college plays for 11/3-11/8....

[AR182]

still licking my wounds from last weeks blood bath where i had the worst week in my capping life & believe me that is a long time....lol....& it just verifies what i have been saying for a few years....i am not a capper who people should follow blindly because i am very inconsistent....

last week i went 9-18 in all of my plays & 5-9 just in totals....my season record is 116-99 in all of my plays & 66-33 just in totals....

so far i have made 2 plays for the week....

unlv+3(130)....

played this yesterday morning where col. st. was favored by 2 & i bought a point to get it to 3....both teams are going nowhere this year but the unlv coach is fighting to save his job & think the rebs will have more heart for this game than col. st....

nw+17(120)....

i heard that the nw qb,kafka will be playing in this game....iowa is ranked 75th in the nation in scoring & have been outgained in ypc average comparison....the dog in this series is 9-2 ats & has 4 straight upsets, while iowa is 2-6 ats as conference home favorites & 0-4-1 as dd favorites....last week nw hung with penn st for 3 full quarters before faltering & think they will hang with iowa for the full game, especially since iowa has a big game next week against ohio st....


good luck....

 

[blgstocks]

really like the nw play AR

gl this week

 

[Irish]

Good luck this week Chappy!

I like Iowa to look ahead as well but the 4th quarter TERRIBLE Indiana use of a time out under a min back doored me. Still they over look a lot of teams and NW may fall in there.

Cheers
Irish

 

[AR182]

thanks stocks....appreciate it....


adding....

kansas st+3(120)....

kansas has won & covered the last 3 times these 2teams played, but now k-st has snyder back on the sidelines & he knows the importance of this game as he is 13-4 su /ats in this rivalry....over their last 5 games, ku has allowed 35 ppg & 385 ypg....these teams are moving in opposite directions & think k-st. is a live dog....

since 1992 ku is 2-15 ats after allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games....the average score was ku 17.2, opponent 38.5....


good luck....

 

[RAYMOND]

gl this week

 

[hedgehog]

good luck this week AR

 

[BadAngel]

Good luck AR. I know what you mean about a bad week. I am having a bad year at going 50- 50 on everything I do. I split all year. This is my worst year on this site in Football and I have been here posting a long time. The juice is killing me.

Hope you turn it around this week

BA

 

[LDB]

Im got killed this week as well.. It happens man.. hope you countiue your success this week ar.. gl

 

[joefrog91]

still licking my wounds from last weeks blood bath where i had the worst week in my capping life & believe me that is a long time....lol....& it just verifies what i have been saying for a few years....i am not a capper who people should follow blindly because i am very inconsistent....

last week i went 9-18 in all of my plays & 5-9 just in totals....my season record is 116-99 in all of my plays & 66-33 just in totals....

so far i have made 2 plays for the week....

unlv+3(130)....

played this yesterday morning where col. st. was favored by 2 & i bought a point to get it to 3....both teams are going nowhere this year but the unlv coach is fighting to save his job & think the rebs will have more heart for this game than col. st....

good luck....

Should have only played 3 games like I did last week. Just kidding.

If the UNLV - Co St game was in Ft Collins, I'd say to go with the Rams. I agree the Rebs are the play this week. Co St has folded up the tent on this year.

Good luck.

 

[Woodson]

I came out around 33.3% last week so don't think you were alone. Miami and Michigan... one day I'll start following not taking a unranked favorite on the road to heart....

Taking the wife up to the mountains this week with a group other couples.

I think it may be best to take a week off as to not be tempted to watch football at the level I'm accustomed to when gambling. I know my wife will appreaciate the gesture.

Best of luck this week AR!

:mj06:

 

[AR182]

thanks for your comments guys....appreciate it....

adding 4 totals....

under 52 ill / minn....

took under in last week's minn. game vs. msu because they were missing decker & they score 42points....unbelievable considering they average about 23 ppg with decker....illinois has scored 17 or less points in 5 straight prior to their offensive explosion last week vs. michigan....the fact is that both offenses rank outside the top 85 in the nation in scoring offense....

play under - all teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (minn.) - poor rushing team (100-140 ry/game) against a team with an average rushing defense (140-190 ry/game), after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games....

since 1992 the record for this system is....29-7....80.6%....

the average total posted in these games was....52.9....the average score in these games was.... team 20.9, opponent 23.3....total points scored.... 44.1....

over the last 5 seasons the system's record is....17-2....89%....


under 42 okla / neb....

with the okla qb out it is my opinion that each defense will dominate the other teams offense in this game....neb. is only averaging 16 ppg in conference play & has allowed another team to score more than 17 points just once....while on the road this year, okla. is averaging only 20 ppg in the 2 games they have played & imo neither miami or kansas defenses come close to nebraska's....& on defense okla. has held both of these teams to an average of 16 ppg & either offense is more potent than nebraska's....

neb. is 7-1 under in all lined games this season....the average score was neb. 27.6, opponent 11.3....


under 41(130) ohio st / penn st....

play under - all teams where the total is 42 or less (both teams apply) - after covering the spread in 4or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games....

since 1992 the record for this system is....26-6....81.2%....

the average total posted in these games was....39.4....the average score in these games was.... team 16.8, opponent 16.9....total points scored....33.7....


under 63(130) oregon st / calif....

play under - all teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (both teams apply) - in a game involving two good passing teams (7.5-8.3 pya) after 7+ games....

over the last 10 seasons the record for this system is....42-8....84%....

the average total posted in these games was....59.8....the average score in these games was....team 26.2, opponent 26.2....total points scored....52.4....


good luck....

 

[StevieD]

Best of luck Al but if you don't mind I think I will keep my Long Johns on this week! :mj07:

 

[hawkeye]

AR you talk about the Okie QB being out-talking about Bradford??--remember Jones has started a number of games and has done well. I see 2 good def here but I think Okie has a large advantage on off.

 

[AR182]

AR you talk about the Okie QB being out-talking about Bradford??--remember Jones has started a number of games and has done well. I see 2 good def here but I think Okie has a large advantage on off.

hey hawk....

yes i was talking about okla playing without bradford....i think the okla offense is better than the nebraska offense, but imo both defenses are better than both offenses & as i mentioned, okla. averages only 20 points a game on the road....

looking at the season record of the okla offense....

they scored 64 on idaho st....45 on tulsa....21 on miami....33 on baylor....16 on texas....35 on kansas....42 on kansas st....

the only worthwhile defense okla played is texas & they only scored 16....so i think their offense is over-rated....

what do you think ?

 

[AR182]

Best of luck Al but if you don't mind I think I will keep my Long Johns on this week! :mj07:

yeah stevie i don't blame you with the winter approaching....:142smilie

 

[hawkeye]

Neb is a tough place to play but Neb off is not good and fresh QB probbly will start again.-Okie more speed-I am liking OKie here and have not decided on the total yet for this game-my gut says under. GL

 

[AR182]

Neb is a tough place to play but Neb off is not good and fresh QB probbly will start again.-Okie more speed-I am liking OKie here and have not decided on the total yet for this game-my gut says under. GL

hawk....

i have no opinion on the side....i was giving you one of my resons for the under play....

 

[AR182]

adding....

under 49(130) laf / ark. st....

think ark. st. will control the tempo of this game....i just don't trust them to cover the high price as a favorite....

ark. st. is 14-3 under in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.....the average score was ark. st. 20.5, opponent 24.4....

roberts is 9-1 under after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game as the coach of ark. st....the average score was ark. st 15.8, opponent 28.0....


good luck....

 

[AR182]

adding....

under 47(130) usc / az. st....

play under - all teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (usc) - off 3 or more consecutive overs against opponent off 1 or more consecutive unders....

over the last 5 seasons the record for this system is....37-11....77.1%....

the average total posted in these games was....45.8....the average score in these games was....team 18.6, opponent 19.5....total points scored....38.1....

the system's record this season is....2-0....100%....

over the last 3 seasons the system's record is....16-4....80%....


good luck....

 

[Master Capper]

Kafka (leg) is questionable for the Iowa game