NFL Week Seven

BobbyBlueChip

BobbyBlueChip

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Dec 27, 2000
20,715
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Belly of the Beast
Overall 25-15 +7.01 units
Favorites 6-8 -4.05 units
Dogs 9-3 +4.70 units
Totals 1-2 -1.20 units
Halftimes 8-1 +7.80 units
Exotics 1-1 -0.24 units

Risking 1 to win ~ .97 units
Pending 10/24/10 1:00pm NFL Football Kansas City Chiefs +1? * vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Pending 10/24/10 1:00pm NFL Football 414 New Orleans Saints -2? * vs Cleveland Browns
Pending 10/24/10 1:00pm NFL Football 416 Baltimore Ravens -2? * vs Buffalo Bills
Pending 10/24/10 8:20pm NFL Football 427 Minnesota Vikings/Green Bay Packers Over 32 *

San Francisco 49ers -2? -120* vs Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons -3 -120* vs Cincinnati Bengals to win 1 each
 
IX_Bender

IX_Bender

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Oct 26, 1999
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350 yards from the Atlantic(moved)
www.madjacksports.com
BBC, it appears you have a losing record on plays made before kickoff, but a winning record on plays made at HT.

Looks like your halftime plays are the only thing keeping you in the positive. Im not fucking with you, just trying to make a point. While I enjoy sports betting, most of us are here to make some coin. Minimize the losses, maximize the returns.
Why not stop betting on games until HT?

My numbers are even more exaggerated than yours. Meaning the pluses are higher and the minuses are lower. Over the past month I have adapted my gameplan and limited the bets on the entire games, while increasing units and # of HT plays. Its been very profitable. I know there are plenty of blowhards here that brag about non-posted wins, but with such a short HT window and the time it takes to analyze nine 1:00 games, its hard to post sometimes.

Thoughts?
 
BobbyBlueChip

BobbyBlueChip

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Dec 27, 2000
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Belly of the Beast
I know you're not messing with me. I hadn't broken it out in the NFL until now because most of my plays were favorites in the first few weeks because they've hit at a huge rate in the past few seasons and I dug a hole for myself quickly, so I decided to get on the money train early this year and it didn't work as the dogs have been on fire.

My halftimes are usually made on

- Unders in games where the team winning is up by 17+ and the team behind has scored 7 or less
-Overs when the game is tied when both teams have 10 or more

I don't play every occurence of the above, but based on the way the game is going. I'll also sometimes play a halftime based on what I'm seeing in the game (Oline/Dline injuries to key players whether or not they're gone from the game).

I don't expect to hit higher than 60% on these during the year, so I'm more worried about halftime plays right now then plays made before kickoff because I expect that those will improve.

I'm actively looking for road favs to play now :)

Basically, I expect all facets of betting to settle on where they should be, so if I'm hot in one area, I'm more worried about that area going forward. Alot of it's more feel than anything else, so if it doesn't make sense, let me know
 
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