Cnotes' NFL 2021-2022 football season previews-news-notes-picks-rumors!

Udog

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BUFFALO is 19-7 ATS (11.3 Units) in games played on turf in the last 3 seasons.

BALTIMORE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5-10.5 pts. in the last 2 seasons.

ATLANTA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games in the last 2 seasons.

NEW ENGLAND is 94-56 ATS (32.4 Units) as a dog since 1992.

CLEVELAND is 16-4 Under (11.6 Units) against the NFC South since 1992.

PITTSBURGH is 93-62 ATS (24.8 Units) as a dog since 1992.

CHICAGO is 60-34 Under (22.6 Units) as a home dog of <=7 since 1992.

DETROIT is 64-40 Over (20 Units) in home games in the 1rst half of the season since 1992.

INDIANAPOLIS are 57-36 ATS (17.4 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.

JACKSONVILLE is 18-37 ATS (-22.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.

ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) at home when the total >=49.5 in the last 3 seasons.

LAS VEGAS are 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.

MINNESOTA is 38-21 ATS (14.9 Units) in home games as a dog since 1992.

TENNESSEE is 60-35 ATS (21.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

DALLAS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in the 1rst half of the season in the last 2 seasons.

DENVER is 36-19 ATS (15.1 Units) in the 1rst 2 weeks of the season since 1992.
 
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Udog

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NFL

Week 1


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Trend Report
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Thursday, September 8

Buffalo @ LA Rams
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Buffalo's last 9 games when playing LA Rams
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
LA Rams
LA Rams is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Rams's last 9 games when playing Buffalo


Sunday, September 11

Indianapolis @ Houston
Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing Houston
Indianapolis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Indianapolis

San Francisco @ Chicago
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 8 games
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games

New Orleans @ Atlanta
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games
New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 9 games

Jacksonville @ Washington
Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Jacksonville's last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 7 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Jacksonville

Philadelphia @ Detroit
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

New England @ Miami
New England
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New England's last 13 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

Cleveland @ Carolina
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Carolina
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 8 games

Baltimore @ NY Jets
Baltimore
Baltimore is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing NY Jets
Baltimore is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing NY Jets
NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Jets's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of NY Jets's last 14 games

Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games

Las Vegas @ LA Chargers
Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
Las Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Chargers's last 7 games at home

Kansas City @ Arizona
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 8 games
Kansas City is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
Arizona
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City

Green Bay @ Minnesota
Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Green Bay is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home

NY Giants @ Tennessee
NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Giants's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 6 games on the road
Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games at home
Tennessee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing NY Giants

Tampa Bay @ Dallas
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay


Monday, September 12

Denver @ Seattle
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Denver


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Dunkel

Week 1


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Armadillo's Write-up

Week 1


Thursday game
Bills @ Rams

— Last three years, Buffalo is 16-7-1 ATS on the road.
— Bills are 12-2-2 ATS last 16 games where spread was 3 or less.
— Buffalo is 10-3 ATS in last 13 games vs NFC teams.
— Buffalo won last three road openers.
— Bills are 5-3 ATS in last eight road openers.
— Bills are 7-5 ATS last 12 games as an underdog in road openers.
— Last two years, over is 10-4-2 in Buffalo’s road games.
— First game for Dorsey as Buffalo’s new OC.

— Rams won/covered last seven home openers.
— Under McVay, Rams are 5-0 SU/ATS in Week 1.
— Last three years, LA is 14-10 ATS at home.
— Last two years, Rams are 2-7-1 ATS vs AFC teams.
— Under is 4-2 in last six home openers.
— Last three years, under is 17-7 in their home games.
— Last 19 years, defending Super Bowl champ is 11-5-3 ATS in its first game the following season.

— Buffalo leads series, 8-5
— Bills won last meeting 35-32, two years ago.
— Bills lost two of three series games played in LA (2-0 in St Louis)
— Matthew Stafford’s brother-in-law is WR coach for Buffalo.
 

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Week 1 NFL Tech Trends
Bruce Marshall

Thursday, Sept. 8

Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Rams (NBC, 8:20 p.m.)


Bills 9-3 vs. spread last 12 reg season road games.
Buff “over” 10-3 last 13 road games (including playoffs).
Rams 4-1 SU and vs. spread last five as dog., but only 5-6 vs. points at SoFi last season.

Tech Play: Bills, Over


Sunday, September 11

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Washington Commanders (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)


Jags lost and failed to cover last four on road a year ago en route to 2-6 spread mark away from home.
J’ville also enters 2022 on 13-5 “under” run.
Wash actually 6-2-1 vs. spread down stretch last season and was “under” last five at Fed Ex.
Doug Pederson Jags debut.

Tech Play: Commanders, Under

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Bengals have won and covered last three meetings.
Tomlin 4-4 as road dog in reg season a year ago, but was 11-3 previous 14 in role.
Cincy closed 2021 by covering eight in a row, was also “under” last five in 2021.
Bengals, Under

Tech Play: Bengals, Under

New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Belichick has had problems in past at Miami even with some of his Super Bowl teams.
He’s 2-7 SU and vs. spread last nine on road vs. Dolphins and has lost and failed to cover last three in series.
Dolphins closed last season 8-1 S, 7-2 vs. line.
McDaniel Miami debut.

Tech Play: Dolphins

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Detroit Lions (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Birds covered 5 of last 7 on road in reg season a year ago, including 44-6 romp at Ford Field.
Despite poor overall mark a year ago, Lions did manage covers in 6 of 8 at home (though not vs. Philly), and were a solid 11-6 vs. line overall, covering eight games in which they didn’t win outright!

Tech Play: Eagles

Cleveland Browns vs. Carolina Panthers (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Mayfield game! Browns lost and failed to cover six of last eight a season ago.
Panthers however lost and failed to cover their last seven in 2021, losing and failing to cover last six in Charlotte.

Tech Play: Browns

San Francisco 49ers vs. Chicago Bears (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Niners won and covered at Soldier Field last Halloween, part of their 8-4 spread mark away from Santa Clara.
SF now 20-8 vs. spread as visitor since 2019.
Niners also “under” 7-1 last eight in 2021. Bears were 1-5 vs. line last six at home a year ago.
Matt Eberflus Bears debut.

Tech Play: Niners

Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Last year, Colts won and covered both meetings by near-identical 31-3 & 31-0 scorelines.
Indy has covered six of last seven in series, and Reich had covered six straight on the road last season before last-game loss at Jags.
Texans actually decent 5-4 for Culley at home in 2021 despite overall poor SU mark of 4-13.
Last five “under” in series.

Tech Play: Colts, Under

Baltimore Ravens vs. New York Jets (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Ravens have won and covered 5 of last 6 openers (L came last year at Raiders), though they did drop 4 of 5 as road chalk during injury-plagued 2021.
Jets have failed to cover in four of last five openers, also just 12-21 vs. spread last two seasons.

Tech Play: Ravens

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Saints have won and covered last four at Falcons.
NO covered 6 of last 8 on road a year ago.
Before both meetings went “over” a year ago, five straight were “under” in this series.
Falcons failed to cover all seven at Mercedes Benz last season (one “home” game in London vs. Jets).
Dennis Allen Saints debut.

Tech Play: Saints

New York Giants vs. Tennessee Titans (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)

Daboll Giants debut. G-Men closed 2021 with a whimper, lose and failed to cover last six and seven of last eight.
Once sparkling road dog marks dissipated down stretch, dropping last four in role after 13-3 previous 16 getting points away.
NY also on 18-5 “under” run since mid 2020. Titans were “under” 5 of last 6 in 2021, and covered 6 of last 8 in Nashville during reg season a year ago.

Tech Play: Under

Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)

O’Connell Vikings debut.
Teams have split the past two seasons.
Pack dropped four of last five vs. spread in 2021 after covering 11 of first 13.
No covers last three away in 2021 for Pack.
Four straight “over” in this series.
Vikes “over” 7 of last 8 in 2021.

Tech Play: Over

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Arizona Cardinals (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)

Chiefs have won last seven openers, covering five of those.
KC, however, only 5-8 vs. spread last 13 away, and just 12-19 against line last 31 on board.
Chiefs “over” 7 of last 8 in 2021.
Cards have covered last three openers, and 5-1 vs. spread in first two games of each of last three seasons.
Kingsbury also 5-1 last six as dog.
But Az only 2-7 vs. line last nine as host.

Tech Play: Cardinals, Over

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Chargers (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)

McDaniels debut for Raiders, remember he won and covered his first six when at Denver in 2009 in last head coaching gig.
Teams have split the past two seasons, three of those four meetings “over” as well.
Raiders were just 3-5 vs. spread last eight away a season ago, Chargers “over” last six in 2021

Tech Play: Over

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Dallas Cowboys (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)

Same opener as last year only that one was in Tampa and Bucs prevailed 31-29 on a Thursday night, but no cover.
Bucs only 4-5 vs. spread away last season.
Cowboys opened with seven straight covers a season ago but were just 2-4 vs. spread last six in Arlington.
Bowles Bucs debut.

Tech Play: Cowboys


Monday, September 12

Denver Broncos vs. Seattle Seahawks (ESPN, 8:15 p.m. ET)


Hackett Broncos debut.
Broncos “under” 12-5 with Fangio last season.
Wilson back in Seattle where Seahawks only 4-4 vs. line a year ago.
Pete Carroll enters season on 17-8 “under” run.

Tech Play: Under
 
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yanno

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Ontario
Dumb question: does the +500 at the right of your pick(s) mean that you are laying $500 or maybe playing to win $500? Thanks for all your good work and good luck! :0008
 

Udog

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I think it means to win 500, yanno. He can say for sure tomorrow.
 

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Armadillo's Write-up

Week 1


Sunday’s games
49ers @ Bears

— Last two years, San Francisco is 6-4 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last three years, 49ers are 16-9 ATS on the road.
— Won last three road openers, scoring 31-31-41 points.
— Since 1994, they’re 2-8 ATS as a favorite in road opener.
— Under is 7-5-1 in last 13 road openers.
— Shanahan is 14-7 ATS vs AFC teams.
— 2nd-year QB Lance split two games as a starter LY.

— Last four years, Bears are 6-9 ATS as a home underdog.
— Chicago started out 0-1 seven of last eight years.
— Bears won three of last four home openers.
— Under is 5-0 in their last five home openers.
— Last two years, over is 10-7 in Chicago home games.
— 2nd-year QB Fields was 2-8 as a starter LY.
— Since 2013, NFL coaches in their first year with a new team are 13-7-1 ATS as Week 1 underdogs.

— Teams split last six meetings.
— 49ers won 33-22 here LY, throwing for 322 yards.
— 49ers won three of last four visits to Chicago.

Patriots @ Dolphins
— 17-16 SU since Brady left; 4-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— Won/covered five of last seven road openers.
— Since 1998, they’re 6-1 ATS as an underdog in road opener.
— 6-6 ATS in AFC East road games since Brady left.
— Last two years, they’re 5-7 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— New England is Week 1 underdog for 2nd time since 2003 (won 23-21 in ’16)
— Last six years, under is 31-16-1 in their road games.
— 2nd-year QB Jones is 10-8 as a starter.
— Who is calling plays now, with McDaniels off to the Raiders?

— Last two years, Dolphins were 12-5 ATS at home.
— Last four years, Miami is 10-7 ATS in games where spread was 3 or less.
— Last four years, Miami is 7-4-1 ATS in AFC East home games.
— Over is 11-2 in Miami’s last 13 home openers.
— Dolphins are 6-4 ATS in last ten home openers.
— Since 2003, Miami is 2-5 ATS as a favorite in home opener.
— First game for the new coaching staff in Miami.
— 3rd-year QB Tagovailoa is 13-8 as an NFL starter.

— Third straight year these teams are meeting in Week 1.
— Dolphins won three in row, six of last nine series games.
— Miami won last year’s meetings, 17-16/33-24.
— New England lost four of last five visits to Miami.

Saints @ Falcons
— Last five years, New Orleans is 18-8 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last four years, Saints are 10-2 ATS in NFC South road games.
— Saints lost four of last five road openers.
— Since 2010, New Orleans is 2-10 ATS in road openers, 0-6 if favored.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six road openers.
— First game for new HC Allen; first game since 2012 without Sean Payton.
— Winston is 33-44 as an NFL starter, 5-2 with the Saints.
— Last four years, NFL head coaches in their first year with a new job are 0-10 ATS as Week 1 favorites.

— Last two years, Atlanta is 3-12 ATS at home.
— Last three years, they’re 4-8 ATS as a home underdog.
— Falcons lost last two home openers, after a 14-2 SU/ATS run.
— Since 1999, Atlanta is 7-2 ATS as an underdog in home openers.
— Falcons started out 0-1 five of the last six seasons.
— Last three years, under is 15-9 in Atlanta home games.
— Mariota was 30-33 as a starter with Tennessee, from 2015-19.

— New Orleans won seven of last nine series games.
— Saints won their last four visits to Atlanta.
— Road team won five of last six series games.

Ravens @ Jets
— Last year, Baltimore was 0-5 ATS as a road favorite.
— Ravens are 9-5 ATS in last 14 road openers.
— Last six years, Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in Week 1 games.
— Last 15 years, over is 10-4-1 in their road openers.
— Under is 10-6 in their last 16 road games.
— Lamar Jackson is 38-15 as an NFL starter.

— Last two years, Jets are 11-20 ATS as an underdog.
— Last four years, Jets are 11-13-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Jets lost last four home openers (0-4 ATS), scoring 11.8 ppg.
— Jets started out 0-1 five of last six seasons.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five home openers.
— Flacco won a Super Bowl with Ravens ten years ago; he is 108-83 as an NFL starter, but is 2-11 in starts the last three years.

— Ravens won nine of last 11 series games.
— Baltimore won three of last four series games played here.

Steelers @ Bengals
— Since 2017, Steelers are 14-7 ATS as a road underdog.
— Pittsburgh is 9-2 ATS last 11 games as an AFC North underdog.
— Pittsburgh is 4-1-1 SU in last six road openers.
— This is 8th straight year Steelers are opening on road.
— Their last five road openers stayed under the total.
— Last eight years, under is 42-18-3 in Pittsburgh road games.
— Trubisky was 29-23 as the Bears’ QB from 2017-20.

— Last 19 years, team that lost Super Bowl is 4-15 ATS in Week 1 the next season.
— Last five years, Bengals are 7-11 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last three years, Cincinnati is 6-3 ATS in AFC North home games.
— Bengals lost four of last six home openers.
— Cincinnati started out 1-0 five of last eight seasons.
— Over is 4-2 in their last six home openers.
— Last three years, over is 19-11-3 in Bengal home games.

— Bengals won last three series games, all by 10+ points.
— Last time Bengals won three straight series games; 1989-90.
— Steelers lost last two visits here, 27-17/41-10
 
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Browns @ Panthers
— Last 10 years, Browns are 17-64 SU on road.
— Last four years, Browns are 11-6 ATS vs NFC teams.
— Last three years, Cleveland is 7-12-1 ATS in games where spread was 3 or less.
— Cleveland is 3-0 ATS as a favorite in road openers.
— Since 2005, Browns are 0-16-1 SU in Week 1
— Under is 5-1 in their last six road openers.
— Brissett is 14-23 as an NFL starter, for three different teams.

— Last three years, Carolina is 15-34 SU
— Last three years, Carolina is 6-17-1 ATS at home.
— Last seven years, Panthers are 17-12 ATS vs AFC teams.
— Since 2011, Panthers are 7-4 ATS in home openers.
— Last eight years, Carolina is 5-3 ATS in Week 1.
— Under is 6-3 in their last nine home openers.

— Obviously, Baker Mayfield played for the Browns (2018-21; 30-31 W-L)
— Does he have any special insight into their schemes?
— Panthers lead series, 4-2
— Browns lost both visits to Charlotte, 20-12/17-13

Eagles @ Lions
— Last year, Philly was 6-3 SU on road, 3-5 at home.
— Last two years, Eagles are 2-5 ATS as road favorites.
— Eagles lost three of their last four road openers.
— Since 2005, Philly is 4-8 ATS as a favorite in road openers.
— Eagles started out 1-0 in nine of last 11 seasons.
— 3rd-year QB Hurts is 9-11 as an NFL starter.

— Lions were underdog in every game LY (3-13-1 SU, 11-6 ATS)
— Lions were 6-2 ATS LY as a home dog; (10-21-1 from 2012-20)
— Detroit lost its last four Week 1 games (favored in 3 of 4)
— Detroit’s last eleven season openers went over the total.
— Since 1999, Lions are 7-4 ATS as an underdog in home openers.
— Over is 9-3 in their last dozen home openers.

— Eagles ran for 236 yards, hammered Detroit 44-6 here LY.
— Lions won three of last four series games.
— Teams split last four meetings in the Motor City.

Colts @ Texans
— Colts went 20-13 SU last two years, with +24 turnover margin.
— Under Reich, Indy is 7-4 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last four years, Colts are 7-5 ATS in AFC South road games.
— Colts lost 10 of their last 12 road openers.
— Indy started 0-1 seven of last eight years.
— Over is 5-1 in their last six Week 1 games.
— Ryan is Colts’ 6th different starting QB the last six years.

— Last 10 years, Texans are 11-16-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last two years, Houston is 4-2 ATS in AFC South home games.
— Texans are 8-4 in last dozen home openers.
— Houston covered its last three Week 1 games.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four Week 1 games.
— 2nd-year QB Mills is 2-9 as an NFL starter
— Since 2013, NFL coaches in their first year with a new team are 13-7-1 ATS as Week 1 underdogs.

— Colts won five in row, nine of last 11 series games.
— Colts won last year’s games, 31-3/31-0.
— Indy won won five of last six visits to Houston.

Jaguars @ Commanders
— Last four years, Jaguars are 9-17-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— While HC in Philly, Pederson was 9-13 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last nine years, Jaguars are 6-31 ATS vs NFC teams.
— Jaguars covered four of their last five road openers.
— Jacksonville is 10-8 ATS as an underdog on road openers.
— Their last three Week 1 games went over the total.
— 2nd-year QB Lawrence is 3-14 as an NFL starter.
— Since 2013, NFL coaches in their first year with a new team are 13-7-1 ATS as Week 1 underdogs.

— Last four years, Washington is 3-7 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last three years, Washington is 4-9 ATS vs AFC teams.
— Washington lost eight of last ten home openers.
— Since 2009, Commanders are 1-5 ATS as a favorite in home openers.
— Over is 7-4 in their last eleven home openers.
— Last two years, under is 12-4 in Washington home games.
— QB. Wentz played for Jax coach Pederson with the Eagles; he is playing for his third team in three years.

— Washington won last four meetings, two of them in OT.
— Jaguars lost all three visits here, by 12-6-31 points.
— Jacksonville’s only series win: 2002.

Chiefs @ Cardinals
— Last three years, Chiefs are 20-4 SU on the road.
— Chiefs are 17-6-1 ATS last 24 games with a spread of 3 or less.
— Last seven years, Kansas City is 13-16-1 ATS vs AFC teams.
— Last two years, Chiefs are 6-8-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Kansas City started 1-0 the last seven years, scoring 35.1 ppg.
— Chiefs won five of last seven road openers.
— Over is 7-3 in their last ten road openers.
— Last five years, over is 25-15 in Kansas City road games.

— Since 2016, Cardinals are 14-22 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Last 10 years, Cardinals are 18-13-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last three years, Arizona is 8-5 ATS vs AFC teams.
— Arizona won its last two home openers, scoring 30-34 points.
— Average total in their last three Week 1 games: 49.7
— Under is 7-3 in their last ten home openers.
— Last three years, over is 14-10 in Cardinal home games.

— Chiefs lead series, 9-3-1
— Home side won six of last seven series games.
— Teams split four meetings in the desert.
 

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Packers @ Vikings
— Last three years, Packers are 17-8 SU on road.
— Last six years, Green Bay is 10-13-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last six years, Packers are 8-10 ATS in NFC North road games.
— Packers are 10-6-2 ATS last 18 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Green Bay is 4-7 ATS in last eleven road openers.
— Packers allowed 31+ points in four of last five road openers.
— Over is 7-2 in their last nine road openers.

— Over last decade, Vikings are 17-6 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last seven years, Minnesota is 12-8-1 ATS in NFC North home games.
— Last two years, over is 11-5 in Minnesota home games.
— Vikings won/covered six of last seven home openers.
— Last eight years, Minnesota is 5-3 ATS in Week 1.
— Under is 7-1 in their last eight home openers.
— Since 2013, NFL coaches in their first year with a new team are 13-7-1 ATS as Week 1 underdogs.

— Green Bay won four of last six series games.
— Teams split last four meetings played here.
— Average total in last four series games: 59.8.

Raiders @ Chargers
— Last three years, Raiders are 11-6 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last six years, Raiders are 7-11 ATS in AFC West road tilts.
— Raiders are 7-1-1 ATS in last nine road openers.
— Las Vegas won its Week 1 games five of last six years.
— Last 23 years, over is 14-8-1 in Raiders’ road openers.
— Since 2013, NFL coaches in their first year with a new team are 13-7-1 ATS as Week 1 underdogs.
— Last two years, Raiders are 18-15 SU, despite a minus-20 turnover ratio.

— Last 8 years, Chargers are 16-29-1 ATS as home favorites (4-3 under Staley)
— Last ten years, Bolts are 9-20-1 ATS in AFC West home games.
— Over was 8-3 in their games LY when Chargers were favored.
— Chargers covered once in last five home openers.
— Bolts started out 1-0 the last three years, giving up 17.7 ppg.
— Over is 14-5 in their last nineteen home openers.
— 3rd-year QB Herbert is 15-17 as an NFL starter.

— Raiders won four of last six series games.
— Raiders beat Chargers in OT in Week 18 LY, knocking them out of playoffs.
— Raiders split last six road series games.

Giants @ Titans
— Last four years, Giants are 19-10 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last three years, Giants are 3-10 ATS vs AFC teams.
— Giants lost 10 of their last 12 road openers.
— Giants lost last five Week 1 games, scoring 12.4 ppg.
— Since 2004, Giants are 6-9 ATS as an underdog in road openers.
— Daniel Jones is 12-25 as an NFL starter.
— Since 2013, NFL coaches in their first year with a new team are 13-7-1 ATS as Week 1 underdogs.

— Titans have had six winning seasons in a row.
— Last four years, they’re 10-11 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last seven years, Tennessee is 17-11-1 ATS vs NFC teams.
— Tennessee lost six of last eight home openers.
— Since 2013, Titans are 0-5-1 ATS as a favorite in home openers.
— Under is 7-3 in their last ten home openers.

— Titans won five of last six series games.
— Giants lost three of four visits to Tennessee.
— Daboll was OC in Buffalo LY; they lost 34-31 in OT here LY

Buccaneers @ Cowboys
— Last two years, Tampa Bay is 7-8 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last two years, Tampa Bay is 3-6 ATS on artificial turf.
— With Brady at QB, Bucs are 2-0 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Bucs lost last two road openers, 34-23/34-24.
— Over is 10-4 in their last fourteen road openers.
— Since 2013, NFL coaches in their first year with a new team are 13-7-1 ATS as Week 1 underdogs.

— Last four years, Dallas is 6-0 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last three years, Dallas is 6-10 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Last three years, over is 16-8 in Cowboy home games.
— Dallas won its last five home openers (4-1 ATS)
— Last three years, Cowboys scored 35-40-41 points in home openers.
— Dallas lost five of its last eight Week 1 games.

— Cowboys won seven of last nine series games.
— Tampa Bay (-9) beat Dallas 31-29 in LY’s season opener.
— Bucs lost last five visits here; their last win here was in 2001.


Monday's game
Broncos @ Seahawks
— Broncos started 1-0 in eight of last ten seasons.
— Last ten years, Denver is 24-15-2 ATS vs NFC teams.
— Last five years, Broncos are 5-6 ATS as a road favorite.
— Denver lost four of last five road openers.
— Under is 3-1 in their last four road openers.
— Last four years, NFL coaches in their first year with a new team are 0-10 ATS as Week 1 favorites.
— New coach, new QB, who is playing against his old team here.

— Last ten years, Seahawks are 8-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last four years, Seattle is 11-5-1 ATS vs AFC teams.
— Since 2003, Seattle is 14-5 ATS in home openers.
— Under is 8-3 in their last eleven home openers.
— Seahawk trends reflect Russell Wilson at QB; he plays for Denver now.
— Geno Smith is 13-21 as an NFL starter; he has started only five games since 2014.

— Russell Wilson (113-60-1) played the last 10 years for Seattle.
— Teams split last eight series games.
— Teams split last six meetings played here.
— Teams were division rivals from 1978-2001
 
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Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 11
NO at ATL01:00 PMATL +5.5
O 42.5
+500 +500
CLE at CAR01:00 PMCAR -2.5
U 41.5
+500 +500
PIT at CIN01:00 PMPIT +6.5
O 44.5
+500 +500
JAC at WAS01:00 PMJAC +3.0
O 43.5
+500 +500
PHI at DET01:00 PMPHI -3.5
U 49.0
+500 +500
BAL at NYJ01:00 PMBAL -7.0
U 45.0
+500 +500
SF at CHI01:00 PMSF -7.5
U 42.0
+500 +500
IND at HOU01:00 PMIND -8.0
O 46.0
+500 +500
NE at MIA01:00 PMMIA -3.0
U 47.0
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
28,340
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38
GB at MIN04:25 PMGB -2.0
U 48.0
+500 +500
LV at LAC04:25 PMLV +3.5
O 52.5
+500 +500
NYG at TEN04:25 PMTEN -5.5
U 43.5
+500 +500
KC at ARI04:25 PMKC -3.5
O 54.0
+500 +500
 
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Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
28,340
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38
NFL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS

09/11/22..................14-14-0...............50.00%................- 7.00
09/08/22....................1-1-0.................50.00%................- 0.50

TOTALS..................15-15-0...............50.00%.................-7.50

*******************************************************************

BEST BETS

09/11/22.................11-7-0..................61.11%...............+ 16.50
09/08/22..................1-1-0..................50.00%................- 0.50

TOTALS.................12-8.0..................60.00%...............+ 16.00

 

Udog

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Sep 10, 2018
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11
38
Armadillo Sports


Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Browns 26, Panthers 24:

— Rookie K York drilled a 58-yard FG with 0:08 left for the win.
— Cleveland led 14-0 in second quarter.
— Browns ran ball for 217 yards.
— First three drives: 19 plays, 55 yards, no points.
— Last eight drives: two TD’s, four FG’s; 59 plays, 344 yards.

— Panthers’ first five drives: 19 plays, 13 yards, no points.
— Panthers in 4th quarter: 19 plays, 214 yards, 17 points.
— Carolina kicked FG with 1:13 left to take 24-23 lead.
— Last 3+ years, Carolina is 6-18-1 ATS at home.
— Last 3+ years, Carolina is 15-35 SU

Colts 20, Texans 20
— Colts trailed 20-3 after three quarters.
— Taylor ran ball 31 times for 161 yards.
— Colts gained 245 yards in first 3 quarters, 278 yards in 4th quarter/OT.
— Colts missed a 42-yard FG in overtime.
— Indy has one Week 1 win the last nine years,

— Colts outgained Houston, 517-299.
— Texans’ last six drives: 30 plays, 75 yards, no points.
— Both of Houston’s TD’s came on drives of only 58 yards.
— Last 2+ years, Houston is 5-2 ATS in AFC South home games.

Steelers 23, Bengals 20, OT
— Bengals missed game-winning PAT with 0:02 left that forced OT.
— Their long snapper was hurt; they also missed a 29-yard FG in OT.
— Bengals were in red zone five times, scored only two TD’s.
— Last 5+ years, Bengals are 7-12 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last 20 years, team that lost Super Bowl is 4-16 ATS in Week 1 the next season.

— Steelers picked off four passes, were +5 in turnovers.
— Boswell walked it off with a 53-yard FG in OT.
— Fitzpatrick scored on a pick-6 2:17 into the game.
— Pittsburgh is 10-2 ATS last 12 games as an AFC North underdog.
— Bengals outgained Pitt 432-267, ran 94 plays to 61 for Steelers.

Commanders 28, Jaguars 22
— Jaguars only scored 16 points in five trips to red zone.
— Jags had six plays of 20+ yards; five of them came on 1st-and-10.
— Jacksonville had 13 penalties for 90 yards.
— Pederson is 9-14 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last 9+ years, Jaguars are 6-32 ATS vs NFC teams.

— Wentz threw TD passes of 49-24 yards in last 10:00 in a comeback win.
— Washington scored on first two drives, led 14-3 at halftime.
— Commanders converted 7-10 on third down, Jaguars 3-12.
— Washington had three 4th down plays that gained 20+ yards.

Bears 19, 49ers 10
— Last quarter of this game was played in a rainy quagmire.
— Both QB’s completed less than half their passes.
— 49ers led 7-0 at halftime.
— Since 1994, 49ers are 2-9 ATS as a favorite in their road opener.

— Bears in 1st half: 30 plays, 68 yards, no points.
— Bears in 2nd half: 23 plays, 175 yards, 19 points.
— Under is 6-0 in their last six home openers.
— Bears won in Week 1 for only 2nd time the last nine years,

Dolphins 20, Patriots 7:
— Miami had three drives in first half, gained 47-45-92 yards.
— Miami scored defensive TD on a strip/sack in 2nd quarter.
— Last 2+ years, Dolphins were 13-5 ATS at home.
— Last 4+ years, Miami is 9-4-1 ATS in AFC East home games.

— Patriots’ only TD came on a 92-yard drive in 3rd quarter.
— New England lost five of last six visits to Miami.
— Last 2+ years, they’re 5-8 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— NE is 17-17 SU since Brady left; 4-6 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last 6+ years, under is 32-16-1 in their road games.

Saints 27, Falcons 26
— Atlanta led 26-10 with 12:00 left in game.
— Saints kicked 51-yard FG with 0:19 left for the win.
— Saints won their last five visits to Atlanta.
— Since 2010, New Orleans is 2-11 ATS in road openers, 0-7 if favored.

— Falcons scored five of first eight times they had ball.
— Falcons scored only once in their last five drives.
— New Orleans won eight of last ten series games.
— Since 1999, Atlanta is 8-2 ATS as an underdog in home openers.
— Falcons started out 0-1 six of the last seven seasons.

Ravens 24, Jets 9:
— Lamar Jackson threw TD passes of 25-17-55 yards.
— Jackson ran ball only six times, for 17 yards.
— Ravens are 10-5 ATS in last 15 road openers.
— Last seven years, Baltimore is 6-1 ATS in Week 1 games.
— Ravens won field position by 10 yards.

— Jets converted only 2-14 third down plays.
— Jets threw 59 passes, ran ball only 17 times (for 83 yards)
— Jets lost last five home openers (0-4 ATS), scoring 11.2 ppg.
— Last 2+ years, Jets are 11-21 ATS as an underdog.
— Jets started out 0-1 six of last seven seasons.

Eagles 38, Lions 35:
— Eagles scored on a pick-6 that made score 21-7 in 2nd quarter.
— Philly ran ball for 216 yards.
— Four rushing TD’s, by four different Eagles.
— Last 2+ years, Eagles are 2-6 ATS as road favorites.
— Eagles started out 1-0 in 10 of last 12 seasons.

— Lions converted 9-14 on 3rd down, Philly 10-17.
— Detroit went 3/out on four of first five drives.
— Lions scored three TD’s on four 2nd half drives.
— Detroit’s last 12 season openers have gone over the total.
— Lions are 3-14-1 SU in last 18 games, but 12-6 ATS

Chiefs 44, Cardinals 21
— Chiefs’ first three drives: 29 plays, 236 yards, 20 points.
— Kansas City ran 66 plays, only eight of them on 3rd down.
— Chiefs wound up scoring six TD’s on their 11 drives.
— Kansas City started 1-0 the last eight years, scoring 36.3 ppg.
— Chiefs are 18-6-1 ATS last 25 games with a spread of 3 or less.

— Cardinals gave up 9.2 yards per pass play.
— Arizona was 3-12 on third down, Chiefs 5-8.
— Chiefs outgained the Cardinals, 488-282.
— Last 3+ years, over is 15-10 in Cardinal home games.
— Since 2016, Cardinals are 14-23 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.

Vikings 23, Packers 7
— Green Bay in first half: 25 plays, 101 yards, 6 first downs, no points.
— Packers turned ball over twice (-2), were 3-9 on third down.
— Last 6+ years, Green Bay is 10-14-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last 6+ years, Packers are 8-11 ATS in NFC North road games.

— Minnesota led 17-0 at halftime.
— Jefferson caught nine passes for 184 yards.
— Over last 10+ years, Vikings are 18-6 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last 7+ years, Minnesota is 13-8-1 ATS in NFC North home games.

Chargers 24, Raiders 19:
— Carr was sacked six times, threw three picks.
— Raiders were minus-3 in turnovers.
— Chargers had 9-yard edge in average field position.
— Last 6+ years, Raiders are 7-12 ATS in AFC West road tilts.

— Chargers scored three TD’s, kicked FG on first six drives.
— Chargers led 17-3 at halftime.
— Bolts lost WR Allen to hamstring injury; they play on Thursday this week.
— Fourth year in row Chargers started the season with a win.

Giants 21, Titans 20
— Trailing 20-13, Giants scored TD with 1:06 left, went for 2 points and got it.
— Giants trailed 13-0 at halftime.
— Giants in first half: 27 plays, 116 yards, no points.
— Giants in second half: 31 plays, 264 yards, 21 points.
— Last four years, Giants are 20-10 ATS as a road underdog.

— Giants ran ball for 238 yards against Tennessee.
— Titans converted only 3-11 third down plays.
— Henry ran ball for only 82 yards on 21 carries.
— Last 4+ years, they’re 10-12 ATS as a home favorite.
— Since 2013, Titans are 0-6-1 ATS as a favorite in home openers.

Buccaneers 19, Cowboys 3
— Dak Prescott hurt his right thumb, is out multiple weeks.
— Will they call 49ers about Jimmy Garoppolo?
— Elliott ran ball for 52 yards on only 10 carries,
— Cowboys converted only 3-15 third down plays.
— Last 3+ years, Dallas is 6-11 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.

— Bucs had ball five times in first half, tried five field goals (4-5)
— Fournette ran ball for 127 yards.
— Tampa Bay had 12-yard advantage in average field position.
— Bucs were only team in NFL not to allow a TD this week.
— With Brady at QB, Bucs are 3-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
 
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Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
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NFL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS

09/12/22....................0-2-0.................00.00%................-11.00
09/11/22..................14-14-0...............50.00%................- 7.00
09/08/22....................1-1-0.................50.00%................- 0.50

TOTALS..................15-17-0..............46.87%................-18.50

************************************************** *****************

BEST BETS
09/12/22...................0-2-0..................00.00%...............-11.00
09/11/22.................11-7-0..................61.11%..............+ 16.50
09/08/22..................1-1-0..................50.00%................- 0.50

TOTALS...............12-10.0.................54.54%...............+ 5.00
 
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