BEST BETS AND OPINIONS !

Cnotes53

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Thursday’s 6-pack:
— Hawks 112, Cavaliers 101- Atlanta outscored Cavs 25-12 in 4th quarter.
— Grizzlies 115, 76ers 109- Memphis outscored Sixers 34-16 in 4th quarter.
— Clippers 122, Rockets 116- Houston led 57-44 at halftime.
— Bulls 119, Jazz 117- DeRozan scored 29 points, had 7 assists
— Warriors 125, Bucks 90- Curry scored 29 points, was 6-10 on the arc.
— Kings 130, Lakers 120- Fox scored 44 points, had four assists.

Quote of the Day
“That’s the culture — to show up every day and be ready to do whatever we can to win a game. And that culture is built over a period of time of people holding each other accountable to that standard and that culture. That’s what we’re working on now.”
Blue Jays’ SS Bo Bichette

Thursday’s quiz
In the history of the Oakland A’s (since 1968), who has knocked in the most runs?

Wednesday’s quiz
John Havlicek has scored the most points (26,395) in Boston Celtics’ history.

Tuesday’s quiz
Russell Wilson played college football at NC State, Wisconsin.

****************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

Underrated Fact of the Day: Since 1976, Michigan State has had only TWO basketball coaches, Jud Heathcote and Tom Izzo. Two coaches in 48 years.
By way of comparison, over the last 10 years, UNLV has had five coaches, and they had winning seasons in eight of those ten years.

— Iowa State 68, BYU 63

BYU led this game 38-27 at halftime.
Cyclones won 8 of last 9 games; they went undefeated at home this season.
Iowa State is 24-6/13-4 this year; three years ago, they went 0-18 in Big X.

— Texas A&M 75, Mississippi State 69
A&M came into game shooting 26.7% on arc (#361); they were 8-21 in this game, an improvement.

— Tennessee 66, South Carolina 59
Vols win the outright SEC regular season title for first time since 2008.
Dalton Knecht scored 26 points, had one assist; his job is to score points.
Knecht played at Northern Colorado the last two years; Bears went 34-36 in those two years, 19-19 in Big Sky games.
Plus, they’re 19-12/12-6 this season, without Knecht. That doesn’t seem possible.

— Seton Hall 66, Villanova 56
Pirates played only two subs, for total of 21:00.
Seton Hall did a lot here to get themselves off the bubble.
Villanova shot 32.8% from floor; they still have work to do, to make NCAA’s.

— Florida Atlantic 80, North Texas 76
Owls led 12-0 early, but were down 7 early in 2nd half.
FAU is 23-7/13-4; they shot 56.2% inside arc.

— LeMoyne 82, FDU 61- Dolphins win a conference tournament game in their first season as a Division I team.

Word of the Day: Apopleptic- infuriated, overcome with anger.

— Magic 119, Wizards 109
Orlando is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games.
Washington has lost 16 games in a row (2-6 ATS in last eight)

— Washington Commanders signed TE Zach Ertz for one year, $5M; Ertz played for Kliff Kingsbury in Arizona. Kingsbury is the Commanders’ new offensive coordinator.

— Buffalo Bills saved $47M in cap space with a flurry of roster moves:
They cut six players, one of whom won’t be cut until after June 1st.
They restructured two other contracts, including LB Von Miller’s.
Bills also signed QB Mitch Trubisky to back up Josh Allen.
After the flurry of moves, Buffalo is now only $1,177,381 over the salary cap.

Baseball stuff:
Astros’ P Justin Verlander (shoulder) will open the season on IL
Rockies OF Nolan Jones left Wednesday’s game (back spasms)
Padres 2B Ha-Seong Kim is out until Friday (back spasms)
MRI on Orioles’ CF Cedric Mullins’ hamstring came back negative.
A’s SS Nick Allen has a mild back strain.
Cubs’ 3B Nick Madrigal had an MRI on his hamstring

Famous birthdays on March 7th:
Lynn Swann, 72
Bryan Cranston, 69
Tommy Kramer, 69
Joe Carter, 64
Willie (Flipper) Anderson, 59
Ricky Proehl, 56
Jenna Fischer, 50
Michael Harris, 23

— I try to listen to podcasts about fantasy baseball, to learn things that can make my team better; this week, one of the guys on a podcast said he has teams in 12 different leagues.
That would be overwhelming to me, to keep track of 12 different teams. As it is, I probably spend too much time tracking my one team, can’t imagine doing it with 11 more.

— How favorites/underdogs are faring in conference tournaments:
A-SUN underdogs 5-1 ATS
Big South favorites 1-0 ATS
Horizon favorites 2-1 ATS
NEC underdogs 3-1 ATS
OVC favorites 2-0 ATS
Patriot favorites 1-1 ATS

So far this month, underdogs are 10-8 ATS in conference tournaments.
 

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TORONTO is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive division games over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 51-73 ATS (-29.3 Units) second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

FLORIDA is 17-1 ATS (15.9 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in 2 straight games in the current season.

CALGARY is 10-2 Over (7.8 Units) in road games off a home loss over the last 2 seasons.

CAROLINA is 10-2 Under (7.8 Units) off a home loss by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

COLUMBUS are 6-2 ATS (3.8 Units) in home games revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more in the current season.

ST LOUIS are 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) after allowing 2 goals or more in the third period last game in the current season.

BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) off a close loss by 1 goal to a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

ARIZONA is 10-7 ATS (2.3 Units) off a home loss against a division rival in the last 3 seasons.

VEGAS are 9-1 Over (7.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs in the current season.

NY ISLANDERS are 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

OTTAWA is 13-5 ATS (7.5 Units) after scoring 2 goals or less in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
 

Udog

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NHL

Thursday, March 7


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Trend Report
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Toronto @ Boston
Toronto
Toronto is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto

Montreal @ Carolina
Montreal
Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Montreal's last 7 games on the road
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal

Edmonton @ Columbus
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Edmonton is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Columbus's last 14 games when playing at home against Edmonton

Philadelphia @ Florida
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 21-4 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Florida
Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

St. Louis @ New Jersey
St. Louis
St. Louis is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing New Jersey
St. Louis is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Jersey's last 6 games
New Jersey is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

Washington @ Pittsburgh
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Washington's last 11 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Pittsburgh's last 11 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games

Calgary @ Tampa Bay
Calgary
Calgary is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Calgary is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Calgary
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary

Buffalo @ Nashville
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
Nashville
Nashville is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Nashville is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

Minnesota @ Arizona
Minnesota
Minnesota is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games when playing Arizona
Minnesota is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Arizona
Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 9 games

Vancouver @ Vegas
Vancouver
Vancouver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Vegas
Vancouver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Vegas
Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vegas's last 5 games
Vegas is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing Vancouver

Ottawa @ Los Angeles
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Ottawa's last 9 games on the road
Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games at home
Los Angeles is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa

NY Islanders @ San Jose
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Islanders is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Islanders


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Dunkel

Thursday, March 7


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Cnotes53

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THURSDAY, MARCH 7

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
MON at CAR07:00 PMMON +271
O 6.0
+500 +500
PHI at FLA07:00 PMPHI +210
O 6.0
+500 +500
TOR at BOS07:00 PMBOS -138
O 6.0
+500 +500
CAL at TB07:00 PMCAL +133
U 6.5
+500 +500
STL at NJ07:00 PMSTL +153
O 6.5
+500 +500
EDM at CLB07:00 PMCLB +246
O 7.0
+500 +500
WAS at PIT07:00 PMPIT -175
O 6.0
+500 +500
BUF at NAS08:00 PMNAS -152
U 6.5
+500 +500
MIN at ARI09:00 PMARI +122
O 6.5
+500 +500
VAN at VEG10:00 PMVAN -102
O 6.0
+500 +500
NYI at SJ10:30 PMSJ +256
O 6.0
+500 +500
OTT at LA10:30 PMOTT +172
U 6.5
+500 +500
 

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Two Dens for Friday: Den #1, wrapping up a busy Thursday

Horizon League
Three of the four higher seeds got upset Thursday:
Oakland 75, Fort Wayne 65- Grizzlies were only top seed to advance.
Northern Kentucky 99, Wright State 97 OT
Wright State led by 17 in first half.
Wright State led by 3 with 0:04.4 left, fouled intentionally, but NKU got the rebound and scored at the buzzer to force overtime.
Over was 23-7 in Wright State games this season.
Cleveland State 82, Youngstown State 70
Penguins were only 5-31 on the arc.
Youngstown was favored by 10.5 points.
Milwaukee 95, Green Bay 84
Panthers shot 59.6% inside arc, were 27-35 on foul line.
Green Bay lost five of last six games, after a 17-9 start.
Green Bay is 18-14, after going 16-71 the last three years, but this one hurts.
Semi-finals in Horizon aren’t until Monday, so the survivors get to rest up.

Missouri Valley
Ill-Chicago 84, Southern Illinois 82, 2OTs

#11-seed UIC blew a 41-27 halftime lead, but pulls a big upset here.
Three Flames played 46:00+; they play #3-seed Bradley Friday.

West Coast
Pepperdine 102, Pacific 43

Waves led this game 56-9 at halftime, 56. to. 9.
Both coaches in this game have been fired, although Pepperdine coach Romar is finishing the season.

Pac-12
Arizona 88, UCLA 65

Last time these teams will play as conference rivals.
Arizona led 44-27 at the half; they’ve won 10 of their last 11 games.
UCLA lost its last five games; they’ve got the #333 eFG% in country.
Very difficult for me to process that the Pac-12 won’t exist after this season. The greedy, over-educated morons who run college sports are killing the Golden Goose.
Colorado 79, Oregon 75
Ducks ran out to an early 18-6 lead.
Colorado has won five in a row; they start four seniors. Hmmm..……

Big West
Cal-Irvine 82, Cal Poly 68
- Anteaters clinch the regular season title.
UCSB 76, Long Beach State 74- Long Beach shot 5-19 on the arc, 13-22 on the line and lost by a basket, at home; they’ve lost four games in a row.

Movie of the Day: The Great Santini (1979)- A Marine pilot who is aggressively competitive moves his family to South Carolina, where his teenage son struggles to win his approval.
Robert Duvall plays the father, Michael O’Keefe the son, Blythe Danner the mother; Duvall’s character is cringeworthy.; this movie is disturbing in more ways than one, but it is a good movie.
This movie was made in 1979; Michael O’Keefe’s next acting job was the next year, playing Danny Noonan in the classic movie Caddyshack. Two very different movies.

— Last three years, a #15-seed has upset a #2-seed in the first round- #2-seeds are 9-3 the last three years; in the 41 years before that, #2-seeds were 157-7 in the first round

— Under is 15-2 in Milwaukee games since Doc Rivers became the Bucks’ coach.

— Two NFL teams that have never picked first in an NFL Draft:
Denver Broncos, Seattle Seahawks……Baltimore Ravens haven’t either, but they did back when they were in Cleveland, the original Cleveland Browns.

Famous birthdays on March 8th:
Dick Allen, 72
Jim Rice, 71
Kenny Smith, 59
Hines Ward, 48
James Van Der Beek, 47

— Detroit Mercy fired basketball coach Mike Davis Thursday, after a 1-31 disaster of a season; 22 years ago, Davis’ Indiana team lost the national title game to Maryland.
Davis has been a head coach for 24 years; coached the Hoosiers for six years, UAB for six years, Texas Southern for six more (he made the NCAA’s four times there), and then the last six for the Titans.

— New Mexico has a 6-5 guard, Jemarl Baker, who has had an interesting career:
2018-19- Kentucky
2019-21- Arizona
2021-23- Fresno State
2023-24- New Mexico
He already has two college degrees, including a Masters Degree. Some day he will write a very interesting book.

— In 2018, Virginia became the first #1-seed to lose a first round NCAA Tourney game; the next year, they won the national title.
Last year, Purdue became the 2nd #1-seed to lose a first round NCAA Tourney game; think they can match Virginia and win a national title the next year?
Big 14 hasn’t won a national title since Michigan State in 2000, so there’s that, too.

— How favorites/underdogs are faring in conference tournaments:
A-SUN underdogs 6-2 ATS
Big South favorites 1-0 ATS
Horizon underdogs 4-3 ATS
MVC underdogs 3-1 ATS

NEC underdogs 3-1 ATS
OVC favorites 3-1 ATS
Patriot favorites 4-2 ATS
Sun Belt underdogs 4-2 ATS
WCC favorites 1-0 ATS

So far this month, underdogs are 23-18 ATS in conference tournaments.

****************************************

Friday’s 2nd List: NBA trends………

NBA trends (thru Wednesday, March 6)

Hawks (28-34):
— 4-3 SU since All-Star Game
— 7-19 ATS as a home favorite
— under 3-0 last three home games
— 4-7 ATS if they played night before.

Celtics (48-13):
— won 11 of last 12 games SU (7-1 ATS last eight)
— 4-0 ATS last four as a home favorite.
— under 4-1 last five games.
— 5-4 ATS if they played night before.

Nets (25-37):
— lost three of their last four games.
— 11-5 ATS as home favorite.
— 3-14 ATS last 17 road games.
— under 5-0 last five road games
— 3-7 ATS if they played night before.

Hornets (15-47):
— lost last five games SU; 9-5 ATS last 14 games.
— 5-2 ATS last seven as a home underdog.
— under 9-1 last ten games.
— 6-5 ATS if they played night before.

Bulls (30-32)
— 4-2 SU last six games, 12-8 ATS last 20 games.
— 6-4 ATS as a home dog, 6-3 as road favorite.
— under 3-1 last four road games.
— 3-7 ATS on first night of back/back.

Cavaliers (40-22):
— 4-5 SU since All-Star break.
— 1-6 ATS last seven as a home favorite.
— under 4-0 last four games.
— 2-7 ATS if they played the night before.

Mavericks (34-28):
— 2-5 SU since All-Star break.
— 2-6 ATS last 8 as as home favorites, 10-3 as road faves.
— over 4-1 last five games.
— 7-3 ATS if they played night before.

Nuggets (42-20):
— 6-1 SU since All-Star break.
— 2-5 ATS last 7 as as home favorites, 9-13 as road faves.
— under 7-2-1 last ten home games.
— 3-9 ATS if they played night before.

Pistons (9-52):
— lost nine of last ten games SU.
— 7-2 ATS last nine as a home dog.
— under 9-1 last ten games
— 3-8 ATS on first night of back/back, 6-5 on 2nd night.

Warriors (33-28):
— won seven of last nine games SU
— 9-16 ATS as a home favorite
— 20-9 ATS on the road.
— under 8-0 last eight games
— 10-4 ATS if they played night before.

Rockets (27-35):
— lost 10 of last 14 games SU
— 5-1 ATS last six home games.
— under 6-1 last seven games.
— 7-3 ATS if they played night before.

Pacers (35-28):
— 8-5 in last 13 games SU.
— 10-5 ATS as a home underdog.
— under 8-3 last eleven games.
— 1-9 ATS if they played night before.

Clippers (40-21):
— won three of last four games (3-9 ATS in last 12)
— 1-5 ATS last six home games.
— under 5-2 last seven games.
— 5-5 ATS if they played night before.

Lakers (34-30):
— 7-4 SU last 11 games (2-6 ATS last eight)
— 10-15 as home favorite, 2-8 ATS as a road fave.
— over 4-1 last five home games.
— 3-9 ATS if they played night before.

Grizzlies (22-41):
— 7-2 ATS last nine road games.
— 12-18 ATS at home.
— over 4-1 last five games
— 6-5 ATS if they played night before.

Heat (35-27):
— won nine of last 11 games SU (11-3 ATS last 14).
— 11-12 ATS as home favorites, 1-6 as home underdogs.
— under 7-3 last ten games.
— 4-5 ATS if they played the night before.

Bucks (41-22):
— 6-1 SU/ATS since All-Star break
— 5-2 ATS last seven home games.
— under 10-1 last eleven games.
— 4-5-1 ATS if they played the night before.

Timberwolves (43-19)
— 4-3 SU/1-6 ATS since All-Star break
— 3-9 ATS last 12 games as a home favorite.
— over 5-0 last five road games.
— 4-6 ATS if they played the night before.
— Karl-Anthony Towns is out for rest of regular season.

Pelicans (37-25):
— won 12 of last 16 games SU
— 16-9 ATS as an underdog.
— under 8-2 last ten road games.
— 5-4 ATS if they played the night before

Knicks (36-26):
— 4-9 SU/2-11 ATS last 13 games.
— 0-9 ATS in last nine home games.
— under 5-1 last six home games
— 2-7 ATS if they played night before.

Thunder (43-19):
— won eight of their last ten games SU.
— 18-7 ATS as a home favorite, 8-3 as a road dog.
— over 4-1-1 last six home games
— 7-3 ATS if they played night before.

Magic (37-26):
— 8-1 SU last nine games, 5-0 ATS last five.
— 14-4 ATS as home favorite, 6-3 as road favorite.
— under 6-1 last seven games.
— 7-6 ATS if they played night before.

76ers (35-27):
— 6-14 SU last 20 games.
— 1-10 ATS last 11 home games.
— under 6-3 last nine home games.
— 5-9 ATS if they played night before.

Suns (36-26):
— 3-4 SU since All-Star break.
— 12-17 ATS as a home favorite, 7-11 as road favorite.
— under 5-0 last five home games
— 4-4 ATS if they played night before.

Trailblazers (17-44):
— lost 11 of last 13 games SU.
— 0-8 SU/1-7 ATS last eight home games.
— over 3-1 last four games
— 8-3 ATS if they played night before.

Kings (35-26):
— 4-3 SU since All-Star break.
— 14-5 ATS as an underdog.
— over 4-1 last five road games
— 3-6 ATS if they played night before, 0-4 at home.

Spurs (13-49):
— 3-13 SU in last 16 games
— 5-3 ATS last eight home games.
— under 6-2 last eight road games.
— 4-3 ATS if they played night before.

Raptors (23-39):
— 4-3 SU since the All-Star break.
— 1-6 ATS last seven home tilts.
— under 9-3 last 12 home games.
— 4-7 ATS if they played night before.

Jazz (28-35):
— lost nine of last 11 games SU
— 9-6 ATS last 15 home games.
— over 10-5 last 15 home games
— 4-5 ATS if they played night before.

Wizards (9-53):
— 0-16 SU last eight games (2-6 ATS last eight).
— 9-17 ATS as a home underdog.
— over 6-0 last six road games; under 9-2 last 11 at home.
— 4-5 ATS if they played night before.
 
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ARIZONA is 9-2 Over (6.8 Units) in home games in March games over the last 2 seasons.

COLORADO is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the current season.

SEATTLE is 15-4 ATS (10.6 Units) off 2 or more consecutive road wins over the last 2 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 19-52 ATS (-38.2 Units) in home games after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.




NHL

Friday, March 8


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Detroit @ Arizona
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 10 games on the road
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit

Minnesota @ Colorado
Minnesota
Minnesota is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Minnesota's last 14 games on the road
Colorado
Colorado is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Dallas @ Anaheim
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
Dallas is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Anaheim
Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Anaheim is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Dallas

Winnipeg @ Seattle
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Winnipeg is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Seattle
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home


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Cnotes53

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FRIDAY, MARCH 8

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
MIN at COL09:00 PMCOL -220
O 6.5
+500 +500
DET at ARI09:00 PMARI +125
U 6.5
+500 +500
DAL at ANA10:00 PMANA +271
U 6.5
+500 +500
WIN at SEA10:00 PMSEA +108
U 5.5
+500 +500
 
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Saturday’s 6-pack:
— Boise State 79, San Diego State 77 OT- Broncos were 11-27 on arc.
— Dayton 91, VCU 86 OT- VCU led by 17 midway thru first half.
— Western Michigan 90, Akron 84- WMU was 26-35 on line, Zips 11-14.
— Morehead State 84, UT-Martin 78- Eagles shot 16-35 on the arc.
— Portland 78, LMU 70- Pilots advance to play San Francisco Saturday.
— San Diego 57, Pepperdine 52- Toreros were 0-16 inside arc in 2nd half, still won.

Quote of the Day
“I think that, specific to Gavin (Lux), it gives him an opportunity to get to the other side of the diamond. … So to get him back over there, shorten the throw, it should be less of a toll on his body overall and give him an opportunity to have success.”
Dodgers manager Dave Roberts, talking about moving Mookie Betts to SS

Saturday’s quiz
Who was coach of the Golden State Warriors before Steve Kerr?

Friday’s quiz
Over the last 35 years, only one college basketball team has lost twice as a #2-seed in the first round of the NCAA Tournament- Arizona.

Thursday’s quiz
In the history of the Oakland A’s (since 1968), Mark McGwire has knocked in the most runs.

************************************************

Saturday’s Den: Conference tournament trends…….

Some conference tournament trends……..
ACC
Last five ACC tournaments, four different teams have won the tournament; Duke won it in 2019 and last year. Since 2017, they’re 15-2 in ACC tourney games.
North Carolina hasn’t won an ACC tournament since 2016; in two years under Hubert Davis, they went WL in both ACC tournaments.
Since joining the ACC, Syracuse is 5-8 in conference tournament games.

Atlantic 15
Winners of last seven A-15 tournaments:
2016- St Joe’s (13-5, 4th)
2017- Rhode Island (13-5, T3)
2018- Davidson (13-5, 3rd)
2019- Saint Louis (10-8, T6th)
2020- COVID year
2021- St Bonaventure (11-7, T5)
2022- Richmond (10-8, 6th)
2023- VCU (15-3, 1st)

Big 14
Winners of last five Big 14 tournaments:
2018- Michigan (13-5, T4th)
2019- Michigan State (16-4, T1st)
2020- COVID year
2021- Illinois (16-4, 2nd)
2022- Iowa (12-8, T4th)
2023- Purdue (15-5, 1st)

Big X
Since 2013……
Kansas has won four Big X tournaments.
Iowa State has won four Big X tournaments.
Texas has won two Big X tournaments.
Thats it, those three teams are only champs in last 11 years.

Big East
Winners of last three Big East tournaments:
2021- Georgetown (7-9, 8th)
2022- Villanova (16-4, 2nd)
2023- Marquette (17-3, 1st)
From 2015-19, Villanova won the tournament 4 of 5 years, so they’ve won 5 of last 8 Big East tournaments, overall, but those were all with Jay Wright as coach.

Big Sky
#1-seed won 10 of last 12 Big Sky tournaments; #2-seed won the other two.
Montana State won the tournament the last two years.

Big West
First place team won three of last four Big West tournaments
Last eight Big West tourney champs:
2015- Cal-Irvine (11-5, T2nd)
2016- Hawai’i (13-3, T1st)
2017- Cal-Davis (11-5, 2nd)
2018- Cal-Fullerton (10-6, 4th)
2019- Cal-Irvine (15-1, 1st)
2020- COVID year
2021- Cal-Santa Barbara (13-3, 1st)
2022- Cal-Fullerton (11-4, 2nd)
2023- Cal-Santa Barbara (15-5, T1st)

CAA
Winners of last five Big 14 tournaments:
2019- Northeastern (14-4, 2nd)
2020- Hofstra (14-4, 1st)
2021- Drexel (4-5, 6th)
2022- Delaware (10-8, T4th)
2023- Charleston (16-2, T1st)

Word of the Day: bamboozle- to fool or cheat someone.

— Stetson 88, Jacksonville 87 (Thursday night)
Hatters trailed by 10 with 4:53 left in the game.
Stetson made 13-22 on the arc, scored 1.38 points/possession.
Last year (17-14) was Stetson’s first winning season since 2001.
21-12 Hatters play Austin Peay for A-Sun title Sunday afternoon.

— Washington Huskies fired basketball coach Mike Hopkins; Huskies made the NCAA’s once in his seven years coaching there. Washington was 62-72 in Pac-12 games under Hopkins, who also spent 22 years as an assistant coach at Syracuse.
Hopkins was under contract at Washington thru next season, so he will bank $3.1M on his way out the door.

— Southern Illinois fired basketball coach Bryan Mullins, despite going 23-10/19-13 the last two years (25-15 in MVC games). At some of these mid-major schools, you don’t make the NCAA’s, they tell you to take a hike. Salukis haven’t been in the Big Dance since 2007.

Famous birthdays on March 9th:
Bert Campaneris, 82
Dennis Harrah, 71
Linda Fiorentino, 64
Brian Bosworth, 59
Aaron Boone, 51
Matt Barnes, 44
Saturday would’ve been the 81st birthday for Bobby Fischer, the great chess master.

MAAC
Iona won six of last seven MAAC tournaments; Saint Peter’s won the other one two years ago, and they wound up in the Elite 8 in the NCAA’s.

MAC
Winners of last five MAC tournaments:
2019- Buffalo (16-2, 1st)
2020- COVID year
2021- Ohio U (9-5, 4th)
2022- Akron (14-6, T3rd)
2023- Kent State (15-3, and)

Mountain West
San Diego State played in MW tournament final the last six years, going 3-3; Utah State beat the Aztecs in two MW finals, Boise State won the other one.
#1-seed won last three Mountain West tournaments.

Pac-12
Arizona won four of last six Pac-12 tournaments. Oregon/Oregon State won the other two.
UCLA hasn’t won the Pac-12 tournament since 2014.
This is the last year of the Pac-12; Oregon State/Washington State got left behind by the rest of the league, for $$$ reasons.

SEC
Winners of last five SEC tournaments:
2018- Kentucky (10-8, T4th)
2019- Auburn (11-7, T$th)
2020- COVID year
2021- Alabama (16-2, 1st)
2022- Tennessee (14-4, T2nd)
2023- Alabama (16-2, 1st)

Southern
Last nine SoCon tournaments were won by a #1-seed (2 of the 9 were tied for 1st)

Summit League
since 2012…….
South Dakota State has won six Summit tournaments
North Dakota State has won four Summit tournaments
Oral Roberts has won two Summit tournaments, but Max Abmas plays for Texas now.

WCC
since 2004, Gonzaga is 41-4 in the WCC Tournament.
since 2010, Saint Mary’s is 19-12 (3-9 against Gonzaga).
Last time someone other than Gonzaga/Saint Mary’s won the WCC Tournament was 2008, when #3-seed San Diego won.
 
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Udog

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NHL

Saturday, March 9


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Trend Report
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Cnotes53

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SATURDAY, MARCH 9

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
EDM at BUF12:30 PMBUF +165
U 6.5
+500 +500
CAR at NJ12:30 PMNJ +125
U 6.5
+500 +500
NAS at CLB12:30 PMNAS -150
O 6.5
+500 +500
PIT at BOS03:00 PMBOS -199
O 6.0
+500 +500
CAL at FLA04:00 PMFLA -205
O 6.0
+500 +500
OTT at SJ07:00 PMSJ +171
O 6.5
+500 +500
TOR at MON07:00 PMMON +177
O 6.5
+500 +500
CHI at WAS07:00 PMWAS -221
U 6.0
+500 +500
PHI at TB07:00 PMTB -138
U 6.5
+500 +500
STL at NYR07:30 PMSTL +180
O 6.0
+500 +500
DET at VEG10:00 PMDET +171
O 6.5
+500 +500
WIN at VAN10:00 PMVAN -139
U 5.5
+500 +500
DAL at LA10:30 PMLA -118
U 6.0
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
Average home attendance in college hoop this year:
20,593— North Carolina
20,288— Syracuse
19,904— Kentucky
19,494— Tennessee
19,100— Arkansas
17,269— Creighton

Quote of the Day
“I just want to be good again.”
Dodgers pitcher Walker Buehler, recovering from his 2nd Tommy John surgery

Sunday’s quiz
What was the last team to lose the World Series in consecutive years?

Saturday’s quiz
Mark Jackson was coach of the Golden State Warriors before Steve Kerr.

Friday’s quiz
Over the last 35 years, only one college basketball team has lost twice as a #2-seed in the first round of the NCAA Tournament- Arizona.

***********************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a full day of basketball…….

Ohio Valley
Morehead State 69, Little Rock 55

#3-seed Eagles win OVC tourney, are first team in the Field of 68.

SEC
It was an upsetting day in the SEC…….
Kentucky 85, Tennessee 81
Sheppard was 7-11 on arc, scored 27 points in 33:00 off bench.
Tennessee’s 7-game win streak ends.

Vanderbilt 79, Florida 78
Vandy had 20 offensive rebounds.
Gators led by 12 late in first half.
Florida split its last six games.

South Carolina 93, Mississippi State 89 OT
Carolina is 13-5 in SEC; previous three years, they were 17-35.
Bubble team Bulldogs picked lousy time to lose four games in a row.
Tennessee won regular season title; four teams tied for 2nd.

ACC
North Carolina 84, Duke 79

Tar Heels jumped out to a 30-15 lead, then held on for dear life
UNC took 47 2-point shots, only 15 3-pointers, an old-school approach.
Cormac Ryan scored 31; he was 6-8 on the arc. He has an interesting history:
2018-19- Stanford
2020-23- Notre Dame
2023-24- North Carolina
Shooting is marketable.

Big X
Houston 76, Kansas 46

Not just an ugly loss; Kansas big man Dickinson hurt his shoulder.
Jayhawks are 4-5 in their last nine games.
Kansas is #333 in bench minutes, and they have injury issues.

Central Florida 79, TCU 77
Horned Frogs are 2-4 in last six games, are going to be close to the bubble.
Houston won its last nine games, won Big X by two games in its first year there.

Southern Conference
Furman 79, Western Carolina 76, OT

Pegues was 6-11 on arc, scored 29 points.
Paladins were +7 in turnovers (13-6)

East Tennessee State 73, NC-Greensboro 62
ETSU was 12-24 on arc; for year, they’re shooting 31.3% on arc (#308)
Semi-finals Sunday: Samford-Furman, ETSU-Chattanooga.

Mountain West
Utah State 87, New Mexico 85

Lobos are 4-6 in their last ten games, may be slipping off the bubble.

Nevada 75, UNLV 65
Wolf Pack has won seven games in a row.
UNLV is 10-2 in its last 12 games; they’re 19-11, but they’re going to have to win the Mountain West tournament to make the Field of 68.
Utah State is the #1-seed in the Mountain West tournament, Nevada is #2, Boise State #3.

Big East
Creighton 69, Villanova 67

Creighton led this game 32-8 early on.
Bluejays won seven of their last eight games.
There were a total of 7 foul shots in this game, the whole game.
Villanova is 17-14, 10-10 in Big East, 2-3 in last five games; they’re a bubble team. I’d much rather see the Drake-Indiana State loser make the NCAA’s instead of this mediocre team.

Pac-12
USC 78, Arizona 63

Just 2nd loss in last 12 games for Arizona, but I’m a skeptic on their NCAA chances.
USC won five of last seven games; they’re pretty good with Collier in lineup.

Upsets of the Day:
Saint Louis (+11.5) 73, St Bonaventure 65
Brown (+11.5) 84, Yale 81 OT
Vanderbilt (+9.5) 79, Florida 78
Central Florida (+8.5) 79, TCU 77
Kentucky (+7.5) 85, Tennessee 81
Rhode Island (+7.5) 58, Fordham 50
USC (+7.5) 78, Arizona 63
Texas State (+6.5) 74, Troy State 68
East Tennessee State (+6.5) 73, NC-Greensboro 62


Missouri Valley
Indiana State 94, Northern Iowa 72

Sycamores made 15-29 on arc, had stress-free win.
Indiana State won 15 of its last 17 games.

Drake 72, Bradley 67
Bradley led 23-9 early on; it was 38-38 at the half.
Drake made 11-24 shots on the arc.
Indiana State/Drake play for MVC title Sunday; it looks like it is winner-take-all. Bracketology doesn’t see the MVC getting two teams in the NCAA’s.

Big South
Longwood 80, High Point 79 OT

Top-seeded High Point loses, after leading by 15 with 12:28 left in game.
Longwood went 6-10 in Big South this year, but they play NC-Asheville in Sunday’s final.

Ivy League
Brown 84, Yale 81 OT

Yale led by 11 with 4:12 left in game.
Both teams shot 10-25 on the arc.
Brown has won six in a row; they don’t start any seniors, so they should be good again next year.

MAAC
Fairfield 96, Mt St Mary’s 92

Mt St Mary’s led 54-38 at halftime.
Stags won eight of last ten games; they’re #2-seed in the MAAC tournament.
Fairfield was 21-22 on foul line, Mt St Mary’s 7-11.

CAA
All four favorites won Saturday; William & Mary (+11.5) was only underdog that covered and they covered by half a point.

American
Tulsa 76, South Florida 70
Bulls had won 15 games in a row; their last loss was January 7 at UAB.
USF is 23-6, but Bracketology doesn’t have them in the Field of 68.
 
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Udog

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NHL

Sunday, March 10


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Edmonton @ Pittsburgh
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton

Nashville @ Minnesota
Nashville
Nashville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Nashville is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home

Calgary @ Carolina
Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Carolina's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing Calgary

Arizona @ Chicago
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games on the road
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games

NY Islanders @ Anaheim
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Anaheim
NY Islanders is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Anaheim's last 6 games when playing NY Islanders
Anaheim is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games


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Udog

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EDMONTON is 8-1 Over (6.9 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 11-16 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games off a road loss in the last 3 seasons.

CALGARY is 9-3 ATS (5.7 Units) in road games second half of the season in the current season.

ARIZONA is 8-5 ATS (2.5 Units) in road games after having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games in the last 3 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 19-53 ATS (-39.3 Units) in home games after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.




NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, March 10


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Cnotes53

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SUNDAY, MARCH 10

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
EDM at PIT01:00 PMPIT +137
U 6.5
+500 +500
NAS at MIN03:30 PMMIN -134
O 6.0
+500 +500
CAL at CAR05:00 PMCAR -232
U 6.0
+500 +500
ARI at CHI06:00 PMARI -195
O 6.0
+500 +500
NYI at ANA08:00 PMANA +171
U 6.5
+500 +500
 
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Cnotes53

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Monday’s 6-pack:
Six best teams in eFG% defense:
44.0%— Auburn (24-7)
44.5%— Houston (28-3)
44.7%— Saint Mary’s (24-7)
45.1%— UConn (28-3)
45.1%— Tennessee (24-7)
45.1%— Appalachian State (27-6)

Quote of the Day
“You suck at your job!!!”
Detroit Pistons fan, talking to Pistons GM Troy Weaver last week. Detroit is 70-229 in Weaver’s tenure as GM.

Monday’s quiz
When was last time the same team won the ACC Tournament two years in a row?

Sunday’s quiz
Dodgers (2017-18) are the last team to lose the World Series in consecutive years.

Saturday’s quiz
Mark Jackson was coach of the Golden State Warriors before Steve Kerr.

*************************************

Monday’s Den: Who’s Hot and Who’s Not with Champ Week here…..

This is just straight up wins/losses the last few weeks……

ACC
Hot:
North Carolina won its last six games.
Pitt 9-2 in last 11 games.
Duke 8-2 in last ten games.
Syracuse 4-1 in last five games.

Not:
Miami lost last nine games.
Louisville lost last seven games.
NC State lost last four games.

American
Hot:
South Florida 15-1 in last sixteen games.
FAU 13-3 in last sixteen games.
Memphis 4-1 in last five games.

Not:
East Carolina lost its last five games.
Rice lost its last four games.
Tulane lost seven of last eight games.
SMU lost three of last four games.

Atlantic 10
Hot:
Loyola won 10 of last 11 games.
Richmond won six of last seven games.
Duquesne won six of last seven games.
UMass won four of last five games.

Not:
Davidson lost its last five games.
VCU lost its last three games.
George Washington lost 13 of last 14 games.
Rhode Island lost seven of last eight games.
Fordham lost seven of last nine games.

Big East
Hot:
UConn won 18 of last 19 games.
Creighton won seven of last eight games.
St John’s won its last five games.

Not:
DePaul lost its last 19 games.
Georgetown lost 15 of last 16 games.
Xavier lost six of last eight games.
Providence lost three of last four games.

Big 14
Hot:
Purdue 14-1 last 15 games.
Indiana won its last four games.
Ohio State won its last four games.
Nebraska 6-1 last seven games.
Illinois 4-1 last five games.

Not:
Michigan lost its last eight games.
Maryland 2-8 last 10 games.
Wisconsin 3-7 last 10 games.
Rutgers 1-6 last seven games.
Michigan State 1-4 last five games.
Minnesota 1-4 last five games.

Big X
Hot:
Houston won its last nine games.
Iowa State 8-2 in last ten games.

Not:
Oklahoma State lost its last five games.
West Virginia lost nine of last ten games.
Kansas lost three of last four games.
Oklahoma lost five of last seven games.
TCU lost four of last six games.

Big West
Hot:
Cal-Irvine 6-1 in last seven games.
Cal-Davis 4-1 in last five games.
Hawai’i 7-2 in last nine games.
Cal-Riverside 7-2 in last nine games.

Not:
Long Beach State lost its last five games.
Cal-Santa Barbara 3-6 in last nine games.
Cal-Northridge 1-5 in last six games.

Conference USA
Hot:

Sam Houston won its last seven games.
Louisiana Tech 6-1 in last seven games.
Texas-El Paso won its last three games.

Not:
Western Kentucky lost its last four games.
Jacksonville State lost five of last seven games.

MAAC
Hot:
Rider won its last seven games.
Quinnipiac won its last four games.
Fairfield 8-2 in last ten games.

Not:
Niagara 1-4 in last five games.
Iona lost five of last seven games.
Mt St Mary’s lost five of last seven games.
Siena lost 14 of last 15 games.

MAC
Hot:
Ohio U won its last six games.
Toledo won its last three games.
Central Michigan 7-4 last 11 games (4 of 7 wins in OT)

Not:
Akron 3-5 in last eight games.
Ball State 3-6 in last nine games.

Mountain West
Hot:
Nevada won its last seven games.
Utah State won its last five games.
UNLV 10-2 in last 12 games.
Boise State 6-1 last seven games.

Not:
Fresno State lost last seven games.
San Jose State lost 13 of last 14 games.
Air Force lost 19 of last 21 games.
New Mexico 4-6 last 10 games.

Pac-12
Hot:
Colorado won its last six games.
Arizona 10-2 last 12 games.
Washington State 9-2 last 11 games.
USC 4-1 last five games.

Not:
UCLA 1-5 in last six games.
Utah 4-8 in last 12 games.
Stanford 1-6 in last seven games.
Arizona State 3-10 in last 13 games.
Oregon State 2-9 last 11 games.

SEC
Hot:
Tennessee 7-1 last eight games.
Kentucky 7-1 last eight games.
Auburn 4-1 last five games.
South Carolina 4-1 last five games.

Not:
Missouri went 0-18 in the SEC this year.
Mississippi State lost last four games.
Georgia 2-10 last 12 games.
Ole Miss 2-8 last 10 games.

WAC
Hot:
Texas-Arlington won its last six games.
Tarleton State 11-1 last 12 games.
Grand Canyon 10-2 last 12 games.
Utah Valley 7-1 last eight games.
Abilene Christian 7-1 last eight games.

Not:
Seattle lost its last three games.
Cal Baptist 1-8 last nine games.
 

Udog

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NY RANGERS are 41-25 Under (13.5 Units) after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored in the last 3 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 11-4 ATS (6.6 Units) after allowing 2 goals or more in the third period last game in the current season.

WASHINGTON is 14-3 Over (10.7 Units) off a home win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

LOS ANGELES are 41-27 ATS (11.3 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent in the last 3 seasons.




NHL

Monday, March 11


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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St. Louis @ Boston
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games
Boston
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis

New Jersey @ NY Rangers
New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New Jersey's last 13 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
NY Rangers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Washington @ Winnipeg
Washington
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
Washington is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Winnipeg is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games

NY Islanders @ Los Angeles
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 8 games at home
Los Angeles is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against NY Islanders


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