Week 5 Plays and Predicted Scores

[Agent 0659]

Going to be busy this week, so want to get this up early.

-----------------------------------------------------

47-57-6 (45%)

-$308 (10 units) (BR$692)

Sides: 16-17-5
Totals: 18-18
2nd half: 4-5
1st half: 0-2
ML Dogs: 7-4
Parlays: 0-3
Teasers: 2-8-1


Predicted scores record vs spreads= 70-47-7 (60%)

 

[Agent 0659]

Something interesting a sharp sent to me.


http://www.twominutewarning.com/g29.htm

Teams coming off a bye: Jacksonville, New Orleans, Tennessee, Washington.

 

[Agent 0659]

Carolina at New Orleans:

NO -3:shrug:
44

New Orleans begins the task of digging out from an 0-3 hole Sunday when they host Carolina in an NFC South battle. They will do it without Deuce McAllister and with questions about whether Reggie Bush is the man for fulltime work.

Oddsmakers currently have the Saints listed as 3-point favorites versus the Panthers, while the game's total is sitting at 45.

The Panthers lost to Tampa Bay 20-7 as a 3-point favorite in Week 4. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (39).

David Carr completed 19-of-41 passes for 155 yards with a touchdown and an interception and DeAngelo Williams caught three passes for 37 yards with a touchdown.

The Saints lost 31-14 to the Titans in Week 3, as 4.5-point favorites at the Superdome. The combined 46 points fell just UNDER the posted total of 46.5.

Drew Brees threw for 225 yards and completed 29-of-45 pass attempts, while tossing four interceptions in the loss. Reggie Bush carried the ball seven times and ran in for two touchdowns.

Current streak:
New Orleans has lost 3 straight games.

Team records:
Carolina: 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS
New Orleans: 0-3 SU, 0-3 ATS

Carolina most recently:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the division are 8-2

New Orleans most recently:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the division are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina

INJURIES
CAROLINA
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Jake Delhomme QB Out Week 4 (right elbow)
Dan Morgan LB Out Week 4 (ankle)
Adam Seward LB Out Week 4 (calf)
Jeremy Bridges G Probable Week 4 (toe)
Mike Rucker DE Probable Week 4 (toe)
Travelle Wharton T Probable Week 4 (toe)
Nick Goings RB Left Game Week 4 (concussion)
Julius Peppers DB Left Game Week 4 (undisclosed)
NEW ORLEANS
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Deuce McAllister RB Out For Season (knee)

Delhomme out, Carr in. Head coach John Fox has his work cut out for him. DT Kris Jenkins says his team has "no heart." The QB situation remains unstable. WR Steve Smith is upset with the offensive coaches. DE Julius Peppers is unproductive. Other than that, everything's fine. Now that Deuce McAllister is out for the season with a torn left ACL, the question in the Big Easy is whether Reggie Bush can be an every-down back. If he isn't ... well, ex-Saint Ricky Williams just applied for reinstatement.

Car +3 $33/30
Car ML $30/45
Over 44 $33/30

Car 33
NO 20

 

[Agent 0659]

Jacksonville at Kansas City:

Jax -2
36

What the hell was that? Supposedly weak KC goes to San Diego and blast the Chargers to move to 2-2. Jacksonville had better pay attention even if they are coming off a bye and favored on the road.

Oddsmakers currently have the Jaguars listed as 1-point favorites versus the Chiefs, while the game's total is sitting at 34?.

The Jaguars defeated Denver 23-14 as a 3-point underdog in Week 3. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (36).

David Garrard completed 11-of-17 passes for 133 yards with a touchdown, while Fred Taylor rushed for 79 yards on 14 carries.

The Chiefs upset San Diego 30-16 as a 12.5-point underdog in Week 4. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (38.5).

Dwayne Bowe caught eight passes for 164 yards and a touchdown for Kansas City, while Damon Huard completed 17-of-29 passes for 284 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions.

Current streak:
Jacksonville has won 2 straight games.
Kansas City has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Jacksonville: 2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS
Kansas City: 2-2 SU, 2-1-1 ATS

Jacksonville most recently:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 6-4

Kansas City most recently:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
Jacksonville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Jacksonville is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Jacksonville is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Kansas City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 11-3-1 ATS in its last 15 games at home

INJURIES
JACKSONVILLE
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Brian Smith DE P-U-P List (hip)
KANSAS CITY
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Keyaron Fox LB Out Week 4 (hamstring)
Eddie Kennison WR Out Week 4 (hamstring)
Benny Sapp CB Out Week 4 (ankle)
Larry Johnson RB Probable Week 4 (hamstring)
Kyle Turley T Left Game Week 4 (ankle)

RB Larry Johnson finally busted out for his first 100-yard game of the season in the win at San Diego. But he has yet to reach the end zone this season after scoring 40 TDs the previous two years. The Jags are 1-3 following bye weeks since Jack Del Rio became the head coach. That doesn't bode well for this week's game at Kansas City ... other than the fact that it's against a team that has scored just 56 points in four games.

Like the Jags but too many things against them here.
Under 36 $33/30

Jax 16
KC 9

 

[Cie]

Something interesting a sharp sent to me.


http://www.twominutewarning.com/g29.htm

Teams coming off a bye: Jacksonville, New Orleans, Tennessee, Washington.

Thanks for this link. Good luck this week.

 

[Happy Hippo]

Nice hit with that KC moneyline last week...

Who woulda thunk it??

Tampa Bay ML this week? :00hour

 

[Agent 0659]

Tampa Bay ML this week? :00hour

:drinky: :drinky: :drinky: :nooo:

 

[Agent 0659]

One more thing from my 'sharp' regarding bye weeks.

NFL ATS Records After a Bye Week

A lot of recreational sports bettors believe that a team coming off a bye week has an advantage. The handicapping theory is that team is playing on two weeks rest, so the team can use the extra week to heal bumps and bruises and also have the extra week to plan for the upcoming opponent.

There are two things wrong with using this as a flat betting system. The first would be momentum. The team may have just put together a winning streak and are running on all cylinders. With the off week, the odds are that they will lose some of their timing and their competitive edge. The second reason would be the lines-maker. If anything because of the public's misconception of the "coming off a bye week" advantage the lines-maker would shade the lines against the bye team.

Below we have listed the against the spread records of each NFL team in their game after the break.

Current Records Ending After the 2005 Football Season.

Washington Redskins 8-3
Arizona Cardinals 7-3
Denver Broncos 7-3-1
Houston Texans 2-1-1
Dallas Cowboys 7-4
New York Jets 7-4
New Orleans Saints 7-4
Philadelphia Eagles 7-4
Kansas City Chiefs 5-3
Baltimore Ravens 6-4
Buffalo Bills 5-4-1
Minnesota Vikings 6-5
Oakland Raiders 6-5
Tennessee Titans 6-5
Carolina Panthers 5-5-1
Jacksonville Jaguars 5-5
Pittsburgh Steelers 5-5
San Diego Chargers 4-4
St Louis Rams 5-5
Chicago Bears 5-6
Cleveland Browns 2-3
Indianapolis Colts 4-6-1
Seattle Seahawks 4-6
San Francisco 49ers 4-6-1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4-6
Detroit Lions 3-5-1
New England Patriots 4-7
Atlanta Falcons 3-6-1
Miami Dolphins 3-6-2
Green Bay Packers 3-7
New York Giants 3-8
Cincinnati Bengals 2-7

 

[ImFeklhr]

One more thing from my 'sharp' regarding bye weeks.

NFL ATS Records After a Bye Week

Below we have listed the against the spread records of each NFL team in their game after the break.

Current Records Ending After the 2005 Football Season.

I assume you mean current records since 1995? :shrug:

 

[Agent 0659]

I assume you mean current records since 1995? :shrug:

Yep, good catch! Stickler for detail and neatness eh?

 

[Agent 0659]

Detroit at Washington:

Was -3.5
46

It's hard to imagine the Redskins not devising a plan during their bye week to score on the Lions weak defense. But did they devise a plan to stop the explosive Detroit offense?

Oddsmakers currently have the Redskins listed as 4?-point favorites versus the Lions, while the game's total is sitting at 45.

The Lions defeated Chicago 37-27 as a 2.5-point underdog in Week 4. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (46).

Jon Kitna threw for 247 yards with two touchdowns for Detroit, while Troy Walters and Shaun McDonald each caught a touchdown in the win.

The Redskins lost to the Giants 24-17 as a 3.5-point underdog in Week 3. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (42.5).

Jason Campbell completed 16-of-34 passes for 190 yards with a touchdown and Clinton Portis rushed for 60 yards and a touchdown on 14 carries.

Team records:
Detroit: 3-1 SU, 2-1-1 ATS
Washington: 2-1 SU, 1-1-1 ATS

Detroit most recently:
When playing in October are 3-7
When playing on grass are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 2-8
When playing outside the division are 4-6

Washington most recently:
When playing in October are 3-7
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Detroit's last 11 games on the road
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Washington is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

INJURIES
DETROIT
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Devale Ellis WR P-U-P List (undisclosed)
Anthony Cannon LB Out Week 4 (quadricep)
T.J. Duckett RB Out Week 4 (ankle)
Kalimba Edwards DE Out Week 4 (ankle)
Calvin Johnson WR Out Week 4 (back)
Alex Lewis LB Out Week 4 (hamstring)
Damien Woody G Out Week 4 (rib)
Jeff Backus T Questionable Week 4 (rib)
WASHINGTON
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
No Injuries to report.

Veteran WR Keenan McCardell, who just signed, should be able to offer help quickly. He knows Joe Gibbs' system, having been drafted by the Redskins in 1991. The Redskins might need him this week depending on the injury to Santana Moss. Is head coach Rod Marinelli letting the 3-1 start get to his head? He told the Detroit Free Press that his Lions are on their way to being "an elite team." Might want to play another elite team first -- the Lions' first four opponents are a combined 5-11.

Wrong team favored here..

Det ML $30/51
Det +4 $33/30

Det 24
Was 23

 

[Agent 0659]

Atlanta Falcons at Tennessee:

Ten -9
40.5

Tennessee has been a cover machine (10-1 ATS) of late, but they face a 9-point hole against the Falcons this week. The Titans (who are 3-0 vs. Atlanta since 1996) are rested, while the Falcons got an uplifting win to break an 0-3 start.

Oddsmakers currently have the Titans listed as 9-point favorites versus the Falcons, while the game's total is sitting at 39?.

The Falcons defeated Houston 26-16 as a 2.5-point underdog in Week 4. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (39.5).

Joey Harrington passed for 223 yards and a pair of touchdowns for Atlanta, while Michael Jenkins caught six passes for 64 yards with two touchdowns in the win.

Vince Young tossed two touchdown passes last time out, as the Titans downed the Saints 31-14 at the Superdome. The combined 46 points fell just UNDER the posted total of 46.5.

Young completed 14-of-22 pass attempts for 164 yards for the Titans. Brandon Jones caught four passes for 73 yards and a touchdown in the win.

Team records:
Atlanta: 1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS
Tennessee: 2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS

Atlanta most recently:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 3-7

Tennessee most recently:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Atlanta's last 13 games
Atlanta is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Tennessee is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Tennessee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee's last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta

INJURIES
ATLANTA
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Michael Vick QB Out Indefinitely (suspension):00hour
Jonathan Babineaux DT Out Week 4 (knee)
Dwayne Blakley TE Out Week 4 (pectoral)
Roderick Coleman DT Out Week 4 (knee)
Chris Crocker S Probable Week 4 (knee)
DeAngelo Hall CB Probable Week 4 (elbow)
Lewis Sanders CB Probable Week 4 (head)
Todd Weiner T Probable Week 4 (knee)
TENNESSEE
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
David Givens WR P-U-P List (knee)
Adam Jones CB Out For Season (suspension)

Vince Young is STILL upset about losing the Heisman Trophy to Reggie Bush. But maybe that's the best thing ever to happen to the Titans' QB, since it gives him plenty of competitive fuel. Unfortunately for Young, he can't play the Saints every week. Safe to say that after leading the NFL in rushing yards the past three years, the Falcons will not extend that streak to a fourth year. Without Michael Vick, they've yet to break the 100-yard mark this season.

Ten -9 $33/30
Under 41 $33/30 (I will wait for a better # but posting it at 41)

Ten 26
Atl 10

 

[Agent 0659]

Miami at Houston:

Hou -5.5
43

Miami has actually played better on the road, although their 0-4 mark belies that fact. A week after they were scorched by castoff Daunte Culpepper, they visit a Houston team that may be coming to some nasty realizations after a 2-0 start.

Oddsmakers currently have the Texans listed as 5?-point favorites versus the Dolphins, while the game's total is sitting at 42.

The Dolphins lost to Oakland 35-17 as a 3.5-point favorite in Week 4. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (40).

Trent Green completed 14-of-25 passes for 158 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions for Miami and Ronnie Brown rushed for 134 yards and a touchdown on 15 carries.

The Texans lost to Atlanta 26-16 as a 2.5-point favorite in Week 4. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (39.5).

Matt Schaub completed 28-of-40 passes for 317 yards with a touchdown in the loss, while Andre Davis caught five passes for 117 yards with a touchdown.

Current streak:
Miami has lost 4 straight games.
Houston has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Miami: 0-4 SU, 0-2-2 ATS
Houston: 2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS

Miami most recently:
When playing in October are 2-8
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 4-6

Houston most recently:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 3-5-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Miami is 1-4-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games at home

INJURIES
MIAMI
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Joe Toledo G P-U-P List (foot)
Zach Thomas LB Out Week 4 (concussion)
Travares Tillman S Questionable Week 4 (knee)
David Martin TE Probable Week 4 (toe)
HOUSTON
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Jameel Cook FB P-U-P List (knee)
Charles Spencer T P-U-P List (leg)
Ahman Green RB Out Week 4 (knee)
Andre Johnson WR Out Week 4 (knee)
Jacoby Jones WR Out Week 4 (shoulder)
Ndukwe Kalu DE Out Week 4 (hand)
Jerome Mathis WR Out Week 4 (shin)
Dunta Robinson DB Left Game Week 4 (hand)

We love it when players weave in the lexicon of the Internet when discussing their teams. Following the loss to Oakland, Jason Taylor told the Miami Herald: "You can Google all the negative emotions and they're all there for me." There were so many players accepting blame for the Texans' surprising loss to Atlanta that an apology intervention was needed in the locker room. Don't these guys know it's a lot more fun for us when they point fingers and blame others when things go bad?

Hou -5.5 $33/30
Over 43 $33/30 (This may go down?)

Hou 35
Mia 22

 

[BleedDodgerBlue]

check email

 

[Agent 0659]

check email

For the last fukcing time, NO I will not sell you and Kneifl my system!

Christ!

:00x7

 

[Agent 0659]

Seattle at Pittsburgh:

Pit -5.5
38

Pittsburgh lost their first game of the season in Week 4 while Seattle was proving they are a legit force in the NFC with a win. Does this equate to an OVER play in Pitt Sunday, where 16 of the past 21 games have played OVER?

Oddsmakers currently have the Steelers listed as 6-point favorites versus the Seahawks, while the game's total is sitting at 39.

The Seahawks defeated San Francisco 23-3 as a 1.5-point favorite in Week 4. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (40.5).

Matt Hasselbeck threw for 281 yards with two touchdowns and an interception for Seattle, while Deion Branch caught seven passes for 130 yards in the win.

The Steelers lost to Arizona 21-14 as a 5.5-point favorite in Week 4. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (42.5).

Ben Roethlisberger completed 17-of-32 passes for 244 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions and Santonio Holmes caught six passes for 128 yards and two touchdowns.

Current streak:
Seattle has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Seattle: 3-1 SU, 2-1-1 ATS
Pittsburgh: 3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS

Seattle most recently:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on grass are 3-7
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 7-3

Pittsburgh most recently:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on grass are 8-2
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 8 games
Seattle is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Seattle's last 21 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

INJURIES
SEATTLE
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
D.J. Hackett WR Out Week 4 (ankle)
Bennie Joppru TE Out Week 4 (ankle)
Will Herring LB Questionable Week 4 (knee)
Shaun Alexander RB Probable Week 4 (wrist)
Maurice Morris RB Probable Week 4 (hip)
Alvin Pearman RB Left Game Week 4 (knee)
PITTSBURGH
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Ricardo Colclough CB Out Week 4 (back)
Trai Essex T Out Week 4 (ankle)
Matt Spaeth TE Out Week 4 (quadricep)
Hines Ward WR Out Week 4 (knee)
Sean Mahan C Probable Week 4 (knee)
Troy Polamalu DB Left Game Week 4 (abdomen)

RB Willie Parker may be one of the NFL's top backs, but he has a tendency to disappear at times. In his 35 starts for the Steelers, he has been held under 40 yards on six occasions -- including the 37-yard performance in the loss at Arizona. The Seahawks need to get more out of RB Shaun Alexander in the first half. Of Alexander's 353 rushing yards this season, just 94 have come in the first half. Mike Holmgren blames assignment errors for most of the problems.

Pit -5.5 $33/30
No Total!

Pit 24
Sea 13

 

[Agent 0659]

Cleveland at CHEATERS:

CHEATERS -16
47.5

So when will these CHEATERS not cover a spread? They open as 14-point home chalk to the Browns, who pulled off a sizable but semi-predictable upset of the Ravens in Week 4.

Oddsmakers currently have the CHEATERS listed as 14-point favorites versus the Browns, while the game's total is sitting at 47?.

The Browns defeated Baltimore 27-13 as a 4-point underdog in Week 4. The combined score caused this game to be a PUSH on the posted over/under total (40).

Derek Anderson threw for 204 yards with two touchdowns and an interception for Cleveland, while Braylon Edwards caught three passes for 97 yards with a touchdown.

Tom Brady threw three touchdowns passes in Week 4, as the CHEATERS defeated the Bengals 34-13. The CHEATERS covered the 8.5-point spread, and the combined 47 points were UNDER the posted total of 54.5.

Brady completed 25-of-32 pass attempts for 231 yards with one interception for the 4-0 CHEATERS. Randy Moss caught nine passes for 102 yards and two touchdowns in the win.

Current streak:
CHEATERS has won 4 straight games.

Team records:
Cleveland: 2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS
CHEATERS: 4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS

Cleveland most recently:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on turf are 1-9
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 4-6

CHEATERS most recently:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on turf are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When playing outside the division are 9-1

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Cleveland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing CHEATERS
CHEATERS is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of CHEATERS last 5 games at home
CHEATERS is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
CHEATERS is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games

INJURIES
CLEVELAND
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
LeCharles Bentley C P-U-P List (knee)
Ryan Tucker OT Out Until October 7 (suspension)
Gary Baxter S Out Week 4 (knees)
Orpheus Roye DE Out Week 4 (knee)
Tim Carter WR Questionable Week 4 (knee)
Willie McGinest LB Questionable Week 4 (back)
Antwan Peek LB Questionable Week 4 (foot)
Dave Zastudil P Questionable Week 4 (back)
Kellen Winslow TE Probable Week 4 (shoulder)
CHEATERS
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Troy Brown WR P-U-P List (knee)
Chad Jackson WR P-U-P List (knee)
Eddie Jackson CB P-U-P List (knee)
Richard Seymour DE P-U-P List (knee)
Rodney Harrison S Out Until October 7 (suspension)
Laurence Maroney RB Out Week 4 (groin)
Steve Neal G Out Week 4 (shoulder)
Kelley Washington WR Out Week 4 (hamstring)
Rosevelt Colvin LB Questionable Week 4 (ankle)
Randall Gay CB Questionable Week 4 (thigh)
Donte' Stallworth WR Questionable Week 4 (knee)
Vince Wilfork DT Questionable Week 4 (knee)
Mike Wright DE Questionable Week 4 (knee)
Billy Yates G Questionable Week 4 (shoulder)
Tom Brady QB Probable Week 4 (right shoulder)
Kevin Faulk RB Probable Week 4 (team decision)
David Thomas TE Left Game Week 4 (leg)

How consistent has the CHEATERS offense been this season? They've scored in every one of their 16 quarters. In fact, the CHEATS have put up points in their last 36 quarters dating back to last season. CHEATERS! Last season, the Browns scored 24 or more points just three times. This season, they've already matched that total in the first month. Derek Anderson's QB rating (88.4) is better than those of Vince Young, Jay Cutler, Eli Manning and Philip Rivers.

CHEATERS -16 $33/30
Over 47.5 $33/30

CHEATERS 48
Cle 19

 

[Agent 0659]

Arizona at St. Louis:

Ari -3.5
41

Kurt Warner continues to steal minutes from Matt Leinart. You might care in your fantasy league but Cardinal backers don't care so long as they pocket money. The Cards are 5-0-1 ATS past 6 on the road and visit the winless and woeful Rams Sunday.

Oddsmakers currently have the Cardinals listed as 1-point favorites versus the Rams, while the game's total is sitting at 40?.

The Cardinals defeated Pittsburgh 21-14 as a 5.5-point favorite in Week 4. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (42.5).

Edgerrin James rushed for 77 yards and a touchdown on 21 carries for Arizona and Kurt Warner completed 14-of-21 passes for 132 yards with a touchdown.

The Rams lost to Dallas 35-7 as a 13-point underdog in Week 4. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (47).

Marc Bulger struggled for St. Louis, completing 11-of-24 passes for 114 yards with an interception, while Torry Holt caught five passes for 52 yards.

Current streak:
St. Louis has lost 4 straight games.

Team records:
Arizona: 2-2 SU, 3-0-1 ATS
St. Louis: 0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS

Arizona most recently:
When playing in October are 2-8
When playing on turf are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing within the division are 7-3

St. Louis most recently:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the division are 2-8

A few trends to consider:
Arizona is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Arizona is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games on the road
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
St. Louis is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Arizona

INJURIES
ARIZONA
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Anquan Boldin WR Out Week 4 (hip)
Alan Branch DT Out Week 4 (hand)
Levi Brown T Out Week 4 (ankle)
Al Johnson C Probable Week 4 (knee)
Marcel Shipp RB Left Game Week 4 (ribs)
ST. LOUIS
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Fakhir Brown CB Out Until October 7 (suspension)
Tye Hill CB Out Week 4 (back)
Richie Incognito G Out Week 4 (ankle)
Steven Jackson RB Out Week 4 (groin)
Tim McGarigle LB Out Week 4 (groin)
Marc Bulger QB Probable Week 4 (ribs)
James Hall DE Probable Week 4 (pectoral)
Isaac Bruce WR Left Game Week 4 (hamstring)
Corey Chavous DB Left Game Week 4 (pectoral)
Adam Goldberg G Left Game Week 4 (knee)
Leonard Little DL Left Game Week 4 (knee)
Randy McMichael TE Left Game Week 4 (undisclosed)
Raonall Smith LB Left Game Week 4 (knee)
Pisa Tinoisamoa LB Left Game Week 4 (undisclosed)

Should've seen the upset of the Steelers coming. After all, Ken Whisenhunt and his staff probably know the Pittsburgh playbook almost as well as the Steelers do. It certainly seemed that way on defense, as the Cards shut down Pittsburgh's ground game. It's almost inconceivable to think the Rams' offense has gone 31 possessions without scoring a TD. Marc Bulger was pulled in favor of Gus Frerotte in the loss to Dallas, but the troubles go beyond the QB position -- like injuries to the O-line.

Ari -3.5 (is this a trap line???:shrug: Has to be!) Not falling for it yet, want to watch the percentages. Maybe a Rams ML.
No Total!

Ari 27
Stl 13

 

[Agent 0659]

New York Jets at New York Giants:

Gia -3.5
41

So who's home game is this anyway? New York's team face off Sunday but they come off very different Week 4 performances. The Jets lost at Buffalo, while the Giants mauled an undermanned Eagles offensive line for 12 sacks.

Oddsmakers currently have the Giants listed as 3?-point favorites versus the Jets, while the game's total is sitting at 41?.

The Jets lost to Buffalo 17-14 as a 3-point favorite in Week 4. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (37.5).

Chad Pennington completed 32-of-39 passes for 290 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions for New York, while Laveranues Coles had eight receptions for 65 yards and a touchdown.

The Giants defeated Philadelphia 16-3 as a 3.5-point favorite in Week 4. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (47).

Eli Manning threw for 135 yards with a touchdown and an interception for New York and Plaxico Burress caught four passes for 24 yards and a touchdown in the win.

Current streak:
New York has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
New York: 1-3 SU, 1-2-1 ATS
New York: 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS

New York most recently:
When playing in October are 3-7
When playing on turf are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 5-5

New York most recently:
When playing in October are 8-2
When playing on turf are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
NY Jets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on the road
NY Jets are 6-14 SU in their last 20 games on the road
NY Jets are 2-4-1 ATS in their last 7 games when playing NY Giants
NY Jets are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of the NY Giants last 13 games at home
NY Giants are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing NY Jets
NY Giants are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games
NY Giants are 4-9 SU in their last 13 games

INJURIES
NEW YORK
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Matt Chatham LB P-U-P List (foot)
Cody Spencer LB Out Week 4 (illness)
Darian Barnes RB Out Week 4 (shoulder)
Jerricho Cotchery WR Questionable Week 4 (shoulder)
Andre Dyson CB Questionable Week 4 (foot)
Brandon Moore G Questionable Week 4 (shoulder)
Chad Pennington QB Questionable Week 4 (ankle)
Dewayne Robertson DT Questionable Week 4 (knee)
Eric Smith S Questionable Week 4 (thigh)
David Barrett CB Probable Week 4 (thigh)
David Bowens LB Probable Week 4 (hand)
Thomas Jones RB Probable Week 4 (calf)
Joe Kowalewski TE Probable Week 4 (shoulder)
Sione Pouha DT Probable Week 4 (foot)
NEW YORK
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Robert Douglas RB Out Week 4 (knee)
Brandon Jacobs RB Out Week 4 (knee)
Jared Lorenzen QB Out Week 4 (ankle)
Steve Smith WR Out Week 4 (shoulder)
Plaxico Burress WR Questionable Week 4 (ankle)
Derrick Ward RB Questionable Week 4 (ankle)

One of the quirky things about the Giants' 12 sacks against the Eagles is that Michael Strahan had only one. But that one allowed him to surpass Lawrence Taylor as the team's career sack king. The Jets have to figure out a way to put more pressure on the quarterback. New York has only three sacks this season, lowest total in the AFC. Only Carolina (2) and New Orleans (0) have fewer sacks in the league.

Over 41 $33/30

NYG 24
NYJ 20

 

[Agent 0659]

Tampa Bay at Indianapolis:

Ind -10.5
46

The Colts are developing an air of invincibility after their Week 4 bucking of the Broncos. Can they buck the Bucs this week at home? Tampa is a surprising 3-1 and has allowed just 24 points in the past three games.

Oddsmakers currently have the Colts listed as 11-point favorites versus the Buccaneers, while the game's total is sitting at 46?.

The Buccaneers defeated Carolina 20-7 as a 3-point underdog in Week 4. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (39).

Jeff Garcia threw for 176 yards and ran in for a touchdown for Tampa Bay, while Earnest Graham rushed for 48 yards and a touchdown on 17 carries.

The Colts defeated Denver 38-20 as a 10-point favorite in Week 4. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (46.5).

Peyton Manning threw for 193 yards with three touchdown passes and also ran in for score for Indianapolis, while Joseph Addai rushed for 136 yards and a touchdown on 19 carries.

Current streak:
Tampa Bay has won 3 straight games.
Indianapolis has won 4 straight games.

Team records:
Tampa Bay: 3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS
Indianapolis: 4-0 SU, 2-2 ATS

Tampa Bay most recently:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on turf are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 4-6

Indianapolis most recently:
When playing in October are 8-2
When playing on turf are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 9-1

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Indianapolis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Indianapolis is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

INJURIES
TAMPA BAY
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Torrie Cox CB Out Until October 7 (suspension)
Brian Kelly CB Out Week 4 (groin)
Patrick Chukwurah DE Questionable Week 4 (knee)
Ike Hilliard WR Questionable Week 4 (ankle)
Greg Spires DE Questionable Week 4 (ankle)
Luke Petitgout T Left Game Week 4 (knee)
Carnell Williams RB Left Game Week 4 (knee)
INDIANAPOLIS
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Jeff Charleston DE Out Week 4 (knee)
Roy Hall WR Out Week 4 (shoulder)
Clint Session LB Out Week 4 (hamstring)
Dallas Clark TE Questionable Week 4 (quadricep)
Marlin Jackson CB Questionable Week 4 (quadricep)
Joseph Addai RB Left Game Week 4 (shoulder)
Rob Morris LB Left Game Week 4 (leg)
Bob Sanders S Left Game Week 4 (ribs)

The Colts could be facing some severe injury problems Sunday against Tampa Bay. WR Marvin Harrison, RB Joseph Addai, S Bob Sanders, TE Ben Utecht and LB Rob Morris are all banged up. Fortunately for Indy, the Bucs have injury problems of their own. The Bucs are 3-1, but can they overcome the season-ending injuries to RB Cadillac Williams and OT Luke Petitgout? Losing the veteran Petitgout might be the more damaging blow. Second-year pro Donald Penn takes over the LT role.


PASS

This looks like a good spot for Tampa, and they are worthy of a play. But I don't go against my boys so GL if you do!


Ind 24
TB 22