Rushing dogs this week, pilfered from another site:
Here are this week's running dogs:
La Tech +21.5...Boise's run numbers are slightly better. But with LT home field advantage this could even out. The problem here is Livas and Porter were injured last week and are ?
Illinois +7...Bad team, but Minny isn't THAT much better. Will momentum from last last week's win over Michigan carry over to this week? Maybe if Illinois doesn't make the mistakes that have killed them this season.
South Carolina +7...The numbers don't really support it, but SC defense is better than Arky's, so it's possible.
Iowa State +7...ISU's game last week vs Texas A&M was a little closer than the final score.
Navy +11. Notre Dame kind of dominated Navy on offense last year. But Navy is much better on defense this year. Navy does have some injury concerns (QB, RB). But Notre Dame is not a good defensive team.
Rice +17.5...Rice is a really bad football team. But SMU doesn't run the football well. In the only two games they were a favorite this year SMU didn't cover.
Army +17...Pretty close rushing numbers plus Army has a good defense. This could be a tight game between two very disicplined triple option teams. The total is only 36 so a lot of scoring is definitely not expected by the linemakers. Yet a 17 point spread? That's cutting it pretty close.
Kansas State +3...KSU has equal to better defensive numbers. This is a tough game to cap. And I really haven't made my mind up on it yet. Kansas hasn't looked good in the last couple weeks. But they've also played a couple pretty tough Big 12 South opponents (OU, TT) that were coming off losses to their hated rivals..The next week is not usually a good time to play teams like that.
Nebraska +5...It must be the defense for the Huskers, because they can't run the ball. But then again OU is only averaging about 120 ypg rushing themselves. This has low score written all over it. Only trouble is the linesmakers know it and have caught on to both of these teams by setting the total at an NFL low 42. Between the two teams they are 14-2 on the Unders this year.
Ohio State +3.5...BUT PSU is starting to run the ball better and have a better QB and 5 straight covers after losing their first 4 games ATS.
Oregon State +7.5...The numbers don't quite support it, and Cal tough at home, but the Beavers run the ball well and gave USC all they could handle at the Coliseum.
Tulsa PK...Tulsa has better run numbers and defense than Houston. But Tulsa is having a ton of problems with their OL. This week will be the 6th different lineup with Graham still trying to come up with the right combination. Kinne not getting the protection that he was getting earlier in the season against the easier teams.
Purdue..The run numbers favor Purdue. However my spread number on this game is Michigan -8.
CSU +1...UNLV can't run the ball and can't stop the run. CSU the better defense and SOS as a dog.
ULM +1...Run numbers actually don't support it, but ULM has the better defense.
