NBA SAT 042509 early thoughts - value hunting (Playoffs)
- Thread starter axp59
- Start date
- Mar 18, 2009
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- Mar 18, 2009
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Hell Yes, nice spot, locked in for 2x units for me, I'd be suprised if this game even hits the 190's
Hey Ax, thanx for the response last night. Yes, i knew you from the other side but i don't know if i reached out to you there. You have a GREAT memory, so you know better than me. I also check out your daily pick in the contest as i see you are starting to heat up there as well. I am a daily and loyal reader of this thread and am starting to know the other cappers reasoning and explinations as well. I appreciate everyone. What a beautful thread with knowledge and class with absolutely NO childish bashing. I guess thats why you left the other side. lol Have a great weekend Mr. Ax
:0corn
:0corn
Accuscore Saturday as of 10am:
Accuscore Saturday as of 10am:
Accuscore Playoff Records:
Sides: 9-12-1
Totals: 15-6-1
Saturday's Accuscore:
Hornets 2.8 and 195.6
Heat 2.2 and 186.4
Lakers .6 and 205.6
Mavs 4.0 and 191
Trend Spotter Analysis:
Jazz @ +4.5 are 3.9 variance rating (Record: 20-14), if line increases to +5 or above (variance record improves to 13-8)
Fading Hornets/Heat (Heat/Hornets fall in the 1.1-2.9 variance categories which have a combined record of 41-48-1)
Denver Under variance of 1.9 falls into a 24-17-1 record.
Spurs Over variance of 3 falls into 8-14 record
Jazz Under Variance of 3.4 falls into 26-32-1
BOL on all your plays, Im sticking with the Den/Char Under
Accuscore Saturday as of 10am:
Accuscore Playoff Records:
Sides: 9-12-1
Totals: 15-6-1
Saturday's Accuscore:
Hornets 2.8 and 195.6
Heat 2.2 and 186.4
Lakers .6 and 205.6
Mavs 4.0 and 191
Trend Spotter Analysis:
Jazz @ +4.5 are 3.9 variance rating (Record: 20-14), if line increases to +5 or above (variance record improves to 13-8)
Fading Hornets/Heat (Heat/Hornets fall in the 1.1-2.9 variance categories which have a combined record of 41-48-1)
Denver Under variance of 1.9 falls into a 24-17-1 record.
Spurs Over variance of 3 falls into 8-14 record
Jazz Under Variance of 3.4 falls into 26-32-1
BOL on all your plays, Im sticking with the Den/Char Under
FWIW, looking at a second play. still on the fence. DEN/NOH side looking good. Be back in a bit.
Looks like during the season Den always was on a B2B with a tied series 2-2. I don't know how that affects the numbers but might be something to watch for Ax.
Gunny, the big move on the total changes the value numbers for the side. Not sure if I'll play but the signal is fairly significant.
Good morning Ax
Stupid question again, whats the meaning of DEN/NOH side?
line drop to 197 on by side, good sign?
AX,
You think the public pushed the total number down the 196.5 for NOH/Den?? That is a big jump...especially when it opened @ 200??
Very strange...you think?
You think the public pushed the total number down the 196.5 for NOH/Den?? That is a big jump...especially when it opened @ 200??
Very strange...you think?
