Early Look for NCAA dates 10/21 through 10/23

[Master Capper]

Hate to say it but Southern Cal is looking like a solidplay this week against Washington even wtih the huge chalk. Washington is down to their 3rd team QB and has numerous other injuries thus you have to wonder if they wil leven score on USC. This game is shaping up as a HUGE blowout and I wouldnt be surprised to see USC with this game by 45-50 points!

 

[Joe De]

on my list of best values>>USC<<<-34..........5 touchdowns against a team who can't find the goal line all year...even if 2nd string comes in.. still see a major cover..

Florida -25
Calif-22
Iowa st-7'....i love this game..high scoring
Navy-9'
Lousiana Tech-2'

These 6 plays should hit 90% if not 100%

I really like some of the MAC teams DOGS to cover..got Ball St.and Buffalo..What'ca Think????

 

[taoist]

...some more trends for you trend lovers out there....

NCAA TRENDS
Thursday, October 21st

Syracuse (N/A) at West Virginia (-15), 7:30 ET
Syracuse - 1-6 ATS away vs. conference opponents
West Virginia - 13-2 ATS vs. conference opponents


Friday, October 22nd

South Florida (N/A) at Louisville (-24.5), 8:00 ET
South Florida - 5-1 ATS off a straight up loss
Louisville - 0-7 ATS off a SU road loss/ATS win

Wyoming (N/A) at Colorado State (-4.5), 10:00 ET
Wyoming - 1-6 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points
Colorado State - 24-10 ATS off a road conference win


Saturday, October 23rd

Rutgers () at Pittsburgh (), 12:00 ET
Rutgers - 12-2 ATS off a conference game
Pittsburgh - 2-10 ATS after playing as an underdog

Temple () at Connecticut (), 12:00 ET
Temple - 10-1 ATS away off BB ATS wins
Connecticut - 3-0 Under this season

Kansas () at Oklahoma (), 12:00 ET
Kansas - 5-1 ATS this season
Oklahoma - 1-11 ATS as a home favorite of 21.5 to 28 points

Indiana () at Ohio State (), 12:00 ET
Indiana - 0-6 ATS away off 3+ conference games
Ohio State - 5-1 ATS at home off BB conference games

Iowa () at Penn State (), 12:00 ET
Iowa - 10-2 ATS off 3+ conference games
Penn State - 5-17 ATS off ATS wins in 3 of their last 4 games

Northwestern () at Wisconsin (), 12:00 ET
Northwestern - 1-5 ATS off a home win
Wisconsin - 14-5 ATS at home off a road win

Illinois () at Minnesota (), 12:00 ET
Illinois - 0-9 ATS off a home loss
Minnesota - 7-3 ATS vs. Illinois

Maryland () at Clemson (), 12:00 ET
Maryland - 8-2 ATS off 3+ conference games
Clemson - 1-5 ATS this season

Oklahoma State () at Missouri (), 12:30 ET
Oklahoma State - 2-6 ATS vs. Missouri
Missouri - 8-2 ATS off a road loss

Florida () at Mississippi State (), 12:30 ET
Florida - 21-7 ATS off BB home games
Mississippi State - 1-9 ATS off a non-conference game

Rice () at Navy (), 1:30 ET
Rice - 8-1 ATS off an ATS loss
Navy - 0-9 ATS at home off ATS losses in 2 of their last 3 games

Colorado () at Texas A&M (), 1:30 ET
Colorado - 5-1 ATS after forcing 4+ turnovers
Texas A&M - 1-11 ATS off 3+ conference games

Texas () at Texas Tech (), 2:00 ET
Texas - 2-10 ATS off 3+ ATS losses
Texas Tech - 7-1 ATS off a win by 28+ points

Georgia () at Arkansas (), 2:00 ET
Georgia - 12-4 ATS off a home game
Arkansas - 1-5 ATS off BB ATS losses

BYU () at Air Force (), 2:00 ET
BYU - 0-6 ATS off a conference win
Air Force - 14-4 ATS off ATS wins in 3 of their last 4 games


Bowling Green () at Ohio U (), 2:00 ET
Bowling Green - 2-9 ATS off 3+ games scoring 31+ points
Ohio U - 6-1 ATS at home off a conference game

Northern Illinois () at Western Michigan (), 2:00 ET
Northern Illinois - 20-8 ATS in October
Western Michigan - 0-6 ATS at home in October

Kentucky () at Auburn (), 2:30 ET
Kentucky - 1-7 ATS as a road underdog of 21.5+ points
Auburn - 8-2 ATS in October

Boston College () at Notre Dame (), 2:30 ET
Boston College - 5-1 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points
Notre Dame - 8-19 ATS after winning 4 of their last 5 games

Virginia () at Duke (), 3:00 ET
Virginia - 1-8 ATS away off a conference game
Duke - 9-2 ATS off a loss by 17+ points

UNLV () at Utah (), 3:00 ET
UNLV - 6-1 ATS away off a straight up loss
Utah - 4-13 ATS at home after playing 3+ games as a favorite

UTEP () at Louisiana Tech (), 3:00 ET
UTEP - 8-2 ATS away after forcing 4+ turnovers
Louisiana Tech - 0-8 ATS off a conference win

UCLA () at Arizona State (), 3:30 ET
UCLA - 1-7 ATS off a conference loss
Arizona State - 5-1 ATS this season

Florida State () at Wake Forest (), 3:30 ET
Florida State - 5-1 ATS after outrushing opponent by 150+ yards
Wake Forest - 2-10 ATS at home off a home loss

Nebraska () at Kansas State (), 3:30 ET
Nebraska - 1-5 ATS off a win by 28+ points
Kansas State - 5-1 ATS at home off BB losses

Miami Florida () at NC State (), 3:30 ET
Miami FL - 13-3 ATS as a road favorite of 7.5 to 14 points
NC State - 4-12 ATS at home off a road conference win

UAB () at Tulane (), 3:30 ET
UAB - 8-2 ATS in October
Tulane - 1-7 ATS as a home underdog of 10.5 to 21 points

Michigan () at Purdue (), 3:30 ET
Michigan - 7-19 ATS away off BB conference wins
Purdue - 8-1 ATS at home vs. conference opponents

Washington State () at Oregon State (), 4:00 ET
Washington State - 3-12 ATS away off BB ATS losses
Oregon State - 11-2 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 10 points

Washington () at USC (), 4:30 ET
Washington - 1-9 ATS in October
USC - 10-0 ATS off 3+ conference games

Buffalo () at Marshall (), 4:30 ET
Buffalo - 3-7 ATS in road games
Marshall - 9-2 ATS off a road win by 10+ points

Oregon () at Stanford (), 5:00 ET
Oregon - 8-2 ATS off BB straight up wins
Stanford - 3-11 ATS at home after allowing 3 or less first half points

Ball State () at Akron (), 6:00 ET
Ball State - 2-9 ATS away off a conference game
Akron - 2-0 ATS vs. Ball State

Central Florida () at Miami Ohio (), 7:00 ET
Central Florida - 1-5 ATS off a home loss
Miami OH - 7-1 ATS off a road conference win

Central Michigan () at Toledo (), 7:00 ET
Central Michigan - 2-11 ATS as a road underdog
Toledo - 10-1 ATS as a home favorite

California () at Arizona (), 7:00 ET
California - 4-12 ATS as a road favorite
Arizona - 5-1 ATS at home off BB losses

Houston () at TCU (), 7:00 ET
Houston - 0-9 ATS off a conference loss by 7 points or less
TCU - 12-4 ATS off BB games forcing 1 or 0 turnovers

East Carolina () at Southern Mississippi (), 7:00 ET
East Carolina - 4-14 ATS off a conference game
Southern Miss - 30-9 ATS after playing as a road underdog

Memphis () at Cincinnati (), 7:00 ET
Memphis - 6-1 ATS after playing BB games as a favorite
Cincinnati - 2-8 ATS in October

Iowa State () at Baylor (), 7:00 ET
Iowa State - 2-11 ATS off a conference loss
Baylor - 5-1 ATS after allowing 50+ points

San Diego State () at New Mexico (), 8:00 ET
San Diego State - 5-14 ATS off BB games forcing 1 or 0 turnovers
New Mexico - 5-1 ATS at home off a conference game

Alabama () at Tennessee (), 8:00 ET
Alabama - 4-1 ATS at Tennessee
Tennessee - 0-6 ATS at home in weeks 5 through 9

Fresno State () at Boise State (), 8:05 ET
Fresno State - 3-19 ATS away in October
Boise State - 13-3 ATS at home off a road win

Tulsa () at Nevada (), 9:05 ET
Tulsa - 1-7 ATS off BB games allowing 42+ points
Nevada - 3-0 ATS in home games

San Jose State () at Hawaii (), 11:59 ET
San Jose State - 1-7 ATS off a bye week
Hawaii - 6-1 ATS at home after allowing 50+ points


Added Games:

Idaho () at Middle Tennessee State (), 3:00 ET
Idaho - 1-7 ATS off a home conference win
Mid Tenn State - 5-1 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points

Louisiana Monroe () at Florida Atlantic (), 4:00 ET
LA Monroe - 0-6 ATS after playing as a home favorite
FL Atlantic - 3-0 ATS this season

Arkansas State () at Louisiana Lafayette (), 5:00 ET
Arkansas State - 5-1 ATS on grass fields
LA Lafayette - 1-5 ATS as a home favorite

New Mexico State () at North Texas (), 7:05 ET
New Mexico State - 2-9 ATS off a straight up win
North Texas - 10-3 ATS as a home favorite

Troy State () at LSU (), 8:00 ET
Troy State - 5-1 ATS away off BB games allowing 125 or less rushing yards
LSU - 5-18 ATS at home off 3+ conference games


**Denotes Time Change

 

[Master Capper]

Today's top story ... UCLA's top WR is back
Senior starting WR Craig Bragg, who has missed the last three games due to a dislocated left shoulder, has returned to practice this week and is expected to play in Saturday’s game at Arizona State


ACC

Miami, Fla.
Junior starting WR Sinorice Moss, who missed last Thursday night’s game against Louisville due to a hamstring injury, is expected to be back in the mix for Saturday night’s showdown at N.C. State … Junior starting MLB Leon Williams had the cast removed, which was protecting his broken hand, and will be in the starting lineup for Saturday’s game


Big XII

Kansas
Coming off of a bye week, head coach Mark Mangino announced that sophomore QB Adam Barmann would remain the team’s starting QB for Saturday’s game at Oklahoma; Mangino added that junior Jason Swanson, who led a come-from-behind victory over Kansas State two weekends ago, would also see playing time …



Oklahoma
Sophomore starting LB Rufus Alexander (strained posterior cruciate ligament) was back at practice on Wednesday and is expected to play in Saturday’s game versus Kansas … Redshirt freshman starting DT Carl Pendleton (sprained MCL), however, has been unable to practice this week and is doubtful for Saturday’s contest


Oklahoma State
Freshman starting DE Nathan Peterson is expected to be sidelined for the remainder of the season after an MRI revealed a torn ACL; Peterson suffered the injury during last week’s loss to Texas A&M; Junior Jerry Don Bray will take over the starting duties … Although he still may take a redshirt this season, true freshman QB Bobby Reid has practiced his way back into game shape, according to O-coordinator Mike Gundy; Reid, who came out of spring drills as the expected starter, had shoulder surgery in June and has been, but has rehabbed his way back


Big Ten

Northwestern
Junior standout DE Loren Howard, who has been out of action since suffering an ankle injury during the latter stages of fall camp, could possibly return for Saturday’s game versus Wisconsin


Pac-10

Washington
The University did not incur any major penalties, as the NCAA agreed to accept the penalties that had already been issued by the Pac-10, regarding recruiting violations … In addition, former head coach Rick Neuheisel was not charged with any additional penalties, which will allow him to return to the DI-A coaching ranks

SEC

Tennessee
With junior starting SS Brandon Johnson suspended and junior starting DT Jesse Mahelona not expected to play due to an MCL sprain, a pair of Vols will get their first starts on Saturday versus Alabama; Sophomore Jarod Parrish will fill-in for Johnson at SS, whereas fellow sophomore Turk McBride will replace Mahelona in the starting lineup; junior Jason Hall and senior Karlton Neal are also expected to see playing time at the DT spot

 

[Master Capper]

Joe,


Why do you like Navy? Like all the rest of your plays as I am on a few so far. Any of the plays fall into the Dont Laugh league? As for the MAC dogs still looking seems to be value in most of these plays on the dogs, early I like Ball State and Western Mich~

 

[Master Capper]

Season System Plays 75-47
Last Week 15-5 (started out 9-0 and got greedy)
This Week 0-0
Halftimes 2-1
Rushing Dog Theory 0-3 (just started keeping track of these plays last week before that they were hitting a nice clip)


Teams taht qualify for rushing dog theory this week: Rice, Bama, Wake, UCLA, Fresno, Nebraska, Arkansas, Okie State and CMU!


Tonight
Cuse @ WVU

Been going back and forth all day on which play I wanted to go with as I seem to like both Cuse and the under in this game. I am going to go with the under 51 as my main play as I believe both teams will be able to run the ball effectively thus taking large chunks of the clock down. I still think that 16 points is too many for WVU to be giving a team that has played quite well ever since they were routed by Purdue.

Cuse under 51


Good Luck Cappers!!!!!! :clap:

 

[Joe De]

MC, Navy comes up strong laying 9', but i'm still looking. Both Rice and Navy have weak percentages throwing the ball and scoring. I think the better play on this game is on the UNDER 50. Rice really looks sick on the road.
Pickins are slim this week on Laughers, Vegas has these lines tight giving a lot of points to road favorites, naturally some are gone to blow up. This is not becoming a good week to make money wtihout having some good info on these games.
Iowa is coming up close to a Laugher, they are IMPROVING but on the road is the question. Nebraska comes up but not as strong as Iowa. But I like Nebraska to win S/U. if K. State does not have Meir QB at full strength, I doubt that he will be which throws the scenario into a UNDER 55 total..Might be the better play.
Now here is one (don't sh..t in your pants) that has the potential of an upset... SAN JOSE STATE +22..this game comes up as the best DOG play and just shy little from a Laugher PICK..there is all sort of trends out there..but one is their 8-1 against teams with losing records and 4-1 ATS Hawaii and 6-2 on turf. Pick your poison with the assortment of trends.

Best Favorite Is Utah-23/24...I'm looking to key-off a 6 point teaser with Utah -18:
Duke-30 TCU+3
Fresno+18
Northwestern+18
La Tech+4
Air Force+4
S.Jose St+28
Navy-3'
Buffalo +31
New Mexico State+15'....this line should be closer to 3...off about 5/6 points
Iowa+8'
Pitt+1
Boston College+13...this is a play..Notre Dame may be ready to fall
and anybody you like that's in the top 15 only.
If Utah hits...you'll kill the book and if it's loses Oh Well! back to the drawing board.

 

[Master Capper]

Joe,

From talking to alot of solid cappers this week everyone seems to be on Nebraska but that was one of the first games that I threw out when I initially pared my plays down. At this point I have the list down to 20 plays but I may have to revisit that game. I will probably give that Utah tease a play although I have never really fared well in college action with teasers. What are you coming up with as far as Maryland @ Clemson, Hous @ TCU and Monroe @ Florida Atlantic? I am getting some strong numbers on these games and was just curious if you had any feeling towards any of the sides?

 

[Joe De]

I have Maryland as a moderate play winning by 3

TCU by 12

can't get true numbers on Fla Atl ..but gut tells me Vegas has overcompensated this game..UL Monroe to cover 14 points

Callahan will have ass on the line this week..a win will keep around awhile...

I'll Pass this along ....look at Texass as an under play....think about defense on these two teams

 

[boilermaker]

Best of luck this weekend. Great info as usual. :clap:

 

[Master Capper]

Another note on the Ohio State game as Lydell Ross has been suspended for the game by Tressel. Pittman and Barndon Joe a converted fullback will get the bulk of the hand offs tomorow.

 

[AR182]

mc,

i read on another forum that your guy, greg roberts has a 10*tomorrow on penn. st.

 

[Master Capper]

Small paly on Wyoming under 50, no rhyme or reason for the play just playing a tip!

 

[Joe De]

Tulsa +...3

 

[Master Capper]

Season System Plays 77-47
Last Week 15-5 (started out 9-0 and got greedy)
This Week 2-0
Halftimes 2-1
Rushing Dog Theory 0-3 (see above for this weeks Rushing Dogs)

Seems like a strange card this week as I am not getting any large solid numbers on many plays and most of the one's that I am coming up with have a trend that negates their numbers. With that in mind this could be the week that I give back to the books as it seems to happen at least a coupe of times each year.


Memphis and Cinc over 56.5
Iowa over 38.5
Rutgers +6
NW+13
Sota-17
Mizzou-2.5
Florida-24
Arkansas under 50.5
Texas Tech +1.5
UVA-24
La Tech-2
UCLA+7.5
Wake +14
NC State +7.5
Oreg St -7.5
USC-34
Ball State +10.5
Cal-22
Bama under 42
Reno-3



Good Luck Cappers!!!!!

 

[Master Capper]

Just a FYI on the Iowa game but from what I have been hearing is that Ferentz's father passed away this week in Pennsylvania and the team is dedicating this game to his memory.

 

[Joe De]

What is your best pick?

 

[Master Capper]

I like Memphis over and Cal the best but played them al lfor the same $ figure!

 

[Master Capper]

late add on MTSU-10

 

[Master Capper]

2-3 early rough start: adding halftime plays

FSU under 24
Purdue-3

Good Luck Cappers!!!!!