info from the points
info from the points
Baltimore over Indianapolis by 10
More than any of the other playoff teams, the Ravens desperately needed to have a first-round bye. With 12 Pro Bowl veterans, many past their prime, Baltimore had to have a week off. For the first time in franchise history, the Ravens earned a first-round bye. The extra time should prove pivotal for Ray Lewis, Steve McNair, Samari Rolle, Jonathan Ogden, Trevor Pryce, Derrick Mason and Jamal Lewis. Expect a rested Baltimore squad to defeat Indianapolis by double-digits. The Ravens had lost two in a row before their regular-season bye. They then won five straight following their bye. After a loss to Cincinnati on a Thursday night game, the Ravens used the extra five days off to win their remaining four-regular season games. Since 2000, Baltimore has compiled the NFL?s best home-record at 41-14. Playing outdoors on grass isn?t good for Indianapolis. The Colts are 2-5-1 ATS away from home. Peyton Manning is 4-6 in playoff competition. He didn?t play well last week at home against an easier defense, Kansas City. The Ravens have the NFL?s top-ranked defense both in yardage (allowing 264.1 yards per game) and scoring (12.6 points per game). Manning has some great receiving targets, but he?s a rhythm passer. It?s going to be tough for Manning working against a physical, rested veteran defense on grass in one of the roughest road settings. Any bad weather also would work against the Colts. What makes the Ravens so appealing is they now have a legitimate balanced offense to go with their elite defense. The Ravens aren?t going to become pass-happy, but they have receiving options to go with pounding Lewis against an undersized Colts defensive interior that surrendered an NFL-worst average of 173 yards on the ground per game. McNair has possession receivers (Mason and tight end Todd Heap) and deep threats (Mark Clayton and rookie Demetrius Williams). The Colts are off their finest defensive performance, holding Larry Johnson and the Chiefs in check. One game doesn?t make a defense, though. The Ravens? big, physical offensive line, led by perennial All-Pro Ogden, should have little trouble opening up running holes. This, in turn, allows McNair to pick his throwing spots. The Ravens aren?t a dominant team. But they are extremely balanced without a weakness. The same can?t be said for the Colts. They?ll need Manning to come up huge, but this isn?t his type of setting. BALTIMORE 24-14.
Philadelphia over *New Orleans by 3
It has been a dream season for New Orleans, but now things are different. This is the playoffs where experience and momentum count for a lot. The Eagles have both going for them. Andy Reid?s Eagles have captured the NFC East Division title five of the last six years. They?ve reached at least the second round of the playoffs three of the past six seasons. The Saints, on the other hand, have never advanced past the second round of the playoffs. This is the first time they?ve even made the post-season since 2000. They have more first-time playoff starters than any of the remaining teams. More than half of New Orleans? starters will be making their playoff debuts. That makes the Eagles a real live underdog. The Eagles haven?t missed a step since losing Donovan McNabb for the season. Jeff Garcia has provided outstanding leadership, making plays with both his arm and legs. Brian Westbrook has become a legitimate star and the defense has improved, especially against the run. The Eagles are well-coached and have a tremendous long-range field goal kicker, David Akers, who should be even more of a weapon inside a dome. The Eagles have been the hottest team in the NFC winning six in a row. The Saints have the league?s top offense featuring Drew Brees, Reggie Bush and Marques Colston. Bush and Colston have been sensational, but they are rookies. The Saints expect to get back veteran wide receiver Joe Horn, too, along with run-stuffing defensive lineman Hollis Thomas, who had been suspended. Other than that, the Saints were pretty much up to full strength anyways. This is the first time they?ve had a first-round bye. In their case it may hurt them, slowing up their momentum. Sometimes a team, especially a young one like New Orleans, can lose its edge when it doesn?t play for two weeks. The Saints beat the Eagles back in mid-October as three-point underdogs in Philadelphia. Now it?s the Saints who are the ones being pursued. The Eagles have won and covered their last three road games. They are extremely focused. Don?t look for the Giants game to have taken too much out of them. The Eagles are 10-1 ATS the week after playing the Giants. The Eagles know how to win. The jury remains out on the Saints in this new season.