how can you not like louisville -2 for the game ?

gman2

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because theyre shooting 25% and playing with no energy. can they flip the switch? maybe. but memphis can be a bitch sometimes. perennial underachievers but theyre not a shit team. not gonna be easy for the ville.
 

Save It

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This is the angle to look for - way too many points - you'll win 2 out of 3 taking the huge dog dominating the game here...take the points!
 

gman2

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will louisville shoot 25% for the game? not very likely.

but will they play with any intensity? thats the question. i can give a look to a 2h chalk if their shots arent fouling but theyre getting after it and hustling. ive never seen a pitino-coached team so lifeless for a half.

not gonna be easy for lville to come back imo. they could easily do it, but couldnt bet money on it.
 

gman2

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like i said, theres no way that louisville will shot 25% for the game.


they'll shoot 20%
 

buc

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Just a question. Why was there not a Memphis ML bet???? Gettng 17.5 points I'm assuming the ML would have been +2000. Damn.
 

Save It

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Just curious - but does anybody else but myself seem to take advantage of these inflated 2nd half lines in certain situations like this? I mean it seems like everytime i check the board - like last night for example - seems like 75% of the people are on the team getting crushed, thinking they will come back, win, and cover the 2H line...

Trust me - i've been using this angle over the last 5 years - it works like a charm - not every time but about 65% of the time...it is unrealistic to expect a team like Louisville - shooting 25% and looking flat - and Memphis a team playing there asses off to just fold.

Does it happen that the dog folds? Sure, sometimes...but more often than not the dog stays w/in the number...like yesterday Illinois - 2H line was -11.5 for Illinois - considering game line was only -15 - you are expecting the fave team to all of a sudden snap out of it and play 100% flawless ball - it just doesn't happen most of the time - now i leaned to Michigan and posted that - but i didn't play it - i was a loser for the Ill game - however i should have played my instinct...

Watching this game in the 1H i was licking my chops waiting to see a heavily inflated 2H line - and Louisville -13 - now 13 is a lot to cover - take into the fact taht they were getting spanked and shooting cold - they would have to hit about 75% or better and Memphis would have to be completely shut down...

One thing good cappers do is adjust to a game - even if you had Louisville - i know it's tough when on wrong side - but switch to the other side, or just chalk it up as a losing wager...

Again - i'm only trying to help others realize this is a very very very strong angle - the best out there in my opinion...

One can have a successfull season if just playing this halftime angle...again you will not hit them all - but roughly 2 out of 3 ain't bad in my opinion...

Just consider this for the future - i don't know if anyone else is using this angle - haven't received much feedback - but next time you bet the fave or are considering the huge 2H fave - remember my words of advice...

GL & let's get some more winners tonight!
 
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