Bowl Week Card ( Dec 18th- Jan 8th)

Irish

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Clemson (-10):scared over Kent
So much chalk make my drink go flat. But I have to think of the clemson defense and how they will be all over woodson.Woodson, who led the SEC with 3,216 passing yards and 28 touchdowns while throwing only seven interceptions in his second season. He is the key today and the defense will be the difference IMO. Not only does Kent play is Woodson shows up but they struggle when he does and the team speed of clemson on defense might be a little to much for him. SHUT OFF BURTON and He will struggle and he will force passes and that will lead to picks for clemson.The duo will be challenged by a stingy Clemson defense that ranked 15th in the nation in scoring defense (15.2 ppg) and passing yards allowed (166.8 per game). Then you have two fantastic running backs James Davis and freshman C.J. Spiller combined to run for 2,048 yards and 27 touchdowns this season against a poor Kent defense should have big days. THAT IS A HUGE KEY TO MY PLAY. Clemson will not change their game plan, they will run the ball is the games they lost they refused to change things up and teams shut down the run and Proctor struggled. IMO Kentucky does not have the ability to stop those running backs and Proctor can be very dangerous if the running game starts off early. The team ran for an average of 156.8 yards over the last four games, more than 100 below its average during the 7-1 start. TIME TO CHANGE THAT STAT, when they hit the field today and run all over the wildcats defense, get back to the season average that was so productive early. Kentucky run defense that allowed an SEC-high 189.0 rushing yards per game :SIB . Clemson cornerback Duane Coleman will miss this game because of his arrest on a marijuana possession charge on Dec. 20. This is BAD because he is clemson's top corner and the young guys that replace him must step up in this game. But it will not hurt them as long as the running game starts early and often and the big Tiger offensive line should wear on the smallish UK defensive front that lacks proven depth. Kent has the 37th ranked offense but is going up against the 12th ranked defense, while the 13th ranked Clemson is up against the 118th defense. Kent has been a spread buster but look at what they have done against some solid offensive teams....
Louisville L 59-28
Florida L 26-7
So Carolina L 24-17
LSU L 49-0
Tenn. L 17-12
The Wildcats have gotten better as the season went on but IMO the just do not have the defense to keep Clemson off the board. I am also looking for Stucky to have a big game, he has been somewhat of a disappointment this season but today he has an advantage against the 118th pass defense. Clemson scares me because they haven't blown the doors off a team and have finished the season 1-3. Still I am banking on the O-line to open the gates for the running backs and the poor O-line for Kent to struggle against the Clemson pass rush. Also thinking the Clemson special teams will make a bit of diffence today when they get to the edge or return punts by using a lot of speed. Will bowden and the boys show up for this game? Considering this is sold out and supporters for both teams will be there I think once Clemson starts going they will feed off the crowd.Looking for big game from Spiller and Davis then Proctor will come on strong.

Cheers
Irish
 

Irish

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Oregon St (-3.5) over Mizzou
This was a very tough game for me to call because both teams are playing well and have a lot of talent. Statistically Mizzou should win the game, they have the edge in every catagory numbers wise. Oregon State's secondary gives up plenty over yards, but it stiffens up in crunch time and is great around the goal line. Hawaii had two separate chances to turn the game around on long drives before getting denied deep in Beaver territory. The same thing happened to USC late. Daniel gets most of his work out of the shotgun and likes to make plays on the move, especially to the tight ends, so moving the ball at a regular clip shouldn't be a problem; there will be plenty of plays over 15 yards. But without a true pounder of a back and with Daniel occasionally prone to force throws that aren't there, getting over the goal line will be tougher than it might seem considering the yards Mizzou will finish with. The Beavers aren't going to be able to control the game with the ground game, even with a physical offensive line leading the way for Bernard, but it should be effective enough to force the Tiger linebackers to stay at home. There isn't much of a Tiger pass rush without Smith, so Moore should have plenty of time to operate and mix up his throws. Picking the right spots to hit Stroughter deep will be key, while taking what the Tigers give him on blitzes will also be vital. The quicker Moore reads what Mizzou is doing, the more one-on-one coverage he'll sniff out. He's been doing a good job at that lately. Quarterback Chase Daniel leads a high-powered Tigers offense that averages 414.3 yards, 12th-best in the nation. The Beavers have 17 interceptions this year, and defeated USC in large part because they were able to force the Trojans to turn the ball over a season-high four times. Oregon State is tied with Western Michigan for the 4th-most turnovers created with 31, and have forced at least two turnovers in each of their last seven games. This game will come down to the offenses, Moore and Bernard are talenbted with experience. The overall team experience if a reason for my play. They have come on of late and players have been talking about how the PAC-10 has not represented well this bowl season. Both teams are strong at quarterback. Oregon State's Matt Moore hasn't thrown an interception in 161 passes, the longest active streak in the NCAA, and Chase Daniel shattered school records with 26 touchdown passes and 3,179 yards while also serving as the second-leading rusher in Missouri's spread offense. Oregon State finished third in the Pac-10 at 6-3, with a balanced offense, an aggressive defense that led the conference with 44 sacks and a knack for making big plays at the finish. The Beavers won their last two games by a total of five points, and four victories in all were secured at or near the end of the game. Oregon got hot late in the season and Mizzou played poorly but won their last contest. This will be a back and forth game but in the end IMO Oregon St has the talent and aggressiveness to take over.

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Irish
 

Irish

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S. Carolina (-5.5) over Houston
The Gamecocks defense should be all over this Houston team. Yes they play a spread formation ofense but the gamecocks have the speed to stay with the WR of Houston. The houston defense IMO will not be able to slow down the O-line for S. Carolina. The boys are too big and strong and should be able to average a good number on the ground. Houston has played well this season but I am not sure they have seen the toughest talent. Houston finish sixth in the nation in total offense and 11th in scoring, averaging 439.9 yards and 32.8 points per game. Houston is going to be pulling for a shootout and I am not sure S. Carolina will allow it to get that far. The Gamecocks are 7-1 when they run for more than 150 yards with the one loss coming to Tennessee mainly because of three interceptions. The Cougars are always good for at least a fumble a game, but Kolb is as stingy as they come securing the ball. If Kolb starts throwing picks against the talented USC secondary, Houston will be in big trouble. One of the reasons for my play is Spurrir at head coach in the bowl game, he will have his boys ready and if they play well they will out play Houston. Also I am sure "The ol ball coach" will have some tricks up his sleve in this game. Not to mention Sukup (sp) is a VERY good kicker and can be a difference maker.

Proctor for Clemson is GARBAGE!

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Irish
 

Irish

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small play
Kent (+8) over Clemson 2nd half
The Tigers have not shown me anything. Kent will be fired up, after all they have nothing to lose. Considering it is an 8 point game I would think Kent keeps it close and at least go score for score with Clemson.

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Irish
 

Irish

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Hoping the Beavers secondary WAKES UP......
got a litte bak on the 2nd half play of Kentucky
TT(-8) over Minny
This is a very big play for me
The Red Raiders were ranked 25th in the preseason AP poll and moved up to No. 24 in the next two, but their first loss of the season to then-No. 20 TCU on Sept. 16 dropped them out for good. The Gophers rebounded to win four of their last five, including the final three of the season after a 44-0 drubbing by No. 1 Ohio State. Minnesota allowed 253.5 passing yards per game this season - the seventh-worst mark in the country - and will face one of the nation's top passers. Texas Tech sophomore Graham Harrell completed 66.9 percent of his throws this season, ranking second in the country with 35 touchdown passes and third with 342.5 yards per game. He had 10 interceptions. Minnesota will be without one of its top players as senior tight end Matt Spaeth had surgery on his severely separated shoulder recently and could be sidelined up to four months. This is a BIG PLUS because he was the safety blanket for the QB and he kept a lot of drives alive for the gophers. Getting top corner Trumaine Banks (most likely) after he suffered a broken arm will be a huge boost, but the Gophers will need a pass rush, good tackling from the back seven on the short passes, and can't let Harrell get into a groove. Minnesota leads the nation in turnover margin, and it needs to be at least plus-two to stay in this. Minny Over 120 and Minnesota is 5-1 only losing in the strange game against Purdue. Under 120 yards, and Minnesota is 1-5 with the one win coming against D-IAA North Dakota State. The Red Raider run defense has been generally solid, but outside of wins over Oklahoma State and Texas A&M, which required Tech to come through by the skin of its teeth, there are big problems when teams start to move the ball on the ground. Even though Texas Tech is known for offense they have a decent enough defense to keep a hold on the Minny rushing game. The Raiders defense is 49th in the country allowing 323 yards per game meanwhile the Gophers average about 20 more than that on the season. The red radiers offense should get on the board early and often and make Minny aboandon the run taking their best weapon out of the game plan. The red raiders can not aford to allow Minny to grind this game down, TT needs to be sharp and be sharp often. I worry because TT has struggled in some contests but they should be focused and ready and look to light up the gophers defense considering Minny allows 416 yards per game.

Someone explain to me how Moore can go from Hot to ice cold in 2 quarters of play?

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Irish
 

Irish

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No time for a big write up
Purdue (-1) over Maryland
I like the boilermakers offense against a defense I am not sold on. Boilermakers need to watch the big pass play but they can limit the terp offense. Considering Maryland struggled against Clemson I wonder if they are as good as billed. The boilermakers will use a solid mis to throw off the terp defense and they have the pass offense to pick apart the defense. Then I like the aggressive purdue defense not to sit on their heels but commit to the run and make Holenbach beat them and IMO he cannot.

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Irish
 

Irish

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:shrug: What happened? "My Bad"... more like my bad going 0-2 so far today.

Small Play
Texas Tech/Minny UNDER (63)

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Irish
 

Irish

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Yeah that was a ballsy call to go for 2......

4 team Parlay
Purdue (-1) & Under (56)
TT (-8.5) & Under (63)

:SIB
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Irish
 

Irish

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TT (-7) over Minny 4th quarter

HUGE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Irish
 

Irish

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: :toast: :toast: :toast:
H-U-G-E.... on a 1-4 day to go that big and win takes all the hurt off the other plays for the day....:mj06: :mj06: :mj06: :mj06:jump: :jump: :jump: :jump:

That was nicer than the Hawaii win!!


Cheers
Irish
 

tulah

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congrats.
I hammered Tech-7 in the 2nd Half.
I figured if they had a drop of pride they wouldn't lose all that big...That and I had TT-7 HUGE for the game.So I bought it back and then some.

Best of luck
 

Irish

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Re-hit
BC (-7) over Navy
Remember this navy team lost it's best player early in the season and has not been the same since. Looking at this game I CANNOT see Navy staying with BC... their last 4 games were against E. Mich, Duke, Temple and Army. Losing O'Brien will hurt a bit but BC is a older team with more talent. This team did Beat VT, FSU, Clemson (when they were hot) and BYU.

GThanks Tulah... that was a biggie!

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Irish
 

Irish

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Iowa (+9) over Texas
McCoy is hurting and hurting bad. He will start but IMO he will not be as effective as in games past. I would think they use the running game a lot. The Longhorns led the way with six first-teamers on The Associated Press Big 12 all-conference team. Offensive tackle Justin Blalock, center Lyle Sendlein and guard Kasey Studdard made the list; a trio of defensive players: lineman Tim Crowder and defensive backs Aaron Ross and Michael Griffin joined them. Ferentz also said the month off should give his team an opportunity to heal. That could mean the return of starting cornerback Adam Shada and defensive end Kenny Iwebema after both missed most of the season's second half. The Hawkeye run defense was on a bit of a roll doing a fantastic job against Michigan and keeping NIU's Garrett Wolfe in check, and then it fell off the map getting pounded on by the Northwestern, Wisconsin and Minnesota lines. The Longhorn front five should be better as the game goes on, so if you're noticing linebacker Mike Klinkenborg or the Hawkeye defensive backs making plays on Charles and Young, you know things aren't going well for Iowa. The UT secondary, even with future NFL millionaire Michael Griffin and Thorpe Award winner Aaron Ross, has been awful at times getting beaten too often by pedestrian passing games and ripped apart by good ones. Tate is looking to make amends for this season, and if he gets hot, all bets are off. He's the type of gritty, gutty playmaker who can keep Iowa in the game by himself as long as he's not making mistakes. Will Texas want to play in this game after last year going to the national championship game? Will Tate take hold and lead his team without making mistakes? Will the Iowa front seven be able to stop the running game of texas? This will come down to want to and heart and I think Iowa comes out and gives the longhorns everything they have and then some. Texas is the better team, they have the better talent and have been playing better football but Iowa has enough talent to make waves and they have the senior leadership to get this done. I am going to take the 9 points but IMO I think Iowa can win this game. Finishing the season with 3 straight loses hurts but the month off has given Iowa the time to get the right mind frame for this game. They will use the underdog role and fight hard. It will be important for Albert Young to get going early for Iowa, the screen pass might be a very nice call toiday with the aggressive Texas defense trying to bring pressure on Tate. Ferentz will have to be on top of his play calling game and he can put together a good enough game play to keep Iowa in this game. I like Tate and the overall leadership on Iowa to stay in this game.

Cheers
Irish
 

DeadPrez

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FYI- Mike Klinkenborg is out today. Tough blow for the Hawkeyes as he was their leading tackler.

Really like the Iowa play despite this

good luck today Irish
 

Irish

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Well... here we go again

What a bad patch right now. You have to love TT waiting until the 3rd to play. Navy passing all day on BC and everything else I have seen this bowl season.

Going VERY BIG... HUGE
VT (-3) over Georgia
Like the defense of VT to completely stop the bulldogs. Like the special teams of VT to cause havok. Do not like the QB of VT but like their running game. Georgia has been playing well but I am going with the fast VT defense. The VT offense has weapons on the edge and they can make big plays. Georgia has either a senior or freshman playing QB, the senior will make mistakes against the tech defense and the freshman will be pressured by the Tech defense. Really based my play on the tech defense, I would like to see both the tech offense and defense show up for once. VT fans travel VERY WELL and I am thinking they play well today.

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Irish
 

Irish

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AND BOOM GOES THE DYNOMITE:sadwave:

EDIT
Mine as well give my plays and leans for my final ticket:

Miami (-3.5) over Nevada.... team speed! They played well in their last game and Nevada struggled against good teams.

Aubrun (-2) over Nebraska..... Calahan is a bad coach. Tigers defense should be able to get to Taylor.

Tenn (-4) over Penn St... healthy offense for the Vol against a tough nosed Penn St defense. Not sure the State offense can do much against the front of the Vols.

Arkansas (-2) over Wisky.... The razor backs had the SEC title game won until a bad punt return mishandle. The wildcat formation should be tough for a good wisky defense to stop. McFadden and Monk big games.

WVU (-11) over GT......WVU will run and run heavy against the jackets. They start bowl games well and White will be healthy and thats goodnews for play action passing.

Mich (0) over USC.... The Wolverines have the offense to contend with USC and they have the defensive front to make life tough for Booty.

Okie (-7.5) over Boise.... Peterson is back, defense playing well and Okie will be hungry for this win and the Broncos won't have the ability to stay with the sooners.



Cheers
Irish
 
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