i just came across this stat from a poster on another site...who got this info from the stat site that i use.....take fwiw....
Since 1984, NFL non-division road teams from game 14 to game 16 are a miserable 32-71-2 ATS provided they check in off a double-digit loss.
At this time of the season, blowouts can weigh heavy on pro teams. Injuries and fatigue have settled in and ?getting up? for another four quarters of battle just isn?t as easy at it was at the beginning of the season especially if you?re forced to go on the road. Not being able to at least face a division foe takes away the motivational factor too. There are five teams locked into this nasty ?play against? situation this weekend ? Dallas, Denver, Tampa Bay, the New York Jets and St. Louis.
There are a couple of great tighteners that really make this system pop. First, if our visitor is priced as an underdog or a favorite of -1 or less, this situation dips to a woeful 23-63-2 ATS. This late-season puppy has trouble recovering from that blowout loss (especially when matched up against a superior opponent) and loses its bark. This week, the Bucs, Jets and Rams both fit this tightener.
With our 23-63-2 ATS in hand, this system crashes to an ugly 4-29 ATS provided our guest is lined up across from a team that checks in off a straight up victory of seven points or more. The home team in this set is obviously riding an emotional high off that win of seven or more and carries that success over for another week versus this weary and wobbly traveler. On Sunday, the Bucs and Jets are locked into this nearly perfect ?play against? situation.
