OK, after I threw the numbers around for a long time, I decided that with the poor odds that my book gives me on winning the Daytona, I am going to have to cut a few selections. I will tell you all what I will bet and how many units I will bet on it. I will also give you a list of those drivers that I feel are capable to winning the race in order of preference, not neccessarily in order of value...I will also list matchups, which is where the real money is at.
Starting with the drivers to win the race---
My selection to win the race is none other than Dale Earnhardt SR. Reasoning is simply because Daytona is a track that requires not only a fast motor, but track knowledge and racing experince to understand the draft and use it properly. There is no one more qualified than Earnhardt SR and he proves this every year at this track lately. Not only those factors, but what seems to be the main factor this year, and that is he drives a CHEVY. It has been publically known that FORD is at a large disadvantage due to the aerodynamics of the FORD which prevent them from benefitting from the draft as a CHEVY does. PONTIACS are not at such a disadvantage, but will be hurt due to the heavy advantage that CHEVY has. the DODGE cars have proven to be fast in the short run, but have not proven their durability in the long run, and will be tested in this 500, so I will tend to stay away from bigger $$$ committments toward DODGE. SO my choice to win is Dale Earnhardt SR at odds of 5-1
With all that in mind, my next choices to win the race are Jeff Gordon at 5-1, Dale Earnhardt JR at 8-1, and Tony Stewart at 10-1, simply b/c that is true value at 10-1, Jerry Nadeau has been impressive all week long and will definatly have a good showing, possibly winning material. Drivers with a chance to win with good value are Steve Park at 30-1 (If he learns to use that powerful engine sometime between now and the race, he will be dangerous) and Michael Waltrip at 30-1, he has the best chance to win a race this year than he has ever had in his entire career, and may pull it off to start the year.
My bets will be Dale SR and Gordon for 4 units, Dale JR for 3 Stewart for 2, and Waltrip and Park for 1
MATCHUPS...
Jerry nadeau +110 over Mike Skinner
(5 units)
Jeff Gordon -140 over Mark martin
(10 Units)
Earnhardt JR -130 over Matt Kenseth
(10 Units)
This is all I have for now, I will be posting updates as the day goes on
GOOD LUCK
Starting with the drivers to win the race---
My selection to win the race is none other than Dale Earnhardt SR. Reasoning is simply because Daytona is a track that requires not only a fast motor, but track knowledge and racing experince to understand the draft and use it properly. There is no one more qualified than Earnhardt SR and he proves this every year at this track lately. Not only those factors, but what seems to be the main factor this year, and that is he drives a CHEVY. It has been publically known that FORD is at a large disadvantage due to the aerodynamics of the FORD which prevent them from benefitting from the draft as a CHEVY does. PONTIACS are not at such a disadvantage, but will be hurt due to the heavy advantage that CHEVY has. the DODGE cars have proven to be fast in the short run, but have not proven their durability in the long run, and will be tested in this 500, so I will tend to stay away from bigger $$$ committments toward DODGE. SO my choice to win is Dale Earnhardt SR at odds of 5-1
With all that in mind, my next choices to win the race are Jeff Gordon at 5-1, Dale Earnhardt JR at 8-1, and Tony Stewart at 10-1, simply b/c that is true value at 10-1, Jerry Nadeau has been impressive all week long and will definatly have a good showing, possibly winning material. Drivers with a chance to win with good value are Steve Park at 30-1 (If he learns to use that powerful engine sometime between now and the race, he will be dangerous) and Michael Waltrip at 30-1, he has the best chance to win a race this year than he has ever had in his entire career, and may pull it off to start the year.
My bets will be Dale SR and Gordon for 4 units, Dale JR for 3 Stewart for 2, and Waltrip and Park for 1
MATCHUPS...
Jerry nadeau +110 over Mike Skinner
(5 units)
Jeff Gordon -140 over Mark martin
(10 Units)
Earnhardt JR -130 over Matt Kenseth
(10 Units)
This is all I have for now, I will be posting updates as the day goes on
GOOD LUCK
