college plays for week #9....
- Thread starter AR182
- Start date
thanks ba...
adding....
ball st.-24(130)....
this is a good situation for ball st who is coming off a bye week, while e. mich. is playing for their 9th straight week without a rest & is coming off a heartbreaking loss to akron. they were leading akron 35-34 in the final minute of the game, when they blocked a field goal attempt...but akron advanced the deflection for a first down & scored the game winning td with 14 seconds remaining in the game. wonder how long that game will be on the em coaches & players minds....
the matchup is pretty simple...bsu rushes the ball for close to 200 yds per game while em allows 244 ypg on the ground.
bsu has an important game next week against w. mich. & i think since they were off last week, they will use this game to get back the football edge that they had before the bye....where they outstated every opponent they faced & is a perfect 7-0 su/ats so far this year.
play on - home favorites (bsu) - after 6 or more consecutive straight up wins, in conference games.
over the last 5 seasons the ats record is....61-22.......73.5%
the situation's record this season is......5-1
i also read that from game 8 on, undefeated home favs of 22+ points off 7+ days rest are 12-0 ats since 1992.
i am looking for ball st. to make a statement with this game against a tired & frustrated opponent...
good luck
adding....
ball st.-24(130)....
this is a good situation for ball st who is coming off a bye week, while e. mich. is playing for their 9th straight week without a rest & is coming off a heartbreaking loss to akron. they were leading akron 35-34 in the final minute of the game, when they blocked a field goal attempt...but akron advanced the deflection for a first down & scored the game winning td with 14 seconds remaining in the game. wonder how long that game will be on the em coaches & players minds....
the matchup is pretty simple...bsu rushes the ball for close to 200 yds per game while em allows 244 ypg on the ground.
bsu has an important game next week against w. mich. & i think since they were off last week, they will use this game to get back the football edge that they had before the bye....where they outstated every opponent they faced & is a perfect 7-0 su/ats so far this year.
play on - home favorites (bsu) - after 6 or more consecutive straight up wins, in conference games.
over the last 5 seasons the ats record is....61-22.......73.5%
the situation's record this season is......5-1
i also read that from game 8 on, undefeated home favs of 22+ points off 7+ days rest are 12-0 ats since 1992.
i am looking for ball st. to make a statement with this game against a tired & frustrated opponent...
good luck
i did something very stupid...usually before i play a big favorite i look at a few sites to check the weather for the game...& once i am sure that the weather wouldn't be a factor i play the game....well tonight i did it backwards...i bet the big favorite (ball st) before i checked the weather...i just finished looking at 4 weather sites & it seems that there is a chance for rain & gusty winds for the ball st game....so i will buy back the ball st bet & look for other games to bet...now the ball st play looks like this....
ball st.-24(130)
e. mich+27(140)
i'll see if i can turn this negative into a positive...
good luck.
ball st.-24(130)
e. mich+27(140)
i'll see if i can turn this negative into a positive...
good luck.
thanks brent...appreciate it....
adding...
under 42 wyom / tcu....
we know how poor the wyoming offense has been doing this year (9 pts. per game)...but their defense is not bad....this year they have allowed just 4.9 yppl this season to a schedule of teams that would average 5.3 yppl against an average stop unit.....in this game they are playing a team who may be in a flat spot after upsetting byu (yeah i know about the revenge factor) & a team that has an offense that averages a modest 5.2 yppl despite facing teams that would allow 5.8 yppl to an average team.
tcu is 8-1 under as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.....the average score was tcu 29.7, opponent 9.3
tcu is 6-0 under in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons........the average score was tcu 29.7, opponent 9.3
play under - any team against the total (wyoming) - turnover prone team (2.5+ to/game) against a mistake-free team (<=1.25 to/game), after a game with a turnover margin of -4 or worse.
over the last 10 seasons the ats record is......24-9......72.7%
i got this game capped at 35 & would be very surprised if the total score goes higher than 38...
good luck
adding...
under 42 wyom / tcu....
we know how poor the wyoming offense has been doing this year (9 pts. per game)...but their defense is not bad....this year they have allowed just 4.9 yppl this season to a schedule of teams that would average 5.3 yppl against an average stop unit.....in this game they are playing a team who may be in a flat spot after upsetting byu (yeah i know about the revenge factor) & a team that has an offense that averages a modest 5.2 yppl despite facing teams that would allow 5.8 yppl to an average team.
tcu is 8-1 under as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.....the average score was tcu 29.7, opponent 9.3
tcu is 6-0 under in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons........the average score was tcu 29.7, opponent 9.3
play under - any team against the total (wyoming) - turnover prone team (2.5+ to/game) against a mistake-free team (<=1.25 to/game), after a game with a turnover margin of -4 or worse.
over the last 10 seasons the ats record is......24-9......72.7%
i got this game capped at 35 & would be very surprised if the total score goes higher than 38...
good luck
adding....
smu+12....
it seems that smu is starting to get jones offense & are becoming competitve in their games.....they led both tulsa & houston in the 4th quarters of their respective games.....navy has the #117th ranked pass defense in the nation & while smu is vulnerable against the run, the navy offense hasn't been as productive as past teams because their starting qb has been in & out of the lineup due to injuries..
play on - road underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (smu) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (330 to 390 ypg), after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game.
since 1992 the ats record is......39-14......73.6%
good luck
smu+12....
it seems that smu is starting to get jones offense & are becoming competitve in their games.....they led both tulsa & houston in the 4th quarters of their respective games.....navy has the #117th ranked pass defense in the nation & while smu is vulnerable against the run, the navy offense hasn't been as productive as past teams because their starting qb has been in & out of the lineup due to injuries..
play on - road underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (smu) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (330 to 390 ypg), after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game.
since 1992 the ats record is......39-14......73.6%
good luck
Go Pokes!!
AR, this is the trend I was wondering if anyone had stats on when I asked about it in the run up to the Texas-OU game. Very excited that you were able to dig up some actual numbers.......although I could have sworn the cut off was 5-0 teams or better.....thats why I was on Texas. Hey, it still worked!!
Might be the last time we see this one this year, so lets hit it!!
Good luck today, keep those good times rolling, my friend!! :toast:
not having a good day...
adding....
calif.-17(130)...
i think cali will run all over ucla's defense...
play on - home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (cali) - after allowing 37 points or more last game against opponent after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games.
over the last 10 seasons the ats record is.....28-6......82.4%
good luck
adding....
calif.-17(130)...
i think cali will run all over ucla's defense...
play on - home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (cali) - after allowing 37 points or more last game against opponent after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games.
over the last 10 seasons the ats record is.....28-6......82.4%
good luck
adding....
under 62(120) nevada / hawaii...
i have this game capped in the mid 50's...
this year hawaii's passing numbers are down from last year, but their rushing numbers are up by 40 yds. per game...because of this the hawaii defense has played well...allowing 5.3 yds. per play & 370 yds. per game.
nevada's defensive numbers are not great, but those figures represent games against high octane offenses...such as missouri, tex. tech, & new mexico st.
play under - any team against the total (hawaii) - after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -2 or worse.
over the last 10 seasons the ats record is.....48-17.......73.8%
good luck
under 62(120) nevada / hawaii...
i have this game capped in the mid 50's...
this year hawaii's passing numbers are down from last year, but their rushing numbers are up by 40 yds. per game...because of this the hawaii defense has played well...allowing 5.3 yds. per play & 370 yds. per game.
nevada's defensive numbers are not great, but those figures represent games against high octane offenses...such as missouri, tex. tech, & new mexico st.
play under - any team against the total (hawaii) - after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -2 or worse.
over the last 10 seasons the ats record is.....48-17.......73.8%
good luck
