gman2
I actually base MOST of my handicapping from what I see with my own eyes. If I ever bet HUGE on a play, it always on teams that I know inside and out or have seen multiple times play this year. THis year I have had ZERO huge plays while last year I had about 6-8. I have ESPN gameplan so I am able to watch many games throughout the year. However, when you compare teams or even watch a team, you have to take a look at the competition being played against.
For example, if ND played all the teams in the Big East, Mt. West and WAC and be undefeated coming into the USC game, would you tout ND being a great team and present a huge challenge to USC? (ND would have a similar SOS as AU and Wiscy) Their defense would have multiple shutouts and their offense would put up big pts.
I could argue ND would be much better off this year playing AU's schedule AND be bowl eligible. What does that say about the Mighty Tigers and the SEC.
How many times do you see a team start out 5-0 against piss poor competition and then get THUMPED when they play someone good?
Lets take Purdue this year for example. HUGE FRAUD. I was not duped because I knew they had not played anybody. Orton for Heisman cuz they put up 50+ pts against piss poor competition?
Or take last year for example with OU. OU put up HUGE numbers against bad/average teams. Then they got blown out against the best team they faced all year. Then OU loses against LSU in the bowl game. Many people said they saw that team (OU) play with their own eyes and thought they were maybe one of the best teams EVER! YOU CAN ONLY JUDGE TEAMS BASED ON WHO THEY ARE PLAYING AGAINST! There are TONS of examples that would support my argument.
its pretty obvious that auburn, wisconsin, and penn state have pretty fu/ckin good defenses.
Based on what? Your own eyes?
watch the games and watch the speed that these defenses have. speed and talent knows no difference between oklahoma and central florida.
So when the AU defense ran circles around Citadel, I am suppose to think they are really fast and good? When the Wiscy/Penn St defense shuts down all those explosive offenses in the Big 10 I am suppose to think they are world beaters?
What great offenses have these defenses faced? I want to know!
I don't understand your logic. If an average defense plays a BAD OFFENSIVE team, that average defense is gonna look pretty good! When you are talking about Penn St., Wiscy, and AU they all may have TOP DEFENSES in the country but have any of them been seriously tested? If so, more than once? I don't think so. So if none of them have been tested more than once, how can anyone say by judging from their own eyes they are "*ucking good.'
This is where you can lose/make a lot of money in the bowl season. I pray CAL faces Wiscy and USC faces AU in the bowl games. I will dump my whole account on both teams if both are -3 or less. It is the same reason I bet 9k on USC vs Michigan last year. Michigan had not played anybody to prepare for USC vs USC already being tested to play Michigan.
People need to start holding teams accountable based on who they play. When I bring up stats/numbers they are used to "support" my argument. I can judge from my own eyes and know that many of the teams that Wiscy and AU have faced are crap teams. I think you can come up with the same conclusion with your own eyes as well!
Name the great offenses AU has shut down?
Name the great offenses Wiscy and Purdue shut down?
Could help explain their great defensive stats!