gmorning..so games starting early today got go work today at 12noon est..so college games where its at
i'm playing the first game liking
Arizona st. +2.5
i'm playing the first game liking
Arizona st. +2.5
NBA SUN 032209 early thoughts - value hunting (NO PICKS INSIDE)
- Thread starter axp59
- Start date
- Mar 18, 2009
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Ax doesn't straight-up post any picks.
The collaborating panel would discuss and research trends,
lines and totals until a favorable play/plays are reached.
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Favorite Dog Accu Line Accu O/U Differential Line Differential O/U Side O/U
Detroit Heat 0.2 179.2 2.2 4.8 Miami Under
Spurs Rockets 5.2 178.6 2.2 1.6 Spurs Over
OKC Twolves 1..0 202.4 2 3.4 Twolves Over
Raptors Clippers 7.5 205.5 3.5 3.5 Raptors Under
Cavs Nets 8.3 186.7 1.8 2.8 Cavs Under
Hornets Warriors 12 211.6 3.5 3.4 Hornets Under
Sixers Kings 2.4 211.4 2.1 3.4 Kings Over
Detroit Heat 0.2 179.2 2.2 4.8 Miami Under
Spurs Rockets 5.2 178.6 2.2 1.6 Spurs Over
OKC Twolves 1..0 202.4 2 3.4 Twolves Over
Raptors Clippers 7.5 205.5 3.5 3.5 Raptors Under
Cavs Nets 8.3 186.7 1.8 2.8 Cavs Under
Hornets Warriors 12 211.6 3.5 3.4 Hornets Under
Sixers Kings 2.4 211.4 2.1 3.4 Kings Over
Note from slice:
P.S* Top Under rated by Differential O/U is 1-8 Last 9 plays, while top Over (in case of tie selected by lowest # to go over) is 6-1 Last 7* (hello OKC)
P.S* Top Under rated by Differential O/U is 1-8 Last 9 plays, while top Over (in case of tie selected by lowest # to go over) is 6-1 Last 7* (hello OKC)
I have no side on this but I like the over here. I just hope I didn't miss the boat @149
CBB [727] TOTAL o149-110
(MARQUETTE vrs MISSOURI)
That's too funny :mj07: I know that when I get really excited about a game, I use two words.. Christmas and....birthday. You know me too well Flippa
- Mar 18, 2009
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burnetto57
burnetto57
As our 'header implies - we don't post picks. We discuss and cap the heck out of these things and @ some point individuals often make their POD and/or leans.
RE: Col BB Today: 8 of 9 games went OVER Y'Day - 4 by 10 pts or more - I did quite well as I bet 5 of them.
Think primary reason for this is - 2nd round day brought teams that were much more competetive and even the teams that won by blow-outs (Nova) the loosing teams fought to the bitter end. For some reason - I don't believe this had to do w/ nobody playin 'D', as more to do w/ pace of game and 'the fight' in the teams.
Main dif between Y Day and 1st rd - lotta teams had no chance of winning - and those that did and got down by a lot in 1st H - sort of quit. Y'day and today have teams settled in, cofident - tasted a win and are fightin to move on. I'm hoping for more Overs today.
burnetto57
As our 'header implies - we don't post picks. We discuss and cap the heck out of these things and @ some point individuals often make their POD and/or leans.
RE: Col BB Today: 8 of 9 games went OVER Y'Day - 4 by 10 pts or more - I did quite well as I bet 5 of them.
Think primary reason for this is - 2nd round day brought teams that were much more competetive and even the teams that won by blow-outs (Nova) the loosing teams fought to the bitter end. For some reason - I don't believe this had to do w/ nobody playin 'D', as more to do w/ pace of game and 'the fight' in the teams.
Main dif between Y Day and 1st rd - lotta teams had no chance of winning - and those that did and got down by a lot in 1st H - sort of quit. Y'day and today have teams settled in, cofident - tasted a win and are fightin to move on. I'm hoping for more Overs today.
You and Joe on the sidelines...smart choice. I have no full 1U plays either. I've posted some action plays and I'll play a little on the MIA ML. some value there if number starts to move even further.
NBA [703] MIAMI +115
Here one for GS/NO game
GS are 0-8 SU/ATS next game Away, when they won they previous game this season. PLAY ON NO-8.5
http://sportsdatabase.com/nba.py/query?text=t%3Ateam%3DWarriors+and+p%3AW+and+n%3AA+and+season%3D2008&submit=query
SDQL text: t:team=Warriors and p:W and n:A and season=2008
BOL
GS are 0-8 SU/ATS next game Away, when they won they previous game this season. PLAY ON NO-8.5
http://sportsdatabase.com/nba.py/query?text=t%3Ateam%3DWarriors+and+p%3AW+and+n%3AA+and+season%3D2008&submit=query
SDQL text: t:team=Warriors and p:W and n:A and season=2008
BOL
I should have responded to this earlier, and in my 5 AM haze I thought I had-- the odd (and somewhat funny) part about this is that I think recent history has created a total far too low, meaning that the posted number isn't especially useful as a statistical model. Although the number being low in and of itself is also the point.
- Mar 18, 2009
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I'll exercise restraint and discipline today, Ax - and watch and learn/digest information - there's that unambiguous clarity in viewing a game w/o the overarching nexus of finance involved.
Good luck to you as always and to everyone else as well - hope you're all able to collect at the end of your games today.
Agreed, I only have action on one today and it's the over on Marq/Mizzou.
GL today KB
I know you've been all over this dance...Are you turning a profit pal...just curious.
Jlipp, I understand that haze...Your argument and the arguments of others were compelling enough for me to jump on board. I then received Slice's report which confirms that the correct ticket on this game is on the big O. Thank you sir...Let's bring this one home!
I know this will benefit me personally in the near future. You enjoy your day sir.
- Mar 21, 2009
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What up Bros, new here.... anyone know if d wade is in or out or gonan start and than sit most of the game lol hes listed day to day on espn fantasy. thanks dudes... also like the miami under because head to head the under is 23-8 and public is smashing the low total hopin it to go over....sunday morn ...hoping for alot....alot of missed shots...good luck dudes
ax-
I came out with right around 205 for the Toronto/LAC game, a 107-98 type game. Like you said, I'm not sure the 4 point cushion is enough to play it, I also like those Accuscore numbers, but again not enough to take it from lean to POD.
I am a Pistons fan, and I will tell you that this team cannot get up for Sunday games. I have no idea why, I have no idea what goes on on Saturday :mj06:, but I know that the Miami ML definitely has value. Wade will be gaurded quite a bit by Bynum, Stuckey, and Afflalo, and should have a big game. I took the ML for a half-unit, and that's my only play as of now, aside from Cuse (square but loved it). BOL to everyone today, I hope we find one tonight.
I came out with right around 205 for the Toronto/LAC game, a 107-98 type game. Like you said, I'm not sure the 4 point cushion is enough to play it, I also like those Accuscore numbers, but again not enough to take it from lean to POD.
I am a Pistons fan, and I will tell you that this team cannot get up for Sunday games. I have no idea why, I have no idea what goes on on Saturday :mj06:, but I know that the Miami ML definitely has value. Wade will be gaurded quite a bit by Bynum, Stuckey, and Afflalo, and should have a big game. I took the ML for a half-unit, and that's my only play as of now, aside from Cuse (square but loved it). BOL to everyone today, I hope we find one tonight.
Thanks pal. I have light action also. Not going to force the issue here. The MIA ML is a good play but the total on that game is a flip of the coin. Books will be happy with the early game. BOL as well. Maybe numbers move in our direction later.
Hello everyone,
Just wanted to chime in with a good job and a pat on the back. I have been lurking and this is great. I will hopefully post some thoughts the next couple days.
:em71:
Just wanted to chime in with a good job and a pat on the back. I have been lurking and this is great. I will hopefully post some thoughts the next couple days.
:em71:
