Week 1

[Agent 0659]

10-12-1 -$150 (BR$850)

Sides: 1-1-1
Totals: 5-2
2nd half: 3-2
ML: 2-1
Parlays: 0-2
Teasers: 0-3 :shrug:
-----------------------------------------

Monday night:

Baltimore at Cincinnati:

Cincy -2.5
40

Team records:
Baltimore: 13-3 SU, 10-6 ATS
Cincinnati: 8-8 SU, 8-7-1 ATS

Baltimore most recently:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the division are 6-4

Cincinnati most recently:
When playing in September are 8-2
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the division are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
Baltimore is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baltimore's last 10 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Cincinnati is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

Plain and simple, this should be a great game! I worked up a 24-17 or 24-20 Baltimore win. I'm going to continue with the trend I saw all week that the Defenses are slightly ahead of the Offenses starting out. Willis McGahee adds a serious threat in the backfield that should free Mcnair up a little from last year. The betting % shows 60/40 in favor of Cincy on the spread but 92/8 in favor of the Ravens for those playing the ML:scared I can see the Bengal eeking out a 1 or 2 point win, but I just don't warrant a play either way for the game, maybe a 2nd half lay?

First half Bal +0.5 $32/30
First half under 20.5 $33/30

 

[Agent 0659]

Arizona at San Fransisco:

SF -3
45.5

Team records:
Arizona: 5-11 SU, 8-8 ATS
San Francisco: 7-9 SU, 9-7 ATS

Arizona most recently:
When playing in September are 1-9
When playing on grass are 3-7
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing within the division are 7-3

San Francisco most recently:
When playing in September are 2-8
When playing on grass are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 2-8
When playing within the division are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games
Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing San Francisco
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing Arizona
San Francisco is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona

49ers -3 $33/3
Under 45.5 $33/30


GL!!!!

 

[Agent 0659]

Making the AZ/SF UNDER 46 a max play $110/100

 

[Handi Capper]

Making the AZ/SF UNDER 46 a max play $110/100

im on :00hour :00hour :00hour

 

[PaSprint]

Making the AZ/SF UNDER 46 a max play $110/100

For further support on the under bet....here is a good read on the tout emails Sportsbook keeps sending me:


Here's Sportsbook.com's Game of the Day:

In their two match-ups last season, San Francisco and Arizona combined for 46 points and 61 points. As an underdog over the past two seasons, Arizona covered the OVER 16 out of 21 times. San Francisco has covered the OVER in five of their last six September games. Arizona's defense gave up 25.5 points per game (PPG) on the road last season, while San Francisco surrendered 25.7 PPG in all games. If each team is to live up to their lofty expectations, it will be because of their potentially high powered offenses, not their mediocre defenses. After considering all of this, it isn't surprising that 72% of the early money is on the OVER (45.5).

Regards,

The Sportsbook.com Team

I'll probably be with you on the under as well. If you guys would like me to keep posting these emails I will do so. They are usually good fades.

 

[Agent 0659]

For further support on the under bet....here is a good read on the tout emails Sportsbook keeps sending me:


Here's Sportsbook.com's Game of the Day:

In their two match-ups last season, San Francisco and Arizona combined for 46 points and 61 points. As an underdog over the past two seasons, Arizona covered the OVER 16 out of 21 times. San Francisco has covered the OVER in five of their last six September games. Arizona's defense gave up 25.5 points per game (PPG) on the road last season, while San Francisco surrendered 25.7 PPG in all games. If each team is to live up to their lofty expectations, it will be because of their potentially high powered offenses, not their mediocre defenses. After considering all of this, it isn't surprising that 72% of the early money is on the OVER (45.5).

Regards,

The Sportsbook.com Team

I'll probably be with you on the under as well. If you guys would like me to keep posting these emails I will do so. They are usually good fades.

:00hour :00hour :00hour :00hour :00hour :00hour

Perfect! Thanks for the info....

 

[Agent 0659]

11-14-2 -$115 (BR$885)

Sides: 1-1-2
Totals: 6-2
2nd half: 3-2
1st half: 0-2
ML: 2-1
Parlays: 0-2
Teasers: 0-3



That SF under helped... On to next week where we catch the over reactions!:00hour