Platinum MLB

[PlatnumStandard]

The Standard: 200 units (last day 8/31/09)
Yesterday: 3-2, +3.6 units

Currently: -55.80 units
Units remaining: 255.80


30-20-2, +64.20 units in first 11 days of July

Totals run of 21-14-3 last 38


7/12/09

$300 LA Angels +130
$200 Boston -1.5 (-135)
$200 Washington/Houston OVER 9
$200 Chisox/Minny OVER 8

$200 STL/Cubs OVER (Based on opening line, unavailable)

 

[PlatnumStandard]

The Standard: 200 units

7/12/09: 4-1, +7.7 units

Currently: -48.10 units
Units remaining: 248.10

-Winning 9 of 12 days of July, 34-21-2, +71.90 units in that span
-Totals run of 23-15-3 last 41

7/16/09 (DAY 41)

$200 Chicago/Washington UNDER 9
The Cubs visit the Nationals to get things started up again on the diamond. The game is slated to go off at 7:05 EST. Rich Harden will pitch for Chicago, while John Lannan will take the home hill. The top total of the day would be a play on the under in this game. Rich Harden has had his struggles this season. Harden is just 5-6 (5.47) overall, but shows excellent road numbers (3-1, 2.59). He has gone under in his last 2 on the road, and in his last start vs. Washington. He allowed 1 ER in that contest, pitching 7 strong innings, striking out 11 and walking none. He only allowed 2 hits in a 6-1 win. John Lannan and the Nats have won 5 of his last 7 starts. Lannan has also hit the under in 8 of his last 10 starts. He also pitched a shutout last year at home vs. Chicago, over 7 innings. Nats won 2-0, with Lannan allowing just 4 hits, walking 4 and striking out 3. The under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings, and 6-0, L6 in Washington. Look for a 3-2 final or 5 runs at most in this one, easily staying under the total.

$500 Oakland -120
Oakland A?s and Dallas Braden host the first place LA Angels. The Angels will send Ervin Santana to the mound after coming off the sweep over the NY Yankees before the All-Star break. This game is slated to go off at 10:05 EST.
Early action sees money coming in on the Angels at almost 2-1, and rightfully so. The Angels are one of the AL?s best, and lead their division. The A?s are in last place and still looking to find answers. Maybe they will against one of the league?s worst road starters. The Angels have won 6 of Santana?s last 7 vs. Oakland and 8 of his last 10 against them. We are in a new season though, and he has not yet faced Oakland this year. Santana has not been the same dominant pitcher he once was. He is 1-5 on the season with a 7.81 ERA. His last 3 starts show a 0-3 mark with a 9.88 ERA. Hopefully the break was kind to him, but the A?s won?t be. Santana and the Angels have only won in 2 of his last 7 starts. Dallas Braden is the complete opposite of Santana. Braden shows a 3.12 ERA for the year, a 2.84 at home and a 2.45 in his last 3 starts. The A's have won in Braden's last 2. He has averaged 2 ER?s allowed over his last 4 vs.. LA, and the Angels have averaged just 3 runs per game over those 4 starts. Santana has only had 1 quality start in his last 6.

$500 Florida -115
Chris Volstad (6-8, 4.44) will face Jamie Moyer (8-6, 5.99) in this one. Moyer and the Phillies have won against the line 12 of the last 14 meetings with Florida, which has been impressive. They also have won 9 of their last 10 games. So why am I leaning with the marlins as slight fave in this one? The reasoning is not due to starting pitching as both starters have had success in this spot. It is the relief. Either of these teams can win this one late. Philly scored 7 runs in the 9th inning trailing 3-0 to beat the Marlins earlier this year. Florida has also done a number on the Phillies relievers in the past as well, especially with a 4 run bottom of the 9th walk-off Grand Slam last year in a 6-2 win at home after Philly took a one run lead in the top of the inning. I think the Marlins can get to Lidge and the Philly relief, as they have had a rough go of late. Look for a close contest, with the Marlins finishing this one out with the win.

 

[PlatnumStandard]

The Standard: 200 units

Yesterday: 1-2, -9.75 units

Currently: -57.85 units
Units remaining: 257.85

-Winning 9 of 13 days of plays in July(35-23-2,+62.15 units)
-Totals run of 24-15-3 last 42


7/17/09

$500 San Fran -145
SF sends Lincecum (10-2, 2.33) to face Maholm (6-4, 4.60). Giants face a lowly Pirates team who have lost 8 of 10. SF has won 7 of their last 10 ball games. Lincecum has gone 3-0 in his last 3 starts, and he is 5-1 on the road this season. The Giants have also won in his last 4 starts, and in 7 of his last 10 outings. Maholm is having a decent year, but with the lack of support is not a sure bet. The bullpen has been weak all season. Pitt has only won just 10 of his 18 starts all season. Of those, the Pirates are just 3-4 at home in Maholm starts, even though he holds a 2.96 ERA at home. That says little about the talent out of the pen. Pirates slump continues as I dont see it changing anytime soon.

$500 NY Yankees -230
Burnett looks to continue his dominant pitching against the first place Tigers at home. Yanks are 21-9 vs. Detroit over the last 30 meetings. Hard to believe, after all Detroit is a contender and has been for a few years. Burnett has been solid in 09, with stats showing 8-4, 3.74. The Yanks are 11-6 in his starts this year. His last 3 show a 1.77 ERA and a 3-0 mark. French and the Tigers would need something good up their sleeves to pull this out. French has only made 2 starts. His resume shows 11 innings, 3 ERs. He failed to go deep in Minnesota, where the Twins wound up finishing with 9. French will start strong but struggle the 2nd and 3rd time through the line-up. Look for the Yanks to control this one and win by several.

$200 Chicago Cubs -130
$200 Cubs/Nats UNDER 9
The Nationals are the worst in the majors, and action must be taken in this game. Zambrano has owned this team in his last 2 starts against them allowing just 1 ER over 13.66 INN. The Nats will continue to struggle in this meeting as they did last night. Zambrano and the Cubbies have won in 6 of his last 8 outings vs. Wash. Stammen replaces Olsen for the Nats who have struggled closing games out all year. Stammen has allowed opponents to put up 5 runs on him per outing over his last 4 at home. Game 1 was a 3-1 game going into the 9th inning. Final 6-2. Nats need help and they wont get it in this game. The Nats have only won in 2 of Stammens last 7 outings. Big Z will dominate this line-up and keep this one under the total single-handedly. Look for a 5-1 final.

$200 Minnesota/Texas UNDER 11
This one will easily stay under the total of 11 runs. Texas has played 20 more under games on the season. This one looks for an easy under on paper. Perkins has shown unders in 4 of his last 5 on road. He allowed 2 ERs in his last 2 on road, over 14 innings. Perkins has a knack for pitching Texas well, as last year he allowed 2 ERs in 2 starts against them, both at home. Texas scored 4 runs in total in those games, and the last start against them was a 6-0 final, an under. Padilla has been solid at home. Opponents have only scored 13 runs in his last 4 at home. In 2008, Padilla pitched in 3 wins vs. Twins, and showed 2 shutouts over 16 innings, one being a complete game. Padilla has allowed 8 ERs in his last 5 vs. Minny. Texas is 4-1 in those gms. Like a 5-3 game at best.

 

[PlatnumStandard]

The Standard: 200 units

Yesterday: 4-1, +3.75 units

Currently: -54.1 units
Units remaining: 254.1

-Winning 10 of 14 days of plays in July(39-24-2,+65.90 units)
-Totals run of 26-15-3 last 44


7/18/09

All faves to win/dogs risking $200 a piece:

LAA/Oakland UNDER 8.5
Weaver's allowed just 9 runs in his last 5 mtgs with Oakland. Mazzaro is a quiet 8-0 to the under this year. A's also 7 unders in their last 10 ball games.

Bal/Chisox OVER 9
Both starters + bullpens will combine for many allowed in this one. Sox have gone over in 6 of 7. Play regardless of starter.

Philly +110
Philly is still hot. Winning 11 of their last 12. I love how Blanton has pitched of late, better than can be said of what Johnson and the Florida pen's numbers are vs. Philly at home over his last couple starts here.

Colorado/SD OVER 7.5
Hammel has been a road workhorse. He struggled against SD at home though lasting 7 innings in 2 starts. SD put up 14 in those games. Correia and the Pads allowed 9 runs last meeting with SD. Look for this one to reach at least 10 if the pitchers perform similar.

LA Dodgers -1.5(+125)
Astros are 1-3 in Hampton's last 4 outings. LA is 6-0 in Kershaw's last 6 outings. They should cruise today after losing the first 2 at home. Kershaw has a 0.53 in his last 3. LA 6-3.

 

[PlatnumStandard]

The Standard: 200 units

Yesterday: 1-3, -4.1 units

Currently: -58.2 units
Units remaining: 258.2

-Winning 10 of 15 days of plays in July(40-27-2,+61.80 units)
-Totals run of 26-18-3 last 47


7/19/09

$500 Minnesota -120
$300 Washington +110
$300 Florida +110
$300 KC +140
$300 NYY -130
$300 Pittsburgh +105
$200 Bos/Tor OVER 7.5
$200 Philly/Florida Under 9

 

[PlatnumStandard]

The Standard: 200 units

Yesterday: 2-6, -15.2 units

Currently: -73.4 units
Units remaining: 273.4

-Winning 10 of 16 days of plays in July(42-33-2,+46.60 units)
-Totals run of 27-19-3 last 47


7/20/09

Less than 7 weeks left.

Ranked by confidence but all count toward thread record.

$500 Angels -120
$500 Mets +120
$500 Baltimore +185
$500 Florida -105
$500 Chisox -105
$200 Colorado -145

$200 Balt/NYY Under 10.5
$100 Bos/Tex Over 9.5
$100 LAA/KC Under 10

Going to finish out July and August very strong!

 

[PlatnumStandard]

The Standard: 200 units

Yesterday: 5-2, +13.9 units

Currently: -59.5 units
Units remaining: 259.5

-Winning 11 of 17 days of plays in July(47-35-2,+60.5 units)
-Totals run of 28-20-3 last 51


7/21/09

$500 LA Angels -125 (GAME 1)
$500 Detroit -150
$200 Florida -105

$100 LAA/KC UNDER 10 (GAME 1)
$100 SF/Atl UNDER 8.5
$100 Cincy/LAD UNDER 8.5

$300 CLOSING LINE and only IF NECCESARY: LAA/KC UNDER GAME 2(ONLY IF GM 1 is an over or a push)

 

[PlatnumStandard]

The Standard: 200 units

Yesterday: 3-4, +5.4 units

Currently: -54.1 units
Units remaining: 254.1

-Winning 12 of 18 days of plays in July(50-39-2,+65.9 units)
-Totals run of 28-24-3 last 55


7/22/09

The goal is to at least get to under 200 units needed by the end of this month. It has been a complete turnaround July compared to June. Let's keep this streak going. I have a split card, 4 early and 4 late.
I'll be back in here later today by 5pm est to post the remaining 4.

$200 NY Yankees -1.5(-150)
$200 Balt/NYY OVER 10.5

$300 Philly +105
$300 San Diego +130

 

[PlatnumStandard]

The remaining 7/22 card:

$300 Texas +125
$300 Houston +105
$300 Kansas City +100
$200 Cin/LAD UNDER 8

 

[PlatnumStandard]

The Standard: 200 units

Yesterday: 3-4-1, -2.3 units

Currently: -56.4 units
Units remaining: 256.4

-Winning 12 of 19 days of plays in July(53-43-3,+63.6 units)
-Totals are 28-25-4 last 57


7/23/09 (Next 2 days are crucial)

Early: $300 Atlanta -170

$300 Cards/Nats OVER 8.5
$500 St.Louis -145
$500 Oakland +240
$500 San Diego +255
$300 Minnesota +135

 

[PlatnumStandard]

The Standard: 200 units

Yesterday: 1-4, -13.1 units

Currently: -69.5 units
Units remaining: 269.5

-Winning 12 of 20 days of plays in July(54-47-3,+50.5 units)
-Totals are 28-25-4 last 57


7/24/09

$200 Chisox/Detroit OVER 8.5 GM 1
$200 STL/Philly UNDER 9
$200 PIT/ARZ OVER 9
$200 Pittsburgh +105
$500 NY Mets -125

$1000 Chicago Cubs -160

$1500 Boston -150

 

[PlatnumStandard]

The Standard: 200 units

Yesterday: 4-2-1, +20.65 units

Currently: -48.85 units
Units remaining: 248.85

-Winning 13 of 21 days of plays in July(58-49-4,+71.15 units)
-Totals are 29-26-5 last 60

7/25/09

I stated that the last 2 days were huge. Overall profit over those 2 days, as I am coming up on 5 weeks left. A lot of units in 5 weeks based on 1-5* primarily, but already 70+ units in July and nowhere near done. Still a good week left in the month. Hoping to top 100 units for the month of July. Pretty lite card today moneywise.

$300 Atlanta/Milwaukee UNDER 8
Hanson sets to face Gallardo. Braves have only scored 4 total runs in Gallardo's previous 2 outings against them. In the last they were shut-out. Hanson has been exceptional but had problems with the Brewers. This time around he will pitch better keeping this one under the low 8 run total. Braves and Brewers have played 15 of their last 22 in Milwaukee to the under. Over hit last night, look for a low scoring one tonight.

$200 Boston -1.5(+100)
Baltimore got me a huge winner last night fading. They are 6 and 28 in the last 34 in Boston. I had a double angled play on that game last night. Tonight we go with the numbers as this should be a blow-out. Guthrie allowed 5 ERs this year in Boston as the Sox put up 10 total. In fact the Sox have scored an average of 8 runs in Guthrie's last 4 in Boston. Look for the offense to come alive tonight. Lester and the Sox pitching staff have only allowed 7 total runs in his last 4 at home vs. Balt. Look for a Sox win by 4-6 runs tonight.

$200 San Fran/Colorado UNDER 9
De La Rosa has been one of the most solid home pitchers this season. For the fact he pitches in Colorado is history within itself. Jorge has a 1.69 ERA over his last 3 and is 3-0 over those 3 starts. He has succeeded against the Giants at home and should handle their slumping line-up tonight. Sanchez makes a good case for the game's under as well, as 9 or 9.5 runs, what ever you got will make for an easy win. Rocks 4-2.

$200 Minnesota/LA Angels OVER 9.5
I look at this total like many others and say wow, you kidding? Blackburn and Palmer, Twins and Angels with good relief have a total at 9.5 rising to 10? Yes indeed, and I will tell you why. Diving into the numbers we see both starters have struggled in their last 3 starts each. The Angels put up 9 in a Blackburn start this year and 7 last year. Angels should finish with at least 6 in this contest. Palmer counters, and although he has never faced the Twins, his home numbers aren't pleasant. He is 4-1 at home on the year for the fact the Angels put up runs for him. Minny should get at least 4-5 in this one but I easily see a 6-5 or 7-5 final here making a great over play.

$200 Tampa/Toronto OVER 9
Teams that usually play many unders, but today will go over the total of 9 runs. Price is 0-3 on the road with a 6.94 ERA. He has a 7.42 ERA over his last 3. Tallet likewise has a 8.40 ERA in his last 3 and a 4.81 at home this year. A couple weeks ago Tallet allowed 8 runs in Tampa as the Jays lost 10-9. Don't expect that many runs but I would look for 10 or more to come out rather easily in this one as both starters would need great outings for it not to happen.

 

[PlatnumStandard]

The Standard: 200 units

Yesterday: 4-1, +6.80 units

Currently: -42.05 units
Units remaining: 242.05

-Winning 14 of 22 days of plays in July(62-50-4,+77.95 units)
-Totals are 32-27-5 last 64


7/26/09

$1000 Tampa Bay -110
$300 Seattle +125
$300 Detroit -135
$200 Oakland +155
$200 Philly -155
$200 Chisox/Detroit OVER 9.5
$200 Min/LAA UNDER 10
$200 TB/Tor UNDER 9

good luck!

 

[PlatnumStandard]

The Standard: 200 units

Yesterday: 2-6, -20.45 units

Currently: -62.50 units
Units remaining: 262.50

-Winning 14 of 23 days of plays in July(64-56-4,+57.50 units)
-Totals are 33-29-5 last 67


7/27/09

$500 San Diego +155
$200 SD/Cincy OVER 9.5
Reds have lost 12 of 15 including 6 straight. Bailey will face Geer. The Reds are a woeful club right now, and to be favored with Bailey is no guarantee win either. He holds a 7.94 ERA at home and in his last 3 starts shows an 0-2 mark with a near 10.00 ERA. Bailey has not done much good as a starter with this club. His team has a 1-5 record this season with him starting and the Reds went 1-8 last season in his starts last year. That totals 2-13 in 15 Bailey starts. Laying the money on the slumping Reds could be killer tonight. As for Geer, he has not done great either but comes off a 2 ER outing vs. FLA. Not a great story for Geer but I think he will do a better job than Bailey. Pads hold the bullpen edge and should win this one. Look for a 15 run output by these clubs tonight.

$500 Houston +145
This is a nice bet on a division series dog in game 1 with Wandy Rod facing Zambrano. The Cubs and Astros always play gritty games coming down to the final at bat. Big Z has not had success in games against Houston. He has pitched well vs. Hou but he and the Cubbies are only 2-3 in his last 5 against this club. In fact, Wandy and Houston have won their last 5 of 6 with him on the hill. I look for a 4-3 ballgame but go with Wandy and Houston tonight. Wandy has a 0.41 ERA over his last 3, and I expect this domination to continue tonight.

$500 Toronto +170
Anytime a team like Toronto is getting a heavy amount of money against a weaker club makes for a great bet. The jays have Romero battling Hernandez tonight and this one will be about more than just starting pitching. The Jays have won 6 of the last 8 Romero starts, while King Felix and the Ms have won 8 straight and 9 of his last 10 starts. The key in this game is that Seattle comes off being swept at home and now face a tougher Jays club who are off a win. Look for the bullpens to have a major effect on the outcome of this one. Jays by a run.

$200 San Fran -1.5(+100)
This is a re-match from last meeting when the Pirates took a 2-1 final in extras. Both starters Maholm and Lincecum pitched extremely well. This time around, SF will get some revenge. Lincecum is in the zone right now while the same can not really be said for Maholm on the road. Maholm has an ERA on the road nearly doubled to Lincecum at home. Maholm also comes off a rough 7 ER allowed output in his last start and should see some struggles on the road in this game. Heavy juice so we roll run-line as the Giants should win this one by 3 or more.

$200 Chisox/Minny OVER 9
Last season these teams went on an over tear going 7 of 8 games to the over. These clubs are currently in the midst of repeating that this year as they have scored 5 straight overs. Look for another one tonight with Danks facing Perkins. Danks has gone over in his last 3 in Minny, and 6-2 to the over in his last 8 vs. Twins. Perkins comes off a horrendous start and he himself has gone to the over 3 of 3 starts vs. Sox. I look for no different tonight as we should see a double digit output of runs.

$200 Det/Tex UNDER 9.5
No reason why this one should see close to an over. Galarraga has been brilliant of late pitching to a 2.66 ERA over his last 3. Tommy Hunter has been exceptional going 2-0 in his last 3 with a 1.04 ERA. He has a 2.17 ERA this year, a complete turn around from last season. Texas has been an under team all season especially at home. Currently they have a 60-32-4 mark to the under. Hunter is 5-0 to the under this year and Galarraga has only allowed 4 ERs in 13 innings previously facing Texas. Look for a 4-2 final.

 

[PlatnumStandard]

The Standard: 200 units

Yesterday: 4-3, +2.3 units

Currently: -60.20 units
Units remaining: 260.20

-Winning 15 of 24 days of plays in July(68-59-4,+59.850 units)
-Totals are 35-30-5 last 70


7/28/09

$300 KC/Bal OVER 10
Bannister shut out Baltimore last year, but has had some struggles of late. His bullpen hasnt helped much either. In his last 3, opponents have averaged 6 RPG. Opponents have also averaged a similar amount over his last 4 road starts. Bannister has gone over in his last 2. Berken goes for the home squad, as they look to get their starter another win on the season. Berken is 1-8 with an ERA of over 6, while his team is just 2-9 in games he has started. Opponents have tallied 20 runs over his last 3, and opponents have averaged 4 runs in Baltimore over his last 5 at home.

$200 Atlanta -115
Braves come in to this one 17-8 in their last 25 games, one of the better runs this team has had over the last half dozen years, maybe more. I always said the Braves were never built to win 10 in a row, but they are sure close to putting together a monster win streak. Jurrjens has been lights out of late, 3-0 last 3 with a 1.97 ERA. His team backed him with 6 RPG while allowing 1 RPG in those last 3. Nolasco has pitched good of late but the same cant be said at home vs. Atlanta. He has allowed 18 ERs in his last 3 vs. Atl and the way they are hitting the ball that is curtains for the fish. Braves 6-3.

$200 ChW/Min OVER 8.5
One of the better totals to play for tonight is this one set at 8.5 runs. The over had hit in 5 straight between these clubs heading into Monday. Last year these clubs hit 8 overs in 9 meetings. Mark Buehrle will start for the Sox. He comes off a complete game no hit shutout in his last start. Minnesota will bring him back to reality. Minnesota has tallied 27 runs in his last 4 outings in the Metro-dome. The public likes an under based on his last outing but it will be time for a reality check. Baker has too struggled vs. Chicago. The Sox scored 13 runs in his 2 starts this year. Baker has gone over in his last 8 of 9 outings vs. Chicago. Sox have averaged 6 runs over Bakers last 5 home starts against them. Look for the runs to pour in Tuesday as these team will break for at least 11.

$300 Cle/LAA UNDER 9.5
Jered Weaver and the Angels have combined to pitch 4 straight unders against Cleveland. The Under has also gone 9-5 over the last 14 in LA. With Weaver, and Huff going tonight I see another under clear as day. The line opened at 10 but was bumped to 9.5 runs now. Huff has been a great fill for this Indians club. He started slow but has turned it up a notch. I think he will be able to keep LA under 5 runs tonight. It is Weaver that is the story, as the Indians have struggled against this man especially on the road. Weaver should only allowed 1-2 runs tonight leaving this one to finish around 5-3 or so, staying under the total by a run or 2.

 

[PlatnumStandard]

The Standard: 200 units

Yesterday: 0-4, -11.1 units

Currently: -71.30 units
Units remaining: 271.3

-Winning 15 of 25 days of plays in July (+48.75 units)


Not a great day yesterday. 0-4 with what could've been 3-1. Angels rallied for more than what they needed in the bottom of the 8th, KC and Balt looked good early, the Twins total missed by a run, and the Braves took the lead in the 9th to only lose it on 2 runs allowed in the bottom half. Nothing more to say than bad news. Hopefully the rest of this week goes alright. Limited on time to pull this off. It will be the 10* plays that will make or break this thread. They have gotten hotter over the last several weeks. Think only a loss or two over the last 6-8. Looking at 20+ wins to only 4 or 5 losses based off of previosu years averages. That will be the difference. Need the smaller plays to start coming around to top it off. Let's see what happens, only 5 weeks left.


7/29/09

$300 Texas +100
$300 Minnesota -110
$100 Arizona +145
$200 Phi/Arz OVER 9.5
$200 Col/NYM UNDER 7

 

[PlatnumStandard]

The Standard: 200 units

Yesterday: 2-2, -0.75 units

Currently: -72.05 units
Units remaining: 272.05

-Winning 15 of 26 days of plays in July (+48 units)


7/30/09

$200 Colorado/Mets UNDER 7 (game 1)
$200 Cubs -1.5(Even)

$500 NY Yankees -120
$500 Philly -105
$300 St. Louis -105
$300 Florida +145

IF NECCESARY: $300 NY Mets GM 2(closing line)
***If the Mets win game 1 early today play them again to sweep the double header tonight, DeLaRosa and Niese are current starters.

 

[PlatnumStandard]

The Standard: 200 units

Yesterday: 1-5-1, -18.45 units

Currently: -90.45 units
Units remaining: 290.45

July (+29.6 units)

Rather pitiful day. Besides the Cubs game, Mets, Phillies, and Cards all blew leads. Yanks, Cards, and Marlins tied the games back up only to lose. Gut-wrenching night, especially when things all fall the other way.
July will be a profitable month, but August needs to be huge to get this thread into a winning prediciton...

7/31/09

$500 LAA +145
$500 Washington -115
$200 Baltimore +105
$200 Bos/Bal Over 9
$200 Det/Cle Under 9

 

[PlatnumStandard]

The Standard: 200 units

Yesterday: 2-3, -0.70 units

Currently: -91.15 units
Units remaining: 291.15

July +28.9 units
Much better than June. Let's see how August treats. Need to get hot and finish strong.

8/1/09

$500 Chicago/Florida Over 8.5
This is one of the higher ranked totals for today. The Cubs and Marlins have both been pretty solid offensively of late. They have also hit 9 of 12 overs when playing in Florida heading into this series. The Cubs will have big Z, Carlos Zambrano going for the Cubs while the Marlins send Badenhop to the hill. Zambranos last 6 against Florida have gone over and 8 of his last 10. Badenhop has never faced the Cubs but will give up 3-4 in this one. Look for a minimum of 9 but more like 10-11 in this one.

$300 LA Angels/Minnesota Under 10
An array of totals today, mostly seeing under the totals. The Angels and Minnesota should cruise to an under today. Saunders faces Swarzak. Swarzak faced the Angels already this season allowing just 1 ER over nearly 7 innings. Saunders has had success in LA allowing just 2 ERs in 15 innings over the last 2 seasons. Saunders has struggled lately but will go inning for inning with Swarzak in what looks to be a solid under wager. Look for 5-7 in this one staying under the already lowered total.

$200 Tampa Bay -1.5(-135)
By my calculations the Rays should be able to easily dispose of the slumping Royals. I predict a 6-1 or 6-2 final in this one. The Rays have been just too good of late to start losing home games against weak opponents. They are slowly getting back into the race for another division title. Jeff Niemann will start for Tampa. He is 2-1 in his last 3 with a 2.66 ERA while his opponent, Bruce Chen shows an 0-2 with a 6.23 in his last 3. Chen is 0-5 overall and the Royals have won just one game out of his 6 starts. Niemann is on the bounceback, and has two shutout performances in his last 3 at home.

$200 Seattle/Texas Under 8.5
Both starters slated to go today have really been on fire. Hernandez will face Tommy Hunter in Texas. It has already been documented that the Rangers are the best under team in the league. Seemingly this total is on the move downward so if you are going to play it get it in asap. I dont think the move will matter much as these starters prove they can keep this one at a 3-2 game. Hunter has a 0.95 ERA in his last 3 and shows a 3-1 home mark with a 2.40 ERA. He shut out Seattle over 6 innings in his last meeting with them. Opponents are averaging 2 runs per contest in his outings. Look for the dominant pitching to continue in this one.

$200 Toronto/Oakland Under 9
Brett Cecil will be the story in this one. As we keep an eye on this ace right now, he is showing solid numbers of late going 2-0 in his last 3, with a 0.45 ERA. He leads the league in ERA over his last 3 starts. Oakland should struggle scoring in this one. Cecil has shut down Oakland previously over 8 innings allowing none, just 5 hits and 6 Ks. Cahill will counter Cecil, and he has struggled. He allowed 6 ERs in his last outing but has pitched pretty well at home overall. Jays are without Rolen, and Holliday has been removed. Two big hitters out of these line-ups, with these starters make for a good under play. Cahill allowed just 2 ERs in his previous start vs. Jays. Look for a 4-2 final at best here.

$200 Milwaukee/San Diego Over 8
The oddsmakers must know something is up with this one. Besides for the fact that Richard will make his debut for San Diego, I just dont have any confidence in Burns or what will even be close to a total of 8 runs. Burns and the Brewers have allowed roughly 7 runs per game over his 5 starts. Three of those starts were finals of double digits while 2 were 9 run finals. All of those games would beat an over 8 regardless. Burns has pitched to the over in 4 of his 5. The only under was set at 10.5 runs. Richard will pitch better facing an NL line-up but the Brewers put up 7 runs in his start against them this year. He has pitched 16 innings and 2 ERs allowed in his last 2, but even with that kind of performance it will likely be a lopsided final still going over the total. Look for 10-12 here.

 

[PlatnumStandard]

The Standard: 200 units

Yesterday: 2-4, -2.90 units

Currently: -94.05 units
Units remaining: 294.05

July +28.9 units


8/2/09

$500 LAA/Minnesota Under 10
$400 Minnesota +110
This line still continues to drop. The Twins look to defeat the Angels today as they send Perkins to the hill. Perkins has only allowed 1 ER in 17 career innings vs. LA over two starts. Even though Perkins and Weaver, who will counter for LA, have been struggling of late, both starters show decent history. Weaver and the Angels have allowed an average of about 4 runs per outing vs. Minnesota. The total is set high as these team have lit it up offensively this season going over in all but 1 meeting. The line is at a high 10 but is it high based on previous numbers? The way these two pitchers have pitched in the past, I look past the struggles of late and see these two having rather nice outings. Look for 7 runs the most in this one as Minny takes this one by a couple.

$400 Baltimore +150
Baltimore should salvage one game in this series as Clay Bucholz will face off against John Berken. The Orioles have dropped the first two and turn to Berken who has already pitched against this Sox club. Berken has pitched pretty good despite going 1-8 on the season. The reason is the lack of support offensively. The Os have lost 10 of his 12 starts. Boston managed just 4 runs in his last outing while Bucholz has struggled in his previous 2 vs. Baltimore. The Orioles put up 18 runs in his 2 starts last year and look to do the same this afternoon. Should be a close one regardless, take the plus money on the home dog as the Sox continue their rough stretch of inconsistancy.

$400 Cincy +125
After a rough stretch of starts Bronson Arroyo has pretty much gotten back on track pitching 2 shutouts and allowing just 8 ERs in his last 27.2 innings. Marquis has also pitched well but comes his team comes off of 2 losses out of his last 3 starts. The Rockies are looking like they are simmering offensively. Look for the Reds to put more on the board in another close contest. The under may seem like a strong play in this one as Marquis has gone under in his last 5 while Arroyo and the Reds have gone 3-0-1 to the under in his last 4. Look for a 4-3 or 5-4 game.

$400 Chisox +130
When are the Yankees not a favorite? Even on the slide they are on, they still continue to be faves. The Yanks are well overdue for a slide. They have lost 3 in a row, and at times in the past they have been known to lose 5 or 6 straight. We could be witnessing one right here as Sabathia will face the lights out pitching of Mark Buehrle. Buehrle allowed 5 ERs following his perfect game in his last start. He will bounce back today as the Sox look to get back in the playoff hunt. The Sox have not faired well against the Yanks in the past as each starters team W-L record shows bad outcomes for Sox backers. However, the results have been good in this series. Buehrle has dominated at home of late allowing only 4 ERs in his last 3. Look for Chicago to finish the Yanks off in the finale.

$200 Tampa Bay -1.5(-130)
The Rays are hot and the Royals still are not. KC started the year nicely but have vaporized ever since and find themselves as the worst in the AL. Tampa is gaining momentum gaining ground slowly on Boston and the Yanks. Shields has had his way with KC at home in the past. In his last 3 at home, he has allowed 2 ERs in each with KC finishing all 3 games with the 2 runs. I expect similar results today. Bannister, who has struggled at times this year, has come alive of late and has shown improvement. He and KC have lost his last 4 outings with Tampa. He has allowed 15 ERs in his last 3 in Tampa. Rays should easily put up 7+ today just as they did yesterday. Look for similar results to Saturdays contest. Rays by 5 and the runline win.