Wrong Way Riegels

[lostinamerica]

NCAA YTD: 10-11 (-4.55*)

NFL YTD: 5-5 (-1.25*)
Top Plays (included above) 2-5 (-6.60*)


Iowa(-27') over Ball State (1*)
- - http://thegazette.com/2010/09/24/hawkeyes-look-to-bounch-back-against-ball-state/ They do.

Stanford(-4') over Notre Dame (1*)
- - Don't know why this would be a good time for ND to play the best coached and most complete team they've faced since (at least) USC in 2008.

Tennessee(-14) over UAB (1*)
- - We'll soon see how the table was set for this week by Oregon and Florida.

Bowling Green(+25') over Michigan (1*)
- - I was too "scared" to get the W with Massachusetts last week, so now I'll get the L with the MAC. :0002

Temple(+14) over Penn State (1*)
- -

Arizona(-6') over California (1*)
- - Much better Cal squads than this thud when they need to bounce.


GL

 

[lostinamerica]

Michigan(-9')(2h) over Bowling Green (1*)
- - I see BG lucky to be where they are and not at all likely to threaten . . . after a bad week last week, I can use the eggs.
("this guy goes to a psychiatrist and says, "Doc, uh, my brother's crazy; he thinks he's a chicken." And, uh, the doctor says, "Well, why don't you turn him in?" The guy says, "I would, but I need the eggs." Well, I guess that's pretty much now how I feel about relationships; y'know, they're totally irrational, and crazy, and absurd, and... but, uh, I guess we keep goin' through it because, uh, most of us... need the eggs" ~ Annie Hall)

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

Arkansas(+7)(-120) over Alabama (1*)
- - A game.

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

Alabama(-4')(2h) over Arkansas (1*)
- - A game.

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

Oregon State(+18') over Boise State (1*)
- - I'll know before the end of the 1st quarter if I'm on the right side . . . regardless of the winning side.

Oregon(-11') over Arizona State (1*)
- - This is a good Pac 10 lid lifter for ASU, how? :shrug:

BYU(+5) over Nevada (1*)
- - The visitor doesn't have its way here. :box2:

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

NCAA YTD: 17-16 (-3.05*)

NFL YTD: 8-7 (-0.45*)
Top Plays (included above) 2-5 (-6.60*)


Spending my weekend in and around Lambeau Field.


Northern Illinois(-13') over Akron (1*)

Iowa(-7)(-120) over Penn State (1*)

Georgia(-4') over Colorado (1*)

Arizona State(+4)(-120) over Oregon State (1*)


GL

 

[lostinamerica]

NCAA YTD: 20-17 (-1.15*)

NFL YTD: 9-7 (+0.55*)
Top Plays (included above) 2-5 (-6.60*)


Nebraska(-11) over Kansas State (1*)
- -

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

Stanford(-10) over USC (1*)
- -

Arkansas(-5) over Texas A&M (1*)
- -

Northern Illinois(-3)(-115) over Temple (1*)
- - Northern Illinois left me with nothing but positive impressions in their opening night loss at Iowa State. I knew in their next game it would be NIU or no one for me, but looking at their schedule, unfortunately saw it was a small school matchup that I would make no investment in. After that, though, came two Big Ten road games, then the conference opener at Akron. I was tempted as hell to pull the trigger on both the Illinois ATS cover and the SU win against Minnesota, but sat tight waiting for the Akron game: thank you, guys. Now they finally get a meaningful game at home, facing what IMO is the only MAC team "in their league" this season, which comes calling on their third straight road trip, and I'll let Northern Illinois carry my cash again.

Mississippi State(-5) over Houston (1*)
- -

Michigan State(+4) over Michigan (1*)
- -

Baylor(+1) over Texas Tech (1*)
- -

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

South Carolina(+7) over Alabama (1*)
- - All the ingredients are there . . . A rested team at home in the SEC off a tough loss, with offensive weapons, a legit defense, and an Ol' Ball Coach that's paid his dues for years on the way to a true signature win . . . Coming to visit is the No. 1 team in all the land off a dominating blowout against an overrated rival . . . Expecting QB Garcia to have at least one true brain fart that costs SC the game, hoping Garcia and the Ol' Ball Coach don't have too many brain farts to cost me the cover.

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

Alabama(-6')(2h) over South Carolina (1*)
- -

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

Utah(-6) over Iowa State (1*)
- -

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

NCAA YTD: 27-20 (+2.45*)

NFL YTD: 11-8 (+1.45*)
Top Plays (included above) 2-5 (-6.60*)


Kansas State(-3) over Kansas (1*)
- -


GL

 

[lostinamerica]

Going the right way from 10-11 to 28-20. I can't kill this thread just yet.

Not by design, but in my capping this year I've noticed a strange attraction to strong opinions on games involving teams after their first loss. Iowa, South Carolina, Kansas State, Stanford, USC, all come to mind. More such instances of attraction this week to work my way through (Michigan, Arizona, Alabama).

Iowa(-3)(-130) over Michigan (1*)
- - If I didn't think the Hawkeyes could match-up and deliver in this match-up against what this RichRod team brings to the table, then it would have to be a case of me not really thinking very highly of this Ferentz team, and nothing could be further from the truth of what I think.

Northern Illinois(-14) over Buffalo (1*)
- - I see a real gap between NIU and the second best team in the MAC this year, and Buffalo ain't that second best team.
http://www.daily-chronicle.com/articles/2010/10/16/77464042/index.xml

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

Texas A&M(-3)(-125) over Missouri (1*)
- - Kyle Field is the hard to ignore stage as Mizzou tries to separate themselves with a sweet 6-0 record.
http://www.statesman.com/sports/collegefootball/aggies-to-do-list-is-a-short-one-974663.html
(Posted elsewhere . . ."hey Mike SHERMAN?- duhhhhh!!! Can you coach in college ???? Sherman?- A .294 winning percentage against other big 12 teams?")

(Tiny parlay on Iowa(-3) w/ NIll(-14) w/ Neb(-8) w/ TexA&M(-3) w/ WashSt(+23) @ 19/1)

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

Nebraska(-10) over Texas (1*)
- -

Washington State(+22') over Arizona (1*)
- -

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

NCAA YTD: 31-22 (+4.20*)

NFL YTD: 12-9 (+1.35*)
Top Plays (included above) 2-5 (-6.60*)


Northern Illinois(-10) over Western Michigan (1*)
- - "NIU has lost three straight to the Chippewas, winners of three of the past four MAC titles, and quarterback Dan LeFeavor, the 2007 and 209 MAC Offensive Player of the Year. But CMU comes into DeKalb a different team, riding a four-game losing streak under sophomore quarterback Ryan Radcliff and first-year coach Dan Enos, a former Michigan State assistant . . . ?We?re not taking that next step in certain positions yet,? Enos said. ?I know we got a lot of different guys playing in different areas. But we have to take that next step. That?s what?s been frustrating, we haven?t done that.? . . . "It's a good football team,? NIU coach Jerry Kill said of CMU. ?We understand that. Our seniors have not beaten Central. We should be focused. We have no reason for anything other than that.""
http://www.huskiewire.com/articles/2010/10/22/86560411/index.xml


Iowa(-6) over Wisconsin (1*)
- - I like Iowa's situation, coach, QB, and defense over Wisky's OL.


Baylor(-6') over Kansas State (1*)
- - http://collegesportsblog.dallasnews.com/archives/2010/10/baylor-has-bowl-bid-within-grasp.html . . . My 1-2 record while backing Baylor this year has been the most annoying blemish on my season to date.


Clemson(-5) over Georgia Tech (1*)
- -


GL

 

[lostinamerica]

NCAA YTD: 33-24 (+4.00*)

NFL YTD: 14-10 (+2.15*)
Top Plays (included above) 2-5 (-6.60*)


Clemson(-7) over Boston College (1*)
- -

Texas(-7)(-120) over Baylor (1*)
- - I don't know if it's correct, but I read that the line in August was Texas(-37) over Baylor. I noted last week my annoyance about my Baylor plays this season, and they proceeded to hose me again by allowing a meaningless score on the final play. Regardless, I don't see any situational factors that complement said 30 point (more or less) swing in the matchup based on the team's identities and fortunes since August.

Southern Mississippi(-10) over UAB (1*)
- -

Northwestern(-3)(-125) over Indiana
- -

Tease Michigan State(+12') over Iowa w/ Kentucky(+12') over Mississippi State (1*)
- -

GL

*******************************************************

FWIW, the Texas vs. Baylor discussion made me go back and take a look at these lines I saved from 5dimes.com on 8/28/10:

Arizona at UCLA
Sat 10/30 1225 Arizona +1? -110
11:30AM 1226 UCLA -1? -110
Oregon at USC
Sat 10/30 1227 Oregon +2? -110
8:00PM 1228 USC -2? -110
Missouri at Nebraska
Sat 10/30 1231 Missouri +10 -110
11:30AM 1232 Nebraska -10 -110
California at Oregon State
Sat 10/30 1233 California +4? -110
11:30AM 1234 Oregon State -4? -110
Michigan at Penn State
Sat 10/30 1235 Michigan +10 -110
8:00PM 1236 Penn State -10 -110
Miami Florida at Virginia
Sat 10/30 1237 Miami Florida -12? -110
11:30AM 1238 Virginia +12? -110
Stanford at Washington
Sat 10/30 1239 Stanford +2? -110
11:30AM 1240 Washington -2? -110
Tennessee at South Carolina
Sat 10/30 1241 Tennessee +4? -110
11:30AM 1242 South Carolina -4? -110
Florida vs Georgia, in Jacksonville
Sat 10/30 1243 Florida -7 -110
3:30PM 1244 Georgia +7 -110
TCU at UNLV
Sat 10/30 1245 TCU -25? -110
11:00PM 1246 UNLV +25? -110
Ohio State at Minnesota U
Sat 10/30 1247 Ohio State -15? -110
8:00PM 1248 Minnesota U +15? -110
Auburn at Mississippi
Sat 10/30 1249 Auburn -1? -110
11:30AM 1250 Mississippi +1? -110
Texas Tech at Texas A&M
Sat 10/30 1251 Texas Tech +2 -110
11:30AM 1252 Texas A&M -2 -110
Oklahoma State at Kansas State
Sat 10/30 1253 Oklahoma State pk -110
11:30AM 1254 Kansas State pk -110
Michigan State at Iowa
Sat 10/30 1255 Michigan State +8 -110
11:30AM 1256 Iowa -8 -110

 

[lostinamerica]

Georgia(+1) over Florida (1*)
- -

GL