Week 1

Agent 0659

Agent 0659

:mj07:
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Tampa Bay at Seattle:

Seattle -6 (83%)
41 (73% over)

Team records:
Tampa Bay: 4-12 SU, 6-9-1 ATS
Seattle: 9-7 SU, 6-9-1 ATS

Tampa Bay most recently:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 4-6

Seattle most recently:
When playing in September are 9-1
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Tampa Bay's last 17 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
Seattle is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Seattle's last 16 games

Jon Gruden on the hot seat? He hasn't done much recently in Tampa. There have to be some whispers! Can Seattle regain their magic? The spread looks right on to me, and the total isn't off by much. I worked up a 21-17 Seattle win and will put in a play on the under.

Under 41 $33/30
 
Agent 0659

Agent 0659

:mj07:
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Chicago at San Diego:

San Diego -6 (70%)
42.5 (public under!)

Team records:
Chicago: 13-3 SU, 10-6 ATS
San Diego: 14-2 SU, 9-7 ATS

Chicago most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 7-3

San Diego most recently:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When playing outside the division are 8-2

A few trends to consider:
Chicago is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Diego
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
San Diego is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
San Diego is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Diego's last 13 games
San Diego is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home


Finally some good teams! What a week 1 matchup. I have SD ranked #2 and the Bears ranked #4 this year. SD gets the home field nod here. Weather should be a non factor here at 75 and sunny. I worked up a 23-17 SD victory which is right on the number. I just cannot justify a play either way at this point. Gun to my head it's SD but for now, PASS.
 
Agent 0659

Agent 0659

:mj07:
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Detroit at Oakland:

Oakland -1.5
40

Team records:
Detroit: 3-13 SU, 6-10 ATS
Oakland: 2-14 SU, 6-10 ATS

Detroit most recently:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on grass are 1-9
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 3-7

Oakland most recently:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on grass are 2-8
After being outgained are 0-10
When playing outside the division are 2-8

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games on the road
Detroit is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
Detroit is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Oakland's last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games at home
Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit

What's with this line?:shrug: Who in their right mind would lay the points with Oakland here? Tatum Bell and John Kitna added to the nice receiving core of the Lions looks great to me! I think Oakland is on the rise (slightly) but not enough to warrant being favored. Everything I worked up goes to the Lions. I'm going to leave this total alone because something just ain't sitting right.

Det +105 $30/32
 
Agent 0659

Agent 0659

:mj07:
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New York Giants at Dallas:

Dallas -6 (74%)
44

Team records:
New York: 8-8 SU, 8-8 ATS
Dallas: 9-7 SU, 8-8 ATS

New York most recently:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing within the division are 6-4

Dallas most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the division are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
NY Giants are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of the NY Giants last 12 games when playing on the road against Dallas
NY Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Giants last 7 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 12 games when playing at home against NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing NY Giants
Dallas is 11-5 SU in their last 16 games when playing at home against NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games at home


Parcells gone, Wade Phillips in:scared QB coach Wade Wilson suspended for 5 games for steroids. Lots of heat on Eli Manning this year, the questions are abundant. I like the Giants:shrug: I worked up a 31-24 Cowboys win, but hold on a second. Something is telling me the Cowboys will sputter the first 3 weeks this year. I'm taking the G-men.

Giants +6.5 (wait for a better number?) $33/30
 
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Agent 0659

Agent 0659

:mj07:
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Consensus of plays so far.

Colts/Saints over 50.5
Buffalo ML
Parlay Buffalo +3.5 & over 37
Tenn/Jax over 37
Car ML
Car/St.Louis under 43
Phi/GB under 44 (buy)
Atl +3
Atl/Min over 36
TB/Sea under 41
Det ML
Gia +6.5
 
K

Kramer

Registered User
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GIVE EM HELL THIS YEAR AGENT (in my best btj
impersonation) :00hour

Mr. Mel :bigun: :bigun: :bigun: You aint beatin me
you flee biten mutt :mj07:

Good info Agent :toast:

3 MO DAYS :00hour
 
Blackman

Blackman

Winghead
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Aug 31, 2003
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New Jersey
I bet there will be 7's to be had if you like the Giants by Sunday night.

Week one I'd imagine the favorite will be hammered in primetime.
 
gardenweasel

gardenweasel

el guapo
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Jan 10, 2002
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"the bunker"
excellent thread....sort of a pro version of ar1`s college threads...

liking the skins(sorry to say that their defense is gonna surprise,and their ground game will be potent,i think),the jets +7 if i can find it and the bungles -2.5......

the ravens will have some secondary issues early and i`m not sold that their offense is any different with mcgahee....i think that palmer will burn them....

"the ravens will be tested

if more bengals ain`t arrested".....

g.l.
 
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W

Wise and Wiser

Here Until 5K
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Jan 17, 2003
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On The Other Side
Good luck Agent. I like your Colts tonight! Manning and Wayne have connections to New Orleans. Addai is from Texas, close enough. These three will shine in primetime tonight. ;)
 
Agent 0659

Agent 0659

:mj07:
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Got lucky on that opener that I got my bet as soon as the line opened.

Anyhooooo

Adding:

Det +8.5/Und 45.5 $33/30
Tampa +11.5/Und 47 $33/30
Pit +1.5/Jets +12.5 $33/30

Was -3 $33/30

GL!
 
Agent 0659

Agent 0659

:mj07:
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2nd half:

Parlay Det +.5/over 18.5 $10/27

Sea -3 $30/30
Sea over 20 $33/30
SD -6 $33/30
SD over 20.5 $33/30

 
Agent 0659

Agent 0659

:mj07:
Forum Member
Dec 21, 2003
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Colts/Saints over 50.5 WIN
Buffalo ML LOSS
Parlay Buffalo +3.5 & over 37 LOSS
Tenn/Jax over 37 LOSS
Car ML WIN
Car/St.Louis under 43 WIN
Phi/GB under 44 (buy) WIN
Atl +3 LOSS
Atl/Min over 36 LOSS
TB/Sea under 41 WIN
Det ML WIN


2 team ML parlay LOSS
Giants/Falcons

Det +8.5/Und 45.5 LOSS
Tampa +11.5/Und 47 LOSS
Pit +1.5/Jets +12.5 LOSS

Was -3 PUSH



2nd half:
Parlay Det +.5/over 18.5 WIN

Sea -3 WIN
Sea over 20 LOSS
SD -6 WIN
SD over 20.5 LOSS


:142crying :142crying :142crying :142crying


Already have Giants +6.5, adding to it to make it $66/60 LOSS

Also playing Over 44 $33/30 WIN
 
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