Madjacks 2006 group picks

DOGS THAT BARK

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I always look forward to Kirks selections and his performance in his investors club and thought since we have pretty substatial participation here it might be fun for us each to pick 2 stocks for 2006 and see how we did in 2007.

My Two--one banking and one somewhat energy related.

AmSouth Bank (ASO)
Tsakos Energy Navigation (TNP)

I consider them rather conservative stocks with some growth potential and each paying dividends in 4% to 5% range.
 

MSM

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I think it would be fun.
Exactly how will it work? Do we pick stock for the year and keep them or can we buy and sell like Kirk does an post the record and keep a running total. What would be our starting investment?
Thanks
MSM
 

dawgball

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Great idea. Are there fantasy stock sites where we could have a portfolio contest. I briefly googled for one without fees, but didn't take the time to look further.

I will post my selections a little later.
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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anyway you all want to do it. Would think it probably best to have them in by 15th of jan and grade them all from that date to years end-- in my case I will update my thread with price of stock on 1-15.
 

redsfann

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Count me in.

Would it be unreasonable to post 2 speculative stocks and 2 that would be prudent for a retirement account?

regardless, I'll have my 4 posted by the 15th, with coresponding write-ups and/or links to information about them in case anyone actually would want to invest ...:mj07:

Also, a monthly or quarterly update about the stocks you picked and your thoughts on continuing to "own" them or why you have dumped them would be cool as well.

We can think of this as our virtual investment club...:D
 
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selkirk

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very good idea and suggestions. should keep the number low like two, or two spec, and two long term, what ever the poster wants.

then each quarter bring up the results, update them and if the people suggested them can feel free to update them,..if they wish. still hold, sold bought more ect

will have mine in by friday.

thanks
selkirk
 

MadJack

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count me in. i'll post 2 LT and 2 spec stocks by the 15th.

long term for me is about a month :D
 

redsfann

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Great!


Looks as if we have a bit of a consensus going on for a format. I like the idea of 2 specs and 2 long-term plays with an update quarterly, but if something else works for everyone, I'm good with that, too.
 

selkirk

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My selections for MJ stock challenge 2006

if a new thread is started somone can post these in the new thread.

will pick two US and two cdn. spec plays.

the two US stocks are picked from a stock screening process I am trying to use...(see so if it does not work just blame the program, or screen..lol)

1. Ashland ASH $64.68
they sold their refinary operations and greatly reduced debt. trades at 9PE.
involved in infrastructure and produce items such as Valvoline.

div $1.10, and hardly any debt trading below 10PE.
and Valvoline is a good motor oil....

10% upside.

2. Land America LFG
title insurance company, $65.25

div .72
PE 8.99
shows up on the screen and last three years positvie performance of stock...

10% upside.

upside counts div.

CDN. spec

Geocan GCA $2.20 cdn. (TSX)
cheap on cash flow, throwing off around .19-.20 per quarter.

may make up to .20.-.25 in earings in 2006.

good land package, and cheap on cash flow, earnings basis. expect production to increase from current level 3200 barrels/day.

production 48% heavy oil, 16% light, 36% natural gas.

lower natural gas prices may cause the stock to drift lower. very strong buy below $2.......



OIL $3.83 cdn. like their operations in the North Sea,

earnings may come in at .30-.40 in 2006

risks drilled a hole last month that was dry. these are high risks/reward holes..1/3, 1/4. so large amount of drilling risk.


both of these companies are takeover targets, like GCA for their North American production and land.

and oil may turn out to be a great play in the North Sea.

hoping for 25% upside in both plays.

if oil/gas sell off the sector, many jr. energy plays get forgotten and or worse taken out and shot.

still like HBM but that is already in the predictions thread.

thanks
selkirk
 

redsfann

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I don't know why we just can't use this thread, Selkirk. If someone wants to cut and paste my picks into another thread, go right ahead.


Speculative picks:


IA Global Inc AMEX IAO last trade: Jan 13th $0.30


IA Global, Inc. operates as a holding company that acquires primarily Japanese companies that engage in the gaming, entertainment, and technology businesses. It owns 60.5% equity interest in Rex Tokyo Co., Ltd., which supplies and installs gaming machines and parts to the Pachinko and machine gaming industry in Japan. It offers automatic medal dispensing machines, automatic cigarette butt disposal systems, lighting systems, and Pachinko balls and other Pachinko accessory products, as well as Pachinko slot machines. The company, through its subsidiary, Global Hotline, Inc., operates call centers, as well as resells telephone and broadband lines in Japan. The company was incorporated in 1998 under the name foreignTV.com, Inc. and changed its name to Medium4.com, Inc. in 1999; and then to IA Global, Inc., in 2003. IA Global is headquartered in Tampa, Florida.
As the economy in Japan continues to improve, so will IA Global's bottom line. Pachinko is one of Japan's favorite ways to gamble, and as they have more money in their pockets, the more Pachinko they will play. This is a true long-shot, IMO, but at a short price you can accumulate many shares and if it takes off, you will have a nice winner...:D

Granite City food and Brewery Ltd. Nasdaq GCFB last trade Jan 13th: $4.46

Granite City Food & Brewery, Ltd. engages in the development and operation of casual dining restaurants featuring on-premise breweries primarily in the United States. These restaurants provide 85-item menu complemented by handcrafted beers. Its menu includes Granite City Ale and Cheddar Soup, Chicken Caesar Chalupa, grilled chicken and Bruschetta Salad, Chinese Pasta Salad, Grilled London Broil with Bourbon Onion Sauce, Southern Fried Chicken Breast Sandwich, Honey Rosemary Filet Mignon, and the Granite City Walleye, as well as appetizers, salads, and entrees. As of November 16, 2005, the company operated 11 restaurants in St. Cloud, Minnesota; Sioux Falls, South Dakota; Fargo, North Dakota; West Des Moines, Cedar Rapids, and Davenport, Iowa; Lincoln, Nebraska; Kansas City, Missouri; and Minneapolis, Minnesota. Granite City Food & Brewery was founded by Steven J. Wagenheim and William E. Burdick. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

Granite City opened here in Davenport in Jan 2004. I like their beer, the food is better than other brewpubs in the area and the atmosphere is one I can tolerate..lol. I listed this in the spectulative area as I feel their growth projections may be a bit aggressive and if the economy cools, it would be a hit to the bottom line. If you are near by a Granite City, stop in, try the food and the beer and I think you will be a shareholder soon after.
 

redsfann

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Long term picks:

Quanex (NYSE:NX) last trade Jan 13th 53.80


Web Site: http://www.quanex.com

Quanex Corporation manufactures engineered carbon and alloy steel bars, aluminum flat-rolled products, flexible insulating glass spacer systems, extruded profiles, and precision-formed metal and wood products for vehicular and building products markets. The company operates through two segments, Vehicular Products and Building Products. The Vehicular Products segment includes engineered steel bar manufacturing, steel bar and tube heat-treating services, and steel bar and tube corrosion and wear resistant finishing services. It provides engineered steel bars to passenger car, light truck, sport utility vehicle, heavy truck, off-road and farm equipment industries. This segment also provides tube and bar heat-treating and related services, such as quench and temper, stress relieving, normalizing, cut-to-length, and metallurgical testing. It also treats steel bars and tubes to improve the metal?s corrosion and wear resistance properties to chrome plating. The Building Products segment offers lexible insulating glass spacer systems, window and patio door screens, window cladding frames, residential exterior products, custom wood window grilles and accessories, engineered vinyl and thermoplastic alloy composite window components, custom designed and roll-formed aluminum components, and stamped aluminum shapes for manufacturers of windows for the home improvement, residential, and light commercial construction markets. Quanex markets its products through direct sales force and distributors. Quanex operates in the United States, Mexico, Canada, Asia, Europe, and other foreign countries. The company was founded in 1927 as Michigan Seamless Tube Company and changed its name to Quanex Corporation in 1977. Quanex is based in Houston, Texas.

I first bought Quanex back in 2002 at 31 a share. Since then its traded as high as 67 and I feel that it should be trading at an even higher price than that. I recently added to my holdings when it traded at 52. I am very bullish on this stock, and I expect another solid year of earnings in 2006.


http://www.forbes.com/lists/2006/88/BUDL.html?partner=yahootix&id=BUDL_NX


Popular Inc (Nasdaq BPOP)
Popular, Inc., a financial holding company, provides various financial services primarily in Puerto Rico and the United States. The company, through its principal subsidiary, Banco Popular de Puerto Rico, offers a range of individual and commercial banking services in Puerto Rico. It also provides investment banking, auto and lease financing, mortgage and consumer lending, insurance, and information processing through its other subsidiaries. As of July 15, 2005, Popular, Inc. operated 280 branches and offices in Puerto Rico. The company also operates the Hispanic-owned financial services franchise, Banco Popular North America, which provides various financial solutions in the United States. It operated approximately 135 branches in California, Texas, Illinois, New York, New Jersey, and Florida, as well as 112 financial services stores under the name of Popular Cash Express, as of July 15, 2005. In addition, the company, through its finance subsidiary, Popular Financial Holdings, operated approximately 200 retail lending locations offering mortgage and personal loans in the United States, as of the above date. It also maintains a wholesale broker network, a warehouse lending division, loan servicing, and an assets acquisition unit. Popular, Inc. also operates in the Caribbean and Latin America. The company was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Hato Rey, Puerto Rico.

A low P/E ratio of 10.64 and a healthy dividend of 64 cents per share, yielding 3.10%, makes this a safe and secure stock to own in the financial sector of your portfolio. I first purchased this stock in late 2002 after reading about it being a possible takeover target from one of the large East Coast banks looking to make larger in-roads in the Hispanic market. Since then, its had a 2-1 split. I would have liked to see a bit more growth in the price per share, but the nice 3.1 % dividend in these days of low interest rates has kept me owning this stock.
 
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