I have come across a secret data source so valuable I could tell you but then I'd have to bang your girl. I'm going to post the plays but not how I arrive at the numbers. No Not really this place is about sharing and I will share with my buddies. After all the system may shit the bed. Although I feel theoretically it is very sound.
I was thinking to myself if a team shoots at pretty high fg percentage, and averages over a certain amount of offensive rebounds it stands to reason that they will be a solid team to play. Now if that team also shoots ft well, also over a set % even better. Now what if they have a good turnover/assist ratio also over a certain benchmark number? It stands to reason you would be playing on a team that shoots well, makes the most of its time at the line, when they miss they get second oppurtunitys alot, and also takes care of the ball well.
So here goes system number 1.
Play on any dog that qualifies for the following 4 criteria, and any favorite up to minus 12 provided they are playing a team that qualifies for two or less of the criteria.
1) The Team averages over 11 offensive rebounds a game.
2) The team shoots over 42% from the field
3) The team shoots over 71% from the free throw line.
4)The team averages at least 2 more assists than turnovers.
I'm using The database in the handicappers guide to get the numbers. The teams that qualify today which some of them have already tipped are:
Niagara at +3.5
Wku Minus 3
Mich state -10
I will track the dogs su and ats and the favs just ats.
One last thing I think for teams to have stats that are truly reflective of them and their coach and philosophy they nedd to have played at least 10 games. So that obviously is not a problem this year but for the future.
The second system to follow
I was thinking to myself if a team shoots at pretty high fg percentage, and averages over a certain amount of offensive rebounds it stands to reason that they will be a solid team to play. Now if that team also shoots ft well, also over a set % even better. Now what if they have a good turnover/assist ratio also over a certain benchmark number? It stands to reason you would be playing on a team that shoots well, makes the most of its time at the line, when they miss they get second oppurtunitys alot, and also takes care of the ball well.
So here goes system number 1.
Play on any dog that qualifies for the following 4 criteria, and any favorite up to minus 12 provided they are playing a team that qualifies for two or less of the criteria.
1) The Team averages over 11 offensive rebounds a game.
2) The team shoots over 42% from the field
3) The team shoots over 71% from the free throw line.
4)The team averages at least 2 more assists than turnovers.
I'm using The database in the handicappers guide to get the numbers. The teams that qualify today which some of them have already tipped are:
Niagara at +3.5
Wku Minus 3
Mich state -10
I will track the dogs su and ats and the favs just ats.
One last thing I think for teams to have stats that are truly reflective of them and their coach and philosophy they nedd to have played at least 10 games. So that obviously is not a problem this year but for the future.
The second system to follow
