thanks guys..appreciate it...
20-21....-5.50*
all plays are for 2* unless noted...
vt.-34(120)...
this is vt's acc home opener so i think beamer will put on a show for the home folk.eventhough vt beat nc pretty handily last week, the offense didn't do much so i look for the vt offense to play at full strength for most of the game so their qb can get the reps he needs for the tougher games down the road. duke lost by 1 point on the road to wf last week, when wake pulled the game out at the end. i read that bad teams that come close but fail to pull off a big upset generally find it hard to get up for their next game. i also like the fact that duke is starting a freshman qb so i look for vt to roll to a score of 48-0 or something similar to that...
iowa-13.....
i'm betting that tate plays against cross state rival iowa st, who beat iowa pretty handily last year. also iowa is 27-5-1 ats (84.3%) under ferentz at home.iowa is the better team, at home seeking revenge.
michigan+7...
i think mich. is the better team...they are returning 8 starters from last years defense that held n.d to their season low yardage & i also think mich. is stronger along the line of scrimmage.also
in the last 21 games between n.d. & michigan the dog has covered 18 times (85.7%).also mich., under carr is 12-3 ats (80%) as a dog.
4*conn.-4...
took this as soon as the lines came out.i like this for a few reasons...conn. is an experienced team who always seems prepared...this is wake's first road game & is starting a freshman qb & has yet to get their running game going....conn. has covered their last 6 home games & 12 of it's last 18 home games, while wake has lost 12 of their last 17 against the spread since 2004 & 7 of their last 8 against the number vs. non-conference opponents.
rutgers-14(130)....
i don't understand why this line is going down. ohio pulled off a major upset to mac conference opponent n. ill. as a 20 point dog.history has shown that these teams usually come up flat for their next game....here is something that you may find interesting that i picked up.... since 1980,there have been 403 occurences where a team won as a double digit road dog (ohio), with 112 of them facing a non-conference opponent in their next game. of those 112, only 46 covered the spread (41%)... but if this double digit road dog winner (ohio) is playing next a team that is off a su win (rutgers)....the dd road dog (ohio) is 16-40 ats (28.6 %) since 1980.... taking it even further within those 56 games... if the play against team (ohio) scored 22 or more in its last game, the angle improves to 28-7 ats (80%). to take it even further...if the upset team (ohio) scored 35 or more points...this play against team is 0-9 ats. and even further than that if the play on team (rutgers) is off b2b su and ats wins, the angle stands at 8-0.
good luck.
