The Panthers took it on the chin in a colossal upset on Saturday which in turn ruined my small 1 unit teaser play 
...the Ravens +10 had already covered the first half of the tease.
I've been careful up to now in the playoffs playing with house money. :yup
But this week I will lay down the Hammer!
I was originally considering 3 units on the money line but at -240+ at most places it's too much juice for me.
I could have hit the Steelers at -5 early on but decided the safer way is to buy down to -3 (at -185) for a total of 2 units
Medium Size 2 Unit Play:
Pittsburgh Steelers ?3 (-185)
over Ravens
The Steelers are one home win away from earning the right to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl?in their way this week is a Baltimore Ravens team that has survived their first two games in the playoffs but injuries have taken it?s toll on their team?I pointed out back in week fifteen that the Steelers would beat the Ravens that week in route to winning their division because they matched up well with a Ravens secondary which was banged up back then?I noted that CB Chris McAllister and S Dawan Landry were OUT due to injuries?and their staring CB?s Samari Rolle and Fabian Washington didn?t matchup well against a Steelers passing attack that was capable of piling it on like they did in the Steelers 38-7 home win in 2007 when Big Ben threw 5 TD passes in that game?since then the Ravens defensive front seven has played well but their secondary hasn?t played well?Ravens CB Fabian Washington (a poor cover CB) was abused by Titans WR Justin Gage last week while their other starter Samari Rolle was average at best but suffered a groin injury in the game which has him listed as questionable at this time?Rolle will be less than 100% IF he?s even able to play?their backup SS and return specialist Jim Leonard who?s played well in a starting role suffered a concussion last week and is also listed as questionable?3rd string rookie S Tom Zbikowski will be forced into a starting roll at SS if Leonard is unable to play while 3rd string Cb Corey Ivy will be forced to start if Rolle is a no go?this not only affects their starting lineup but their nickel and dime packages as well?plus Leonard was handling the Ravens punt return duties as of late?I haven?t even mentioned the fact that starting DE Terrell Suggs is also questionable to play as of today (Monday) with a shoulder injury?on the flip side?the Steelers have no new significant injuries?the Steelers swept the Ravens this season and have won 3 of the last 4 in the series including a 38-7 Monday Night beat-down last year at home...this week they will play a very injury ravaged Ravens team that was truly lucky to get by a Titans team last week (that lost it?s best back Chris Johnson in the first half) and was dominated to the tune of giving up 21 first downs and 391 total yards in the process?the Titans inability to protect the football is the lone reason that the Ravens survived last week?All in All?The Steelers are the much healthier unit and will be playing at home in front of a very loud home crowd?the Steelers defense is the better unit overall and offensively I?ll back the more experienced Qb Ben Roeslisberger and Co going against a patchwork secondary while Rookie Joe Flacco must face a Steelers defense led by defensive coordinator Dick Lebeau who has already seen Flacco twice this season?IF the Ravens were healthier?this would likely be another dogfight?but they aren?t?so it won?t!
Pittsburgh 26 Baltimore 13
:bigun:
Note ? The game time weather is calling for a few light flurries with temps around 31 and winds being very light at 9 mph?(A windy forecast would favor the Ravens since both teams passing game would be hampered).
P.S. - Sorry Jack!...maybe if the Ravens were healthier. :shrug:
Note- I've decided to make this a 2 unit play because of the juice.
WINNER!!!!
:Kid1:
...the Ravens +10 had already covered the first half of the tease.I've been careful up to now in the playoffs playing with house money. :yup
But this week I will lay down the Hammer!
I was originally considering 3 units on the money line but at -240+ at most places it's too much juice for me.
I could have hit the Steelers at -5 early on but decided the safer way is to buy down to -3 (at -185) for a total of 2 units
Medium Size 2 Unit Play:
Pittsburgh Steelers ?3 (-185)
over Ravens
The Steelers are one home win away from earning the right to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl?in their way this week is a Baltimore Ravens team that has survived their first two games in the playoffs but injuries have taken it?s toll on their team?I pointed out back in week fifteen that the Steelers would beat the Ravens that week in route to winning their division because they matched up well with a Ravens secondary which was banged up back then?I noted that CB Chris McAllister and S Dawan Landry were OUT due to injuries?and their staring CB?s Samari Rolle and Fabian Washington didn?t matchup well against a Steelers passing attack that was capable of piling it on like they did in the Steelers 38-7 home win in 2007 when Big Ben threw 5 TD passes in that game?since then the Ravens defensive front seven has played well but their secondary hasn?t played well?Ravens CB Fabian Washington (a poor cover CB) was abused by Titans WR Justin Gage last week while their other starter Samari Rolle was average at best but suffered a groin injury in the game which has him listed as questionable at this time?Rolle will be less than 100% IF he?s even able to play?their backup SS and return specialist Jim Leonard who?s played well in a starting role suffered a concussion last week and is also listed as questionable?3rd string rookie S Tom Zbikowski will be forced into a starting roll at SS if Leonard is unable to play while 3rd string Cb Corey Ivy will be forced to start if Rolle is a no go?this not only affects their starting lineup but their nickel and dime packages as well?plus Leonard was handling the Ravens punt return duties as of late?I haven?t even mentioned the fact that starting DE Terrell Suggs is also questionable to play as of today (Monday) with a shoulder injury?on the flip side?the Steelers have no new significant injuries?the Steelers swept the Ravens this season and have won 3 of the last 4 in the series including a 38-7 Monday Night beat-down last year at home...this week they will play a very injury ravaged Ravens team that was truly lucky to get by a Titans team last week (that lost it?s best back Chris Johnson in the first half) and was dominated to the tune of giving up 21 first downs and 391 total yards in the process?the Titans inability to protect the football is the lone reason that the Ravens survived last week?All in All?The Steelers are the much healthier unit and will be playing at home in front of a very loud home crowd?the Steelers defense is the better unit overall and offensively I?ll back the more experienced Qb Ben Roeslisberger and Co going against a patchwork secondary while Rookie Joe Flacco must face a Steelers defense led by defensive coordinator Dick Lebeau who has already seen Flacco twice this season?IF the Ravens were healthier?this would likely be another dogfight?but they aren?t?so it won?t!
Pittsburgh 26 Baltimore 13
:bigun:
Note ? The game time weather is calling for a few light flurries with temps around 31 and winds being very light at 9 mph?(A windy forecast would favor the Ravens since both teams passing game would be hampered).
P.S. - Sorry Jack!...maybe if the Ravens were healthier. :shrug:
Note- I've decided to make this a 2 unit play because of the juice.
WINNER!!!!
:Kid1:
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