NBA FRI 032009 early thoughts - value hunting

[Ools]

Line has dropped to 8.5 N.Dakota game

getting me interested in Kansas at 8 buying the hook

 

[PickNPop]

NO under jumped to 190.5 :scared

Anyone gonna by again? This is quite the jump!

 

[joe_shmoe]

Joe -- liking anything in the tourney today?

That O/U on the Oh St. game looks interesting. I'm going to focus on 2H total plays. But I do like the over in the AZ game. That's what I'm locked in on so far.

 

[axp59]

Anyone gonna by again? This is quite the jump!

I'm in another 1U @ U190.5. I think this is the peak. Friday night is the first night of the week the public can go out, party, watch some ncaa and nba, bet and go

SQUARE DANCING

I tried to understand this move but i can't.

in again..please do not tail blindly!

 

[Flippa2HeadCoin]

I'm nervous about the nawlins totals going up because,
being this early in the day and not much of a significant weight or bets on the over,
why did it jump 2 pts? from 188 to 190.5

Sharp money dumped on over?


:shrug:


:00x32

 

[JBrilman]

M Resort in Vegas opened at 189.5 and is holding steady....

I didnt buy in last night to see what happened. I like 189.5!!!!

Yesterday overall 3-3 and 1-1 in NBA. Got sucked into the homer bet on LAL side instead of under and like they always do at home, squander 18 point leads.

Been givin the book a lot of juice the last 3 days as I have gone 7-7.

today

KAN -9
MARQ -4.5
SYR OVER 131
Ok ST +3

those are my early games (yes the action junkie in me has kicked in )

Leaning on

PITT
WVU in the noon games

 

[axp59]

(yes the action junkie in me has kicked in )

We're allowed this time of year JB. Go +1 today and you got all your juice back!

GL pal

 

[easterntimezone]

really ETZ? locked in?

Took the 'Cats for a small amount - Big East alum so favoring Pittsburgh (and to a lesser extent Louisville) today... Went w/ the Terrapins yesterday who were somewhat chided for their less-than-stellar record so maybe lightning strikes twice in 2 days (UNlikely).

Washington was my fave from the PAC-10 heading into the tournament; for all of the hoopla surrounding Ben Howland, Romar actually forces fast breaks in the Wooden tradition whereas Howland has imported a Big 10/Big East smash 'em slow 'em down monster truck derby mentality... Ugly... What's more ironic is that Jamie Dixon is even out-Howlanding Howland w/ his overly physical Panthers. The Huskies have bred some worthwhile NBA talent as of late in both Nate Robinson and Brandon Roy. And Mike Montgomery did create some ripples when @ Stanford, but really exposed when he took the job w/ the Warriors.

As for the Memphis/New Orleans line for the total, somewhat hesitant and will dig around a little more. Memphis as I alluded to last time out against Denver prefers to play a controlled tempo; the problem w/ a YOUNG squad is that they're liable to play at the pace the opposition favors and the Nuggets upped it which really was the only means by which they could eke out a win after falling behind and playing w/o much emotion nor commitment. Still feel that New Orleans has a blowout in 'em sometime soon; just don't know when it'll occur.

 

[Flippa2HeadCoin]

utah open at 200, it's currently 199, soon to be 198.5

but 67% on over.

 

[easterntimezone]

utah open at 200, it's currently 199, soon to be 198.5

but 67% on over.

Would would be the immediate reaction given that these aren't your Karl Malone/John Stockton lockdown defense Jazz of old - they're trying to outscore the oppostion more often than not: do they set HARD picks and screens? Most definitely, but to feed their offense - I don't see the same ferocity on the defensive end. The Thunder aren't great at stopping teams either w/ Durant auditioning to be a matador during the off season...

Do the Jazz force the issue defensively since they're mediocre on the road and remember what the Thunder did last time in Oklahoma City?

 

[axp59]

Would would be the immediate reaction given that these aren't your Karl Malone/John Stockton lockdown defense Jazz of old - they're trying to outscore the oppostion more often than not: do they set HARD picks and screens? Most definitely, but to feed their offense - I don't see the same ferocity on the defensive end. The Thunder aren't great at stopping teams either w/ Durant auditioning to be a matador during the off season...

Do the Jazz force the issue defensively since they're mediocre on the road and remember what the Thunder did last time in Oklahoma City?

Are you saying wait til it drops and hit the over ETZ???

 

[axp59]

utah open at 200, it's currently 199, soon to be 198.5

but 67% on over.

Flippa, you jumping on this to tail the smart money?

 

[burnetto57]

burnetto57

burnetto57

M Resort in Vegas opened at 189.5 and is holding steady....

I didnt buy in last night to see what happened. I like 189.5!!!!

Yesterday overall 3-3 and 1-1 in NBA. Got sucked into the homer bet on LAL side instead of under and like they always do at home, squander 18 point leads.

Been givin the book a lot of juice the last 3 days as I have gone 7-7.

today

KAN -9


MARQ -4.5
SYR OVER 131
Ok ST +3

those are my early games (yes the action junkie in me has kicked in )

Leaning on

PITT
WVU in the noon games

Like a few of your picks esp. Syr Over - think they're 1/2 way there. Also took Marq Over - think this will go Under and took KS - pts and the Over.

For anyone interested, lelechusa absolutely ' lit-up' Tourney Y'Day - mostly w Overs - think he went 9-1 ( somethin like that ) - Just passin it on.
Also thinks WVa total is a "joke" - he's on the Over pretty good - goona watch my 4 picks for awhile - gettin into the dance today - BOL every one.
Sorrry, cudn't figure out these 'features'

 

[axp59]

Took the 'Cats for a small amount - Big East alum so favoring Pittsburgh (and to a lesser extent Louisville) today... Went w/ the Terrapins yesterday who were somewhat chided for their less-than-stellar record so maybe lightning strikes twice in 2 days (UNlikely).

Washington was my fave from the PAC-10 heading into the tournament; for all of the hoopla surrounding Ben Howland, Romar actually forces fast breaks in the Wooden tradition whereas Howland has imported a Big 10/Big East smash 'em slow 'em down monster truck derby mentality... Ugly... What's more ironic is that Jamie Dixon is even out-Howlanding Howland w/ his overly physical Panthers. The Huskies have bred some worthwhile NBA talent as of late in both Nate Robinson and Brandon Roy. And Mike Montgomery did create some ripples when @ Stanford, but really exposed when he took the job w/ the Warriors.

As for the Memphis/New Orleans line for the total, somewhat hesitant and will dig around a little more. Memphis as I alluded to last time out against Denver prefers to play a controlled tempo; the problem w/ a YOUNG squad is that they're liable to play at the pace the opposition favors and the Nuggets upped it which really was the only means by which they could eke out a win after falling behind and playing w/o much emotion nor commitment. Still feel that New Orleans has a blowout in 'em sometime soon; just don't know when it'll occur.

This is excellent ETZ. Thank you.

 

[easterntimezone]

Are you saying wait til it drops and hit the over ETZ???

See, I don't know Ax - when I saw it open @ 200, I thought that it was a little low given the scoring production b/w these 2 teams when they meet; I would've gone w/ the unattractive proposition and taken the U then just 'cause the O looked WAY too convenient... Could be overthinking tho', which happens more frequently than I'd like to admit :look: :look: :look:

 

[axp59]

Like a few of your picks esp. Syr Over - think they're 1/2 way there. Also took Marq Over - think this will go Under and took KS - pts and the Over.

For anyone interested, lelechusaabsolutely ' lit-up' Tourney Y'Day - mostly w Overs - think he went 9-1 ( somethin like that ) - Just passin it on.
Also thinks WVa total is a "joke" - he's on the Over pretty good - goona watch my 4 picks for awhile - gettin into the dance today - BOL every one

KB, you've got to be the biggest action junkie out of all of us here. All the best to you pal!!!!

 

[Joe_Vienna]

Hi guys!

Here my 6 numbers for today

CHA @ TOR 196
DAL @ IND 208
SAC @ NY 209
MIA @ NJ 214 (edit: mistake, my number is 202)
UTA @ OKL 201
MEM @ NO 191

had no time for the rest! maybe later

love the NY Under and as well the NO Under! I think I'll take these two and search for some hot CBB games :tongue

BOL :toast:
Joe

 

[burnetto57]

Yeah it's dif for me w/ the tourney @ least the early round - so many, apparent gems.

 

[Flippa2HeadCoin]

Just pointing out some squares or strange movements. Trying to understand these odd adjustments made by vegas.

 

[axp59]

See, I don't know Ax - when I saw it open @ 200, I thought that it was a little low given the scoring production b/w these 2 teams when they meet; I would've gone w/ the unattractive proposition and taken the U then just 'cause the O looked WAY too convenient... Could be overthinking tho', which happens more frequently than I'd like to admit :look: :look: :look:

Same exact thought. I was ready to call this over when I saw this and now...they're just giving me more reason to.

Very strange today that the sharps are moving so early on these NBA games. Distracted because of the dance? I really wish Chump was here. If someone runs into him in cyberspace, could you kindly ask him to call his 'friends" in Vegas just to see what the scuttlebutt is at ground zero.