college plays for 11/3-11/8....

AR182

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BYU -13 is a good side to take. I even like the over 48 in this game. I see a score like 35 - 14 in this game.

Clemson -9
TCU -24.5

TCU is looking like a team on a mission the last three games. It may be a homer pick, but so was last week and that hit big for me.

Good luck.

joe....

do you have an opinion on the total in the tcu game ?


thanks & good luck....
 

AR182

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here is an up to date list of plays for today....

unlv+3(130)....
nw+17(120)....
kansas st+3(120)....
under 53 ill / minn....
under 43 okla / neb....
under 41(130) ohio st / penn st....
under 63(130) oregon st / calif....
under 49(130) laf / ark. st....
under 47(130) usc / az. st....
pitt-20.5(120)....
under 56(130) wisc / indiana....
under 66(120) troy/ w. kentucky....
under 61(120) utah st / hawaii....
under 60(120) wash. st / arizona....
under 57 maryland / nc st....
under 59(130) fla.st. / clemson....
byu-13....
virginia+14(120)....
c. fla+36(120)....
under 55(120) louisville / w. virginia....


good luck....
 

Cie

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Is Sewell playing for UVA? Have him listed as doubtful. Otherwise, UVA would have been a play for me this week.

I think I am going to add Wazzou under. Keep it rolling, sir:toast:
 

Master Capper

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good luck AR

Someone asked if Sewell was playing, he has been bumped down to doubtful with a shoulder injury. If Sewell is out, then Verica should get the start, and he has alot of experience since he starter most of 2008. They will lose Sewells dul threat since Verica is more of a pocket passer, but he has a bigger arm.
 

joefrog91

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joe....

do you have an opinion on the total in the tcu game ?


thanks & good luck....

Hope this helps:

The O/U is 49

TCU has put up 41, 45, 52 points against the Aztecs the last three years. And that was with offenses that were not considered to be as good as this year's unit. I expect SDSt to put up at least 10 today.

I've seen a few "experts" predicting a low-scoring affair. Not sure why unless they feel TCU will be looking ahead to Utah. Practice reports have been good and no mentions of mental letdowns this week.

I got this from another site:

TCU is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in November.
TCU is 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games on grass.
Over is 7-3 in TCU last 10 games in November.

San Diego State:
Over is 8-2 in SDST last 10 games in November.
Over is 9-3 in SDST last 12 home games.
 

AR182

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Hope this helps:

The O/U is 49

TCU has put up 41, 45, 52 points against the Aztecs the last three years. And that was with offenses that were not considered to be as good as this year's unit. I expect SDSt to put up at least 10 today.

I've seen a few "experts" predicting a low-scoring affair. Not sure why unless they feel TCU will be looking ahead to Utah. Practice reports have been good and no mentions of mental letdowns this week.

I got this from another site:

TCU is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in November.
TCU is 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games on grass.
Over is 7-3 in TCU last 10 games in November.

San Diego State:
Over is 8-2 in SDST last 10 games in November.
Over is 9-3 in SDST last 12 home games.

a lot of 'experts" are picking under because sd st has rocky long as defensive coordinator & he is considered a "defensive genius"....

thanks for your response....
 

AR182

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thanks guys....

adding 2 more totals....

under 49(120) vandy / fla....

vandy is ranked 110th in the the nation in scoring while fla. is only averaging 28 ppg in sec play....

play under - home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (fla) - after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games against opponent after gaining 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game....

over the last 5 seasons the record for this system is....30-9....76.9%....

the average total posted in these games was....45.9....the average points scored in these game was....40.5....


under 43 kent st / akron....

actually tailing spang & hawk on the play but did a little research on it....over the last 3 games, kent st has allowed a total of 31 points to e.mich.,ohio, & w. mich while over the last 2 games akron has averaged 12 ppg & 213 yds per game on offense....


good luck....
 

AR182

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adding....

under 49(120) tcu / sd st....

while sdst has averaged 31 ppg over the last 4 games, it came against mediocre at best defensive teams....when they played against better defenses like ucla & air force, they averaged only 14 ppg....on the other side of the ball, sdst has rocky long as their defensive coordinator & his schemes has improved the sdst defense by 111 ypg less than last year....& last year when he was coaching n. mex. his defense held tcu to only 291 yds., tcu's lowest production last year....

play under - road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (tcu) - after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games....

over the last 5 seasons the record for this system is....55-18....75.3%....

the average total posted in these games was....46.1....the total points scored....38.2....


good luck....
 

joefrog91

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adding....

under 49(120) tcu / sd st....

while sdst has averaged 31 ppg over the last 4 games, it came against mediocre at best defensive teams....when they played against better defenses like ucla & air force, they averaged only 14 ppg....on the other side of the ball, sdst has rocky long as their defensive coordinator & his schemes has improved the sdst defense by 111 ypg less than last year....& last year when he was coaching n. mex. his defense held tcu to only 291 yds., tcu's lowest production last year....

play under - road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (tcu) - after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games....

over the last 5 seasons the record for this system is....55-18....75.3%....

the average total posted in these games was....46.1....the total points scored....38.2....


good luck....

Rocky Long's D may be the key here. I didn't play the O/U today just the side. So, Good Luck!
 

AR182

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adding....

under 69(120) fresno / idaho....

i always lose everytime i play a total in an idaho game, so why not try again....

on the road this year fresno has given up an average of 20.5 ppg, while at home idaho has given up an average of 26.5 ppg....in addition i think fresno will try to control the game with their running attack & keep the idaho offense on the sideline....


good luck....
 

AR182

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may have a play in the nevada /san jose game.... but so far for the week i am 11-7 in totals & 7-1 in sides & total record for the week i am 18-8....

season record is 77-40 in totals & 57-67 in sides & total record for the year is 134-107....


good luck....
 

Cie

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Nice work, Al. Looks like you are over 55% on roughly 250 plays. Very impressive win rate on this high of volume. Keep it rolling!
 
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