nfl plays for 12/17-12/18...

[AR182]

first i like to thank those who commented on my meltdown last week. i usually don't get bothered when i lose a play. but the no-show by the cowboys last week was something that i thought i would never see in a parcells team....the player's should be ashamed for taking a pay check for last week's performance.on to this week....

nflx.......8-8.........+5.80*
nfl........46-33....+16.05*

minn.-2.5(buy)...best bet

a word of caution for those who follow my picks, i am 0-3 in my last 3 best bets.

i think the coach of the jets should win the coach of the year, because looking at the players & the stats of the jets, it's very puzzling how the jets have won 7 games so far. they can't run the ball, stop the run or have many playmakers on either side of the ball.

statistically, minn. has better numbers than the jets. they rank 11 spots higher than the jets in league offensive standings & rank 23 spots higher than the jets in defensive numbers. over the last 4weeks, minn. ranks #7 offensively in the league & # 2 defensively, & have a +7 TO ratio....while the jets have the # 17 # 14 units (26th against the run) & -2 TO ratio respectively over the same 4 week period.

i'm taking the home team that should be able to dominate the line of scrimmage on both sides of the field & think that minn. should be able to win this game by dd.

 

[RAYMOND]

gl big al

 

[ThrowinPicks]

Lot of big games coming up in both NFL and College. Hope your streak starts this week.

Cheers

 

[rusty]

best bet

best bet

only thing that scares me here is afc so much better then nfc.

and jets coming off lose.

then again my luck lately has been none.
g.l.

 

[NySportsfan]

I like that pick too, I think the Jets are running out of gas a little, but it all depends if minny can run the ball which is the jets weakness......AL, the jets have won 7 games because they have played NOBODY, I watch almost every game even though I'm a Giant fan Im stuck watching them......they beat.....1) Tennessee (week 1 when they stunk.....2) Buffalo (nice win, were outgained but made big plays)......3) Miami (when they were struggling early.......4) Detroit, nuff said....5) Houston, nuff said.....6) Green Bay, nuff said...7) New England, huge win, deserve props, grinded it out.....there's your answer how they have 7 wins.....yes dallas was bad last week but dont say should paycheck back because you lost your bet, they were white hot before that I liked them too last week but they got killed, theyll be fired up this week I have a feeling

 

[AR182]

thanks guys....appreciate it.

throwinpicks....i hope my streak starts soon also. last year i went 5-0 in the playoffs & 10-6 in the bowls...but of course that means nothing this year.

rusty...i agree that the afc on the whole is better than the nfc...but imo the vikings are stronger in this matchup....also hoping that playing indoors will hinder the jets since they are not accustomed to this.

mike....minn. has a very effective running attack. if johnson avoids mistakes, i think minn. wins this rather comfortably.

good luck guys.

 

[Vicc Inzagio]

good luck AR !!


vicc

 

[THE HITMAN]

What's the status of Chester Taylor?

 

[AR182]

What's the status of Chester Taylor?

got this from another site who got this from don best....

Taylor is optimistic he will play Sunday against the New York Jets. Sidelined because of sore ribs against the Detroit Lions, Taylor will test flak jackets to protect himself this week. "The plan is to play on Sunday," Taylor said. "That's my goal right now. I just have to see how it plays out this week." Taylor said the week of rest has him feeling much better. He is still listed as questionable, and he was limited for part of practice Wednesday.

 

[DeadPrez]

gl this week AR :SIB

 

[loophole]

well, i for one feel better now.

 

[Hooks]

AR, we cap the games as best as we can.
We put our bets in BEFORE they kickoff.
You could say, we do our jobs, you'd think the players would do THEIR JOB, hell they're even getting PAID!!!

Then we get to put up with the OLDFICIALS, no wonder it's hard to win. Too bad we can't discover a way to cap turnovers and penalties :mj10:

Glad your staying with us, we appreciate your efforts, Hooks

 

[AR182]

thanks guys...appreciate it.

loophole....how come i don't see you on the list for vegas this year ?

hooks...you too...the address by your name states that you live in vegas...you should stop by for at least a drink.

 

[Hooks]

It is about time I show up. Been abit shy.

 

[blgstocks]

gl this week ar

 

[Jabberwocky]

Gl this week AR and thanks for the good info. Always appreciated.

 

[AR182]

It is about time I show up. Been abit shy.

hooks...

you shy ?....i can't believe that. everybody is so open & friendly at these get togethers there is no reason to be shy.


thanks everybody.

 

[AR182]

i just came across this stat from a poster on another site...who got this info from the stat site that i use.....take fwiw....

Since 1984, NFL non-division road teams from game 14 to game 16 are a miserable 32-71-2 ATS provided they check in off a double-digit loss.
At this time of the season, blowouts can weigh heavy on pro teams. Injuries and fatigue have settled in and ?getting up? for another four quarters of battle just isn?t as easy at it was at the beginning of the season especially if you?re forced to go on the road. Not being able to at least face a division foe takes away the motivational factor too. There are five teams locked into this nasty ?play against? situation this weekend ? Dallas, Denver, Tampa Bay, the New York Jets and St. Louis.

There are a couple of great tighteners that really make this system pop. First, if our visitor is priced as an underdog or a favorite of -1 or less, this situation dips to a woeful 23-63-2 ATS. This late-season puppy has trouble recovering from that blowout loss (especially when matched up against a superior opponent) and loses its bark. This week, the Bucs, Jets and Rams both fit this tightener.

With our 23-63-2 ATS in hand, this system crashes to an ugly 4-29 ATS provided our guest is lined up across from a team that checks in off a straight up victory of seven points or more. The home team in this set is obviously riding an emotional high off that win of seven or more and carries that success over for another week versus this weary and wobbly traveler. On Sunday, the Bucs and Jets are locked into this nearly perfect ?play against? situation.

 

[blgstocks]

thanks for the heads up on this profitable situation AR

I will put 1 unit on Bears
1 unit on Minny

and then Parlay the MLs of the 2 with clemson ML for a unit
gl this week

 

[NySportsfan]

i just came across this stat from a poster on another site...who got this info from the stat site that i use.....take fwiw....

Since 1984, NFL non-division road teams from game 14 to game 16 are a miserable 32-71-2 ATS provided they check in off a double-digit loss.
At this time of the season, blowouts can weigh heavy on pro teams. Injuries and fatigue have settled in and ?getting up? for another four quarters of battle just isn?t as easy at it was at the beginning of the season especially if you?re forced to go on the road. Not being able to at least face a division foe takes away the motivational factor too. There are five teams locked into this nasty ?play against? situation this weekend ? Dallas, Denver, Tampa Bay, the New York Jets and St. Louis.

There are a couple of great tighteners that really make this system pop. First, if our visitor is priced as an underdog or a favorite of -1 or less, this situation dips to a woeful 23-63-2 ATS. This late-season puppy has trouble recovering from that blowout loss (especially when matched up against a superior opponent) and loses its bark. This week, the Bucs, Jets and Rams both fit this tightener.

With our 23-63-2 ATS in hand, this system crashes to an ugly 4-29 ATS provided our guest is lined up across from a team that checks in off a straight up victory of seven points or more. The home team in this set is obviously riding an emotional high off that win of seven or more and carries that success over for another week versus this weary and wobbly traveler. On Sunday, the Bucs and Jets are locked into this nearly perfect ?play against? situation.

al you know i respect you, but this stuff is somewhat meaningless imo, you can find trends for anything, dallas is 22-10-1 on monday ngihts in october after a loss before playing a div game when wearing blue uniforms :shrug: I mean seriously, 1984s a long time ago, I prefer the old fashioned way of watching and knowing all the teams and styles of play, and playing based on schedule stiatuions and talent, not banking on generalities from 20 yrs, i know you're posting as is and not using as your analysis, but i wish this trend crap would be blown up :sadwave: if you're basing bets on vague generality trends, you can find anything to justify a pick