Just curious - but does anybody else but myself seem to take advantage of these inflated 2nd half lines in certain situations like this? I mean it seems like everytime i check the board - like last night for example - seems like 75% of the people are on the team getting crushed, thinking they will come back, win, and cover the 2H line...
Trust me - i've been using this angle over the last 5 years - it works like a charm - not every time but about 65% of the time...it is unrealistic to expect a team like Louisville - shooting 25% and looking flat - and Memphis a team playing there asses off to just fold.
Does it happen that the dog folds? Sure, sometimes...but more often than not the dog stays w/in the number...like yesterday Illinois - 2H line was -11.5 for Illinois - considering game line was only -15 - you are expecting the fave team to all of a sudden snap out of it and play 100% flawless ball - it just doesn't happen most of the time - now i leaned to Michigan and posted that - but i didn't play it - i was a loser for the Ill game - however i should have played my instinct...
Watching this game in the 1H i was licking my chops waiting to see a heavily inflated 2H line - and Louisville -13 - now 13 is a lot to cover - take into the fact taht they were getting spanked and shooting cold - they would have to hit about 75% or better and Memphis would have to be completely shut down...
One thing good cappers do is adjust to a game - even if you had Louisville - i know it's tough when on wrong side - but switch to the other side, or just chalk it up as a losing wager...
Again - i'm only trying to help others realize this is a very very very strong angle - the best out there in my opinion...
One can have a successfull season if just playing this halftime angle...again you will not hit them all - but roughly 2 out of 3 ain't bad in my opinion...
Just consider this for the future - i don't know if anyone else is using this angle - haven't received much feedback - but next time you bet the fave or are considering the huge 2H fave - remember my words of advice...
GL & let's get some more winners tonight!