plays & info for 9/14-9/16....

Cie

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play against a favorite playing in their 3rd straight road game if having won the previous game su as a dog....

since 1989...13-7 ats....65%...play c. mich.

I am not huge into trends, but this 1 makes a ton of sense. GL this week:weed:
 

AR182

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thanks guys...

i was able to get usc-17(120) instead of the 18 that i previously listed.

adding for 2* each....

fla. in'tl.+6....

b.g. is in a mac sandwich & is 1-6 ats in their last 7 road games.

u 45(120)w.mich/virginia...

virginia is having problems with their offense, while w. mich. is playing pretty good defense & has their starting qb out.

u 48 sdst/wisc....

sdst. is starting a young qb for the first time on the road....think they will play pretty conservatively & rely on their good defense.

play under all teams where the total is between 42- 49 (sdst & wisc. both apply) in non-conference games, game between 2 teams with 8 or more defensive starters back from last year's team....

last 5 seasons...ats is 28-4....87.4%

good luck.
 

AR182

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thanks walii...back at you....

here is a system that i just read....

Play AGAINST any game three college road team coming off back-to-back home battles to start the season provided they are matched up against an opponent that enters off back-to-back SU and ATS wins.

27 Year Record ? 31-13 ATS for 70.5 percent

The premise for this angle is really quite simple. Here we have a college team playing their first road war of the season ? after being in the comforts of home for two consecutive games ? matched up against an opponent that checks in with a ton of momentum of their own. Emotion plays a huge part in college football and sometimes it can be hard to match when forced to step up your level of play on foreign soil. Also, a team isn?t just knocking helmets with anyone in this game three setting. They?re going up against an opponent with a ton of steam on their home turf! That?s a tall order!

On Saturday, there are five guests locked into this play against situation: LSU, Cincinnati, Michigan State, Oklahoma and Miami of Florida.

With every system, I like to fine tune the parameters to try and tighten things up a bit. If we eliminate big road underdogs of +24 or more and also make sure our ?play on? team won seven or more of its last 22 games, this Game Three Money-Maker improves to a blistering 28-5 ATS for 84.8 percent. Auburn, Pittsburgh, Oregon and Louisville are the four teams that fit this tightener.

This game three college system is one of the best I own and certainly needs to be respected. If you plan on investing your hard earned dough on the Tigers, Panthers, Ducks or Cardinals, this technical situation will allow you to go to the window with a little more confidence. Of course, if you want to open up your wallet for LSU, Michigan State, Oklahoma or Miami of Florida, you might want to reconsider!


good luck.
 

AR182

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thanks taoist..appreciate it.

are you talking about the bet365 ncaa contest ?

no i'm not it's too late.....am funded with quite a few books already & bet365 is not my type of book...& am in 7 contests with the various books...

good luck
 

adfreak

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I've been keyed in on that UConn game the past two days but have been hesitant to pull the trigger. UConn historically is a very good ATS team and like you said, Wake with a freshman making his first road start.
 

StevieD

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Good luck with your picks Al. UConn very big game for me this week. Here's to us!:toast:
 

AR182

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thanks guys...

kg i don't know why you want to keep this on top....i'm not doing too good.

adding for 2*...

wash.+4(120)
tcu...p

good luck.
 

AR182

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i have a 2* on hawaii-10...

adding another...

2*hawaii-13....

i may be wrong but i think this game sets up very well for hawaii...as i mentioned in my previous write-up on hawaii, i think unlv may still be playing, in their mind, last week's bitter loss to iowa state. in addition this is unlv's 2nd straight road game...they went from vegas to iowa st back to vegas now traveling to hawaii. unlv also has boise up next while hawaii has nevada.

if you think hawaii will score more than 28 points tonight, then a few trends come into play....

hawaii is 12-0 ats at home when they score more than 28 points & not favored by 22 points. over the same period of time, unlv is 0-7 su/ats when allowing more than 28 points on the road.

also...game 2 home favorites of more than 2 points off a su road loss & ats win are 10-0 su/ats since 1990 against opponents playing their 3rd game.

good luck.
 
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