Bowl Week Card ( Dec 18th- Jan 8th)

Irish

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Re-hit
Utah (-2.5) over Tulsa

Not playing quarters any longer as I have been getting to many bad bounces

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Irish
 

Irish

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Hawaii (-7) over Ariz St
Big play!
We looking at this game you think that the points are going to be plenty. I do have a question about the sundevils game plan as they replaced the coach before he was even told he was out. Yes he was fired two weeks prior but don't let that fool you, there was talk of the Erickson move before the coach was fired. Yes Dirk Koetter knew he was on the hot seat but from what I heard is there was a thought if he had a good finish he might get another season. Well to replace him is a good step for the program but I am not sure he would really care about going out a winner unless it is to get on somewhere else. The Warriors average 47.3 points and 549.9 yards per game to lead the nation in both categories, and are led by the country's top quarterback statistically, Colt Brennan. The Warriors outscored opponents by an average of 31 points in seven home wins before falling to Oregon State. Arizona State owns a 5-1 advantage against Hawaii, but the schools haven't met since 1979. While the Hawaii passing game gets all the headlines, monster RB Nate Ilaoa is an All-WAC caliber playmaker who's almost impossible to get down when he gets a head of steam. AND this is big because the Sundevil defense will struggle stopping the pass and will commit more men in coverage and Ilaoa can get to the second level and after a few big plays will force the defense to mix up coverages and thats when Brennan can take over. Hawaii's All-WAC defensive linemen Melila Purcell and Ikaika Alama-Francis should be able to generate consistent pressure and should be able to force Carpenter to hurry his throws. It's not like Carpenter is going to run for big yards, and he's not at his best throwing on the move, so if Jerry Glanville's defense is able to constantly bother him, the Sun Devils aren't going to be able keep up the offensive pace. This game will be a big time chess match between Glanville and the ASU offense and I think the Warriors can get pressure and cause some 3 and outs. I am not sure the ASU defense can get pressure, the Hawaii o-line is big and strong and should be able to hold the line and give Brennan time and that is good for my play. My concern is that Hawaii hasn't looked Great of late, they have looked sharp but really haven't blown the doors off a team in about the last 2 games. Still that was against OSU (hot team) and Purdue (2nd half come back). So Hawaii needs to get on top and put a choke hold on ASU. Watching ASU the last ew games I have not been impressed, They got manhandled but UCLA and beat up an Arizona team that made HUGE mistakes in the first quarter, loss their starting QB and could never get in that game. STILL they did score 21 first quarter points and only finished the game with 28 so they are not as sharp and the warriors are on offense and that will be huge. The offensive firepower of Hawaii and the lack of motivation in the coaching department gives me my play.

My record - unsure.. not so hot right now because of Quarter plays, but I went 3-1 yesterday and I think 1-2 during the last week. I know in my bank roll I am not where I want to be so I consider it a bad season so far. My thought is to limit the quarter plays and focus on the games a bit more and hit these games before the end of the season and get back up.

How bad is Oakland??:SIB

Cheers
Irish
 
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Irish

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Possible BIG HURT

Reloaded LARGE - this is my biggest play to date in NCAA... might hurt but like all the angles I am seeing.
Warriors (-8) over ASU

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Irish
 

Irish

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C. Mich (-8) over MTS
Jeff Quinn's coaching debut will come in what may be Central Michigan's biggest game in 12 years. The Chippewas led the MAC with 29.6 points per game while ranking second in total offense with 380.2 yards per game and passing offense (252.4 ypg). Despite allowing 22.9 points per game, the Chippewas defense - led by All-MAC linebacker Red Keith (117 tackles) - has held three opponents to 10 points or less. The team has forced 27 turnovers. Middle Tennessee allowed the fewest points (271) among Sun Belt teams, but 179 of those came in losses to major conference opponents Maryland, Oklahoma, Louisville and South Carolina - all bowl teams. Blue Raider passing game has rarely been effective going for over 200 yards just three times. This is the key, the Chipps will have to stop the run game and force the passing game. The chipps have the ability to shut down the MTS running game and once they commit to the run I am not sure Clint Marks can be effective if he is under pressure. CMU could hold Ohio to 87 rushing yards and keep Kalvin McRae to 76, it should have few problems with Middle Tennessee's rushing attack. The Blue Raiders will hang around early, but the offense won't be there to keep pace. LeFevour will spread the ball around too effectively and use all his weapons with a few long second quarter drives. The Chipps have the far better offense andf they have the 19th ranked pass offense going against the 71st pass defense. This will be another huge mismatch. New Coach Quinn WILL NOT want his start to begin with a loss and will air the ball out and the team should respond to the new coach. They have a lot of youth and talent that should take this game over. The Chipps and Raiders have not been to a bowl in a while so they both should be emotionally ready but in that case the Chipps still have the better team and should take advantage. A Lot of chalk here, I will re-hit if it gets to 7 which I doubt. But I think the C. Mich have the better team, have played tougher against the BIG NAME teams and were in a tougher conference. Not the Troy game scares me a bit considering they only lost to them by 1 and Troy manhandled rice but I don't think Rice showed up to that contest. Dan LeFevour, and Ontario Sneed will have big games and the playcalling will be key..... a nice mix will keep the Talented MTS Linebackers guessing and that is a good thing. Too much talent, emotion and speed on offense for C.Mich IMO

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Irish
 

Destructor D

Destructor
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Excellent write up... I took CMU -7 (-120) for a dime. They just won the MAC title game @ Ford Field and they have the far superior passing game.

Good Luck to Us!:SIB
 

Irish

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C.Mich (-3.5) over MTS
This CM coach is playing for a job and IMO he will not let up and the offense for the chips is too good. MTS will have to throw to keep up and the Chipps can get a pick or two. C.Mich has the foot on the throat time to add pressure.

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Irish
 

Irish

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UCLA (-4) over FSU
Yes the bruins are the public gem after beating USC. BUT they also finished the season better than FSU. PLUS FSU is in a bit of a tale spin offensively. They have a quick fast defense but they just have not got it going running or passing. Bowden has decided to start Drew Weatherford at quarterback for this game over Xavier Lee, this is good for te UCLA defense that will not have to worry about the ability of Lee when a play breaks down. Five of the Seminoles' losses came by a total of 26 points, but win or lose, they'll finish with their fewest victories since a 7-4-1 record in 1986. UCLA was 113th out of 118 Division I-A teams in total defense in 2005, allowing 468 yards per game. The Bruins cut that number to 304 yards this season, ranking 33rd. They have a fast enough defense to play in the PAC-10 but my concern is do they have the toughness to match-up against the big boys on FSU's line. QUESTION MARK.... UCLA's starting QB Olson is considered the better passer while Cowan is more mobile. He had 55 yards rushing and the only Bruins' touchdown against USC. Who is going to start, IMO you go with the hotter hand and thats Cowan, plus he is a good run option if plays break down. UCLA is 0-5 when it's allowed two or more touchdown passes and 7-0 when allowing fewer than two. The Bruin secondary isn't always a rock and is a bit small, but it's full of excellent athletes who should be able to run with the talented Florida State receivers. As long as the Bruin pass rush is the same Bruin pass rush that crushed and killed all season long, the tall Seminole receivers Greg Carr, De'Cody Fagg, and Chris Davis, who should be able to jump over the UCLA defensive backs, won't be able to tear off many deep routes. This will really come down to the Bruins defense against the FSU offense. Can the bruins step up and give the type effort they did against the trojans? Considerinf this game is on the west coast I think the Bruins might have more field advantage even though the noles travel well. I actually like the UCLA defense, they play the run well enough and they have talent in the secondary. I think with the offensive struggles UCLA's game play will be to get pressure early and often, DO NOT let the Noles get in rythem. It will come down to this, because UCLA will struggle on offense but can muster enough to be productive. This should be a good hard contest and IMO the hotter team should come into this game and set tempo and that is UCLA. As much as the game against USC made the Bruins season this will be a huge game for this team and they will be motivated to take on a team that feels they are better than this bowl game. It has been a long time since FSU has played before Jan 1st and that should motivate them but they also might not feel this is worth the time. If both teams come to play FSU should win, but I do not think a team that struggles all season turns it on tonight. Losing 2 of the last 3 and winning by only 8 over W. Mich just isn't enough to think the Noles are in the right game shape for this game. The best battle of tonight is the O-line of UCLA against the D-line of FSU... both have talent and it will be a good match up all night but I think UCLA will get the better of it unless FSU commits many to the rush and the Bruin offense can hit the hot route if Cowan or Olsen play well. This game will swing with momentum and the team that gets going early will be hard pressed to lose, saying that normally the hotter team coming in takes less time to shake off the rust and that is UCLA.

Cheers
Irish
 

Shifty Mac

RONNIE MONEY
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oh boy, on florida st. big tonight, really think they beat ucla outright..almost goy for me...better team, gl to you though irish
 

Irish

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Boilermaker... I'll take that game total! :SIB
Thanks Thom - GL to you.

Bama (+2) over Okie St
The Crimson Tide take the field for the first time without their fired coach when they meet Oklahoma State. Defensive coordinator Joe Kines is the interim head, he is a solid defensive mind and will set his game plan up defensively first. Oklahoma State was the conference's last bowl-eligible team to earn a berth after finishing at 6-6. Both teams are not coming into this game full steam ahead. Both 1-3 over the past 4 games. Oklahoma State gives up points and yards, that's a given, while Alabama needs to win with its defense. Bama went over 20 points in six games against Hawaii, UL Monroe, Arkansas (because the game went into overtime), Duke, Ole Miss, and FIU, and only hit 30 in three games. Oklahoma State scored 20 ore more against everyone but Texas and averaged 35.33 points per game. If the Cowboys can get up early, and if the pass rush can come up with a few key sacks, they should be able to come away with the win. Bama's defense has to get into the backfield better than it had all season long and has to force the OSU quarterbacks to be off. The Tide run defense should keep OSU from going nuts, and the secondary is strong enough to not get bombed on for a full four quarters, so if the offense can keep pace and take advantage of every opportunity. Looking at Bama they have been in most of the games they have played but just not strong enough offensively to get it done. THIS IS WHERE THE INTERM HEAD COACH WILL BE A BIG FACTOR. He will not try to game play, he will stick to the basics and hammer the ball with Darby, something that Oklahoma and Texas did well against the Cowboys. Looking at the numbers the bama offense has not played bad, they have a strong runningback and Wilson has been solid when given time. Both he and Reid complete about 57% of their passes, both have a fair amount of TD's (Reid 23, Wilson 16) Both have a fair number of interceptions (Reid 10, Wilson 9) and both have throw for a litle over 2000 yards this season. So I cannot discount Bama as a bad offense as much as I can say Wilson has faced a little stiffer defences this season. The difference I can see is Okie St averages about 208 per game on the ground while Bama is around 120. Still I believe Bama will be able to limit the Okie St running game because they have a very talented front seven and secondary, so they can stay in man coverage and put more people in the box to stop the run and get Pressure on Reid. I did read that bama has a bit more of a laid ack approach to this game as I stated in my other thread and I think that will pay off for the tide. They will be relaxed and play a little looser which is a good thing. Okie is completely focused on this game in some situations can overplay themselves and that could be a bad thing but I don't think so in this game. IMO both teams are doing what they should to get their players ready. I like Shula out because it will simplify the game play and should make it easier for the players to run. The defense will be ready for bama and they will be a huge impact on this game. Both teams will play hard but I like the running game and defense of Bama. If they take away the running game Okie can still light it up in the air but he will make mistakes and that could be big for the tide. Both teams want this win, I am just hoping that Bama does careless about the game, but I think that state and program has too much pride not to show up.

EDIT - HOCKEY PLAY
Thrashers (-1.5) over Pens:shrug:

Cheers
Irish
 
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Irish

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Texas A&M (+3) over Cal
Cal boasts both the Pac-10 offensive and defensive players of the year in running back Marshawn Lynch and cornerback Daymeion Hughes. It's the first time the program won both honors in the same season. BUT this doesn't impress considering the PAC-10 hasn't shined this bowl season. Cal ranked 90th in the nation in total defense, allowing an average of 367.7 yards per game. Texas A&M averaged 401.4 yards per game, led by 274-pound running back Jorvorskie Lane. I think the O-line will open a lot of running room for the Aggies back field and they will not have a lot of problems moving the defense around. Cal leads the Pac-10 with 31.8 points a game and ranks second with 411.7 yards per contest. The A&M defense will have to play well to keep the Bears off the board. But they do have the defense to make things tough for Cal. The key IMO is Goodson, the young freshman is very fast and more like the Cal type player and should have a verybig day. McGee is a very capible QB and should have a solid day considering the A&M running game and O-line will give him time. Always trouble when Lynch is in the backfield but my guess is more than one aggie will be spying him. I am not sure Longshore will have enough time to make the big plays down field. The A&M defense should send everyone and just try to bottle up both the run and pass. Get Longshore out of rythem and the aggies have a shot at the win. The A&M defense cannot get caught guessing and pressure will eliminate that rythem. The speed edge has to go to Cal but the toughness has to go to A&M. I am expect the O-line to lean on Cal all day and break some big ones as the Bear defense gets tired. The Aggies HAVE to stay in this game because they cannot compete with Cal through the Air. If they stay close they have a shot at grounding out a win. Lane and Goodson!!!!! Then once they are getting the run going hit the big play over the middle.

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Irish
 

Irish

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Rutgers (-7) over K State
Re-hit Small at (-9). KEY... Freeman a freshman against a fast tough Rutgers defense. Why is that important, well on the year Freeman only completes about half his passes and he has twice as many picks as TD's. Other than that what do the numbers tell us? Rutgers has the 20th ranked rush offense and KState has the 80th run defense, this IMO means Ray Rice should have a big game. The starting defensive line averages a mere 254 pounds per man, but still held up against the West Virginia running game allowing just 195 yards and hasn't been rumbled on for more than 200 all year. Kansas State is going to try to pound away with its big offensive line hoping to wear the defensive front four down, so the longer it can hold up, and the more pressure Freeman is under, the better. THIS IS A GOOD QUESTION... speed or size, Rutgers will use speed and Kstates o-line will rely on power but Rutgers has seen big lines before and held their own. Where is the trouble for Rutgers... well what Teel will we see tonight, he has been hot and cold. Teel can make big throws and has the targets to make big plays or he can get happy feet and misfire. Considering KState has 40 sacks on the season I think Teel will be under more pressure than he will want to see. Rice will play well enough to take some pressure off Teel, He MUST hit the WR's and they will get seperation. The K-State secondary doen not impress me and Tell can make them pay. They question is the whole world seems to think Rutgers will manhandle KState. Well other than the Texas game what has Kstate done? They got smoked by Louisville, Neb, Mizzou and BAYLOR. This will be a statement game for the knights. They just gave the coach a new contract and they will want this game, the only question I have is Teel but I think he plays well enough to win by DD.

Cheers
Irish
 

Irish

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Re-hit
A&M (+3) over Cal
Some people I respect and I have been speaking during the Bama game and I just had to re-hit. No inside information or tips :SIB just the over all concensus of the guys. Bama's defense has not impressed me one bit AND Wilson is a joke as a QB.

Cheers
Irish
 
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