what do you value more? potential (or what he CAN do) .... or his recent outings (what he HAS done)?
because thats really what it comes down to.
in terms of stuff, the guy has the ability to go 7 or 8 dominant innings and be untouchable. he's got "ace" stuff for sure, but he's pitching like a AAA player right now.
his last 5 outings have been god awful, although he finally showed signs of snapping out of it in seattle, where he pitched really well despite the loss.
aside from getting smacked by oakland in cali two weeks ago, he has been solid on the road lately. so thats a plus. most of his struggles have come at home.
only problem is that robertson has been very very tough on indians hitters in his career. cleveland does not hit him well at all. so this one isnt all about sabathia. indians offense has to help him out.
what scares me is the potential letdown that could happen from the yanks series if the indians win tonight, which they SHOULD do with their de facto ace on the mound (millwood). indians could be coming into this one off a sweep and be flat.
id really take a hard look at the under. indians dont hit roberston well, theyll be coming in fresh off a big series against new york, and sabathia has been much better on the road than at home.